Realized P&L
+$54.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved
58
Trades
3,369
lifetime
Volume
$32.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9.49K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-25 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
56%
96%
+$22,410
Other
29%
88%
+$16,153
Crypto
11%
100%
+$15,173
Sports
3%
67%
+$715
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 262 | $3.06M | 3,070,306 | 0 | +3,070,306 | No | +$14,422 | 06-03 19:52 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 254 | $2.35M | 2,153,008 | 200,000 | +1,953,008 | Yes | +$5,757 | 02-03 19:11 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 210 | $2.17M | 2,175,642 | 0 | +2,175,642 | Yes | +$2,676 | 03-03 21:27 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 201 | $1.82M | 1,823,595 | 0 | +1,823,595 | Yes | +$3,325 | 03-25 20:59 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 204 | $1.76M | 1,760,567 | 0 | +1,760,567 | Yes | +$2,245 | 04-19 22:33 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 37 | $1.70M | 850,115 | 850,115 | +0 | No | +$326 | 05-22 08:57 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 124 | $1.59M | 1,591,274 | 0 | +1,591,274 | Yes | +$1,591 | 03-17 10:24 |
| us x iran meeting by february 6 2026 | 66 | $1.57M | 1,570,746 | 0 | +1,570,746 | Yes | +$2,298 | 02-09 02:09 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 88 | $1.54M | 1,307,786 | 233,643 | +1,074,143 | No | +$3,541 | 01-03 18:31 |
| will iran strike israel on march 4 | 127 | $1.37M | 1,374,193 | 0 | +1,374,193 | Yes | +$1,374 | 03-10 04:15 |
| will melania say career during ai talk on friday | 141 | $1.13M | 1,133,187 | 0 | +1,133,187 | No | +$1,774 | 01-20 21:26 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 107 | $1.03M | 1,026,467 | 0 | +1,026,467 | Yes | +$1,026 | 07-10 00:45 |
| will the us strike somalia next 656 | 147 | $982.8K | 983,917 | 0 | +983,917 | Yes | +$1,166 | 01-26 11:04 |
| will trump say jesus this week march 8 | 87 | $960.3K | 961,224 | 0 | +961,224 | Yes | +$961 | 03-11 19:53 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | 98 | $912.7K | 913,592 | 0 | +913,592 | Yes | +$914 | 04-24 09:14 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 43 | $864.6K | 865,495 | 0 | +865,495 | No | +$865 | 03-11 20:24 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 114 | $734.0K | 735,453 | 0 | +735,453 | No | +$1,471 | 04-02 01:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 66 | $600.7K | 601,764 | 0 | +601,764 | No | +$1,084 | 04-26 09:20 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 27 | $556.3K | 304,345 | 254,344 | +50,000 | Yes | +$1,361 | 03-04 18:35 |
| will the next official us iran meeting be in oman | 189 | $539.8K | 540,627 | 0 | +540,627 | Yes | +$841 | 02-09 23:31 |
| us strikes iraq by february 28 | 24 | $499.5K | 500,000 | 0 | +500,000 | Yes | +$500 | 03-05 14:22 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 34 | $499.5K | 500,000 | 0 | +500,000 | Yes | +$500 | 03-12 06:13 |
| russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026 | 3 | $416.4K | 416,962 | 0 | +416,962 | Yes | +$567 | 03-17 15:06 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 29 | $305.8K | 306,079 | 0 | +306,079 | Yes | +$306 | 06-02 01:16 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 2 | $299.5K | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | No | +$500 | 05-12 15:04 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 24 | $298.4K | 150,000 | 149,997 | +3 | No | -$700 | 01-03 18:13 |
| microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | 62 | $290.1K | 227,572 | 63,291 | +164,281 | No | +$470 | 01-03 18:15 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 20 | $278.9K | 279,157 | 0 | +279,157 | Yes | +$279 | 03-14 00:00 |
| will trump post potus this week on truth social | 42 | $269.5K | 269,785 | 0 | +269,785 | Yes | +$270 | 04-23 00:22 |
| will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026 | 31 | $249.7K | 250,000 | 0 | +250,000 | Yes | +$250 | 03-06 04:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||