Superficial-Dynamo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$233

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-16 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 60% +$9

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-14 20:18
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	05-16 21:40
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	05-12 20:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	01-22 22:52
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-14 20:37
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-12 20:10
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$13	18	18	+0	Yes	$-7	05-12 20:28
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	1	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	01-16 21:05
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 21:03
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-21 21:04
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 20:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-12 20:09
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	02-15 13:07
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-12 20:33
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-12 20:08
will russia enter toretske by january 31	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-16 21:04
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$3	12	0	+12	Yes	+$9	05-12 20:31
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	2	$1	98	98	+0	Yes	$-1	05-06 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:40:32	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf48081…
05-14 20:37:04	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x4e77b6…
05-14 20:19:27	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe440ec…
05-14 20:18:22	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1d071d…
05-12 20:33:56	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xca8357…
05-12 20:33:34	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x147d0c…
05-12 20:31:28	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb0d0b2…
05-12 20:28:57	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x814c05…
05-06 16:39:42	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0xa32529…
05-03 20:26:22	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xcdf977…
05-03 20:26:10	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6dd5e5…
04-21 21:04:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x229910…
04-21 21:03:54	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x28977b…
04-12 20:11:01	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xed8784…
04-12 20:10:33	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x851de3…
04-12 20:09:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x376ab0…
04-12 20:09:15	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x23f1f8…
04-12 20:08:49	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x361e07…
02-15 13:07:51	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x931e81…
01-22 22:52:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x0fb7ab…
01-16 21:05:34	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x3e1717…
01-16 21:04:50	will russia enter toretske by january 31	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc83ea6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	18	$10.1K	157	05-15 20:46
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	17	$26.8K	2,300	05-02 11:47
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	17	$9.93K	788	04-29 22:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	15	$755	171	05-16 19:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	14	$64.6K	2,003	05-16 22:53
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	13	$15.6K	1,187	05-16 22:54
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	12	$14.3K	1,203	04-27 08:11
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	12	$13.1K	538	05-14 21:55