Specific-Leader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

515

Trades

1,185

lifetime

Volume

$503

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-24 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

80% 21% +$3

Sports

15% 30% +$10

Politics

5% 20% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	6	$34	320	220	+100	Knicks	+$26	05-20 02:56
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	5	$22	18	18	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$1	04-29 15:49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	-$1	05-14 04:00
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	7	$12	25	20	+5	Joao Fonseca	+$2	05-29 18:55
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	07-04 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-16 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	2	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	07-01 10:00
atp villanu prado 2026 09 28	2	$8	17	17	+0	Gonzalo Villanueva	+$6	09-30 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	3	$7	10	10	+0	No	+$7	06-29 08:05
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	05-15 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	07-13 07:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	7	$5	20	10	+10	Yannick Hanfmann	+$0	05-06 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?	16	$5	91	31	+60	No	$0	07-04 05:32
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	2	$5	9	9	+0	No	+$3	06-15 23:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?	7	$5	110	40	+70	No	+$3	06-19 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	6	$5	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 06:21
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$5	342	0	+342	Thunder	-$5	05-21 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	07-25 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?	5	$4	80	30	+50	No	+$4	06-23 05:52
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng	2	$4	5	5	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$2	05-25 10:07
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$4	10	5	+5	Novak Djokovic	$0	10-05 13:40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	2	$4	5	5	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$2	05-07 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 11?	3	$4	98	98	+0	No	+$3	06-11 02:41
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$4	10	5	+5	Spurs	+$1	05-19 03:37
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	+$2	07-03 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?	8	$4	30	25	+5	No	+$3	07-10 08:45
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	2	$4	13	13	+0	No	+$2	07-07 16:26
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$4	19	19	+0	Yes	+$2	06-15 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?	4	$4	13	8	+5	No	+$0	06-19 07:43
Huzhou: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Katarzyna Kawa	3	$3	16	10	+6	Katarzyna Kawa	-$1	04-29 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 08:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5df9a…
10-22 07:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4f5cff…
10-22 05:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2b01d7…
10-22 05:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xabb8aa…
10-22 05:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4beb49…
10-22 05:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x80dd0b…
10-22 05:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb83c80…
10-22 05:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3bdcc2…
10-21 06:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3bc132…
10-21 05:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x627024…
10-20 06:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf3bbd1…
10-19 07:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6f3085…
10-16 07:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6cf7d1…
10-16 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5b95b3…
10-16 05:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x02ba84…
10-15 10:26:05	Roanne: Felix Balshaw vs Matisse Bobichon	Matisse Bobichon	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe83faf…
10-15 08:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7fcd3e…
10-15 08:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6a5ac6…
10-14 09:59:20	atp valient gill 2026 10 14	Izan Almazan Valiente	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6cf003…
10-14 09:59:19	atp valient gill 2026 10 14	Izan Almazan Valiente	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xb8ac85…
10-14 05:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcb31d1…
10-14 05:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xa2e1a5…
10-14 05:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7a3d30…
10-13 15:27:13	Maia: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut	Tiago Pereira	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1b3263…
10-13 15:20:55	Maia: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut	Tiago Pereira	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1dd4ab…
10-13 14:54:20	Maia: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut	Tiago Pereira	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0cd890…
10-13 14:40:11	Olbia: Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur	Aziz Dougaz	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9d13b8…
10-13 14:26:25	atp kuzmano massell 2026 10 13	Simone Massellani	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x06289f…
10-13 13:56:53	atp kuzmano massell 2026 10 13	Simone Massellani	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcdc308…
10-13 13:35:38	atp kuzmano massell 2026 10 13	Simone Massellani	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9a0a14…
10-13 12:33:35	Roanne: Gauthier Onclin vs Felix Balshaw	Gauthier Onclin	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe1c50b…
10-13 05:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc70fa3…
10-13 05:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbd5b8d…
10-12 06:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfd4125…
10-12 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36115d…
10-12 05:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7913b4…
10-11 08:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0b2910…
10-11 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0785b3…
10-11 05:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xec29c6…
10-11 05:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc6bda6…
10-11 03:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xda557a…
10-10 07:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0200f7…
10-10 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5cbb24…
10-10 04:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x1eaa39…
10-10 04:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xe5a0d4…
10-09 16:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe70dbc…
10-09 16:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6fe1ef…
10-09 16:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2c441c…
10-09 16:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8c1b97…
10-09 15:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x740e29…
10-09 11:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x56e054…
10-09 11:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc20106…
10-09 09:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xee758f…
10-09 09:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6dd9c7…
10-09 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xeccf67…
10-09 07:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c2789…
10-09 06:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe4f0c1…
10-09 06:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x475ca9…
10-09 06:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9fd0c7…
10-09 06:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd10027…
10-09 06:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xf431e1…
10-09 05:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x68fb73…
10-09 04:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb0c134…
10-09 00:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a6134…
10-08 20:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x49970e…
10-08 16:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x87e189…
10-08 16:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0842fd…
10-08 10:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x286e43…
10-08 09:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xed4fa8…
10-08 09:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa421d2…
10-08 06:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcca061…
10-08 06:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6f59c4…
10-08 06:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x79618a…
10-08 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5a6398…
10-08 05:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29c73a…
10-08 05:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xd2810f…
10-08 05:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x532ed8…
10-08 05:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x33c690…
10-08 05:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xc9748b…
10-08 04:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd935bb…
10-08 04:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4d9608…
10-07 23:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9a0fd2…
10-07 23:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3577c1…
10-07 22:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x3e15e7…
10-07 22:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x891da0…
10-07 18:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xed15e2…
10-07 17:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfe7e91…
10-07 16:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6d0e16…
10-07 16:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd3b25b…
10-07 14:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbfa185…
10-07 14:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7b021e…
10-07 14:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6a0194…
10-07 14:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xecad05…
10-07 13:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x64cb5b…
10-07 13:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x08b2eb…
10-07 13:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x01fe4d…
10-07 13:15:55	China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng	Alina Charaeva	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x7755f7…
10-07 13:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9976e2…
10-07 11:34:52	China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6625bc…
10-05 15:08:49	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcce10b…