Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$7.36K

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

380

lifetime

Volume

$519.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.37K

Open exposure

$99.4K

8 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-24 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

97% 92% +$11,377

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 29% -$1,491

Crypto

1% 100% +$362

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+40,000	$37,000	100¢	$39.8K	+$2,820	10-14 20:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+20,000	$17,600	92¢	$18.3K	+$700	10-22 10:22
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	+14,286	$12,147	99¢	$14.1K	+$1,975	10-05 21:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+15,000	$14,100	94¢	$14.1K	+$0	10-22 18:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+5,000	$3,905	100¢	$5.0K	+$1,078	10-19 16:36
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	+4,285	$3,673	96¢	$4.1K	+$448	10-05 08:27
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+4,074	$3,708	98¢	$4.0K	+$285	10-24 16:25
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+0	-$50	68¢	$0	+$50	10-03 21:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$67.2K	34,001	34,001	+0	No	+$710	07-31 06:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	12	$55.2K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$190	09-12 12:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	20	$43.6K	25,000	20,000	+5,000	open	—	10-19 16:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	26	$39.5K	30,000	10,000	+20,000	No	+$390	09-29 06:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	37	$37.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	10-14 20:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	21	$34.9K	35,795	0	+35,795	No	+$908	08-05 07:38
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	11	$28.3K	20,238	9,038	+11,200	No	+$991	07-31 06:43
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	11	$19.6K	20,680	0	+20,680	No	+$1,041	08-05 18:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	24	$19.2K	22,200	0	+22,200	No	+$2,981	08-05 06:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	3	$17.6K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	10-22 10:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	8	$16.3K	8,264	8,264	+0	open	—	10-13 10:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	23	$14.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	10-22 18:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	1	$12.5K	12,827	0	+12,827	No	+$346	08-20 07:01
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	28	$12.1K	14,286	0	+14,286	open	—	10-05 21:55
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	4	$8.5K	9,858	0	+9,858	No	+$1,348	07-24 06:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	14	$8.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-03 21:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$7.9K	8,249	0	+8,249	No	+$319	08-10 20:41
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	2	$7.8K	8,182	0	+8,182	No	+$375	07-15 06:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	4	$5.9K	6,104	0	+6,104	No	+$210	08-19 13:48
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	5	$5.8K	6,395	1,000	+5,395	No	+$1,254	07-16 18:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	14	$5.7K	3,389	3,389	+0	open	—	10-01 17:29
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	2	$5.1K	5,361	0	+5,361	No	+$248	07-15 06:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$4.7K	4,824	0	+4,824	No	+$156	07-24 16:03
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$4.3K	4,567	0	+4,567	No	+$306	07-22 05:15
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	24	$4.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	09-13 15:57
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	3	$4.0K	4,305	0	+4,305	No	+$348	09-29 19:33
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	2	$3.7K	4,074	0	+4,074	open	—	10-24 16:25
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	2	$3.7K	4,285	0	+4,285	open	—	10-05 08:27
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	3	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$200	08-11 15:09
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?	7	$2.7K	3,121	0	+3,121	Yes	+$406	07-17 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:25:53	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	91¢	$42	0x51d529…
10-24 16:12:53	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,028	91¢	$3,665	0x42d911…
10-22 18:20:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	172	94¢	$161	0xc8fca9…
10-22 17:42:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	367	94¢	$345	0x377c09…
10-22 17:22:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0x016f36…
10-22 16:25:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x89cdde…
10-22 15:03:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xc91337…
10-22 12:46:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,500	94¢	$1,410	0x096567…
10-22 10:22:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x26b74f…
10-21 22:10:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	12,000	88¢	$10,560	0xd31269…
10-21 21:54:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	7,957	88¢	$7,002	0xe3af0e…
10-21 20:24:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x6f704b…
10-21 19:19:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x5b199e…
10-21 18:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x7ee378…
10-21 18:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xb33c3b…
10-21 18:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	368	94¢	$346	0x6802b4…
10-21 18:43:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xfd65d7…
10-21 18:42:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x041647…
10-21 18:42:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0x819cee…
10-21 18:40:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x2348b0…
10-21 18:32:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	135	94¢	$127	0xdd498a…
10-21 18:30:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x66d977…
10-19 16:36:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,915	0x313fbf…
10-19 11:24:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	6,970	94¢	$6,552	0x0eddd8…
10-19 10:59:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	155	94¢	$146	0x74ec70…
10-19 10:58:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xb5925c…
10-19 10:58:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x9fd5a2…
10-19 10:54:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,060	94¢	$996	0x8a5d44…
10-19 10:54:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	806	94¢	$757	0x1f6e1e…
10-15 21:44:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	19,829	99¢	$19,690	0x020ee2…
10-15 21:37:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa9d7b8…
10-15 21:12:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x02c63a…
10-15 20:15:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98ba7e…
10-15 19:11:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x29848a…
10-15 18:33:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x22f1bb…
10-15 18:33:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f8166…
10-15 18:17:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x710b05…
10-15 18:17:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x7a00cf…
10-14 20:38:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	3,062	95¢	$2,909	0x28d371…
10-14 19:40:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xc74048…
10-14 12:24:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x6c8753…
10-14 12:24:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	494	95¢	$469	0x171f25…
10-14 12:22:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x73c083…
10-14 12:22:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1,568	95¢	$1,490	0xab2b18…
10-14 09:19:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xe74223…
10-14 09:19:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa76d7c…
10-14 09:10:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xc03f12…
10-14 09:10:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x71df7f…
10-14 08:59:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x1f92ba…
10-14 08:59:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xb917a9…
10-14 08:31:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xc8b2c2…
10-14 08:31:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8969ad…
10-14 08:23:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4c1899…
10-14 08:23:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x0c23a0…
10-14 07:59:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xc26a00…
10-14 07:59:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x36da4b…
10-14 06:16:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xa5041a…
10-14 06:16:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x19ad05…
10-14 06:16:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	4,296	95¢	$4,081	0xc99d5a…
10-13 10:46:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xbe975d…
10-13 10:07:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x4e304a…
10-13 08:42:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	7,000	99¢	$6,930	0x03fb17…
10-13 07:49:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x980939…
10-13 07:39:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x3ac04c…
10-12 05:50:23	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0xbfb006…
10-09 15:01:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	2,742	99¢	$2,700	0x4170ad…
10-09 13:47:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	2,258	98¢	$2,225	0xa5112c…
10-09 13:45:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	10,000	93¢	$9,300	0x4cec52…
10-09 06:43:49	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	No	BUY	1,627	96¢	$1,562	0xb89bc4…
10-08 06:02:19	Houthis enter Aden by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,576	95¢	$1,497	0xf01dfd…
10-08 06:02:19	Houthis enter Aden by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x25796b…
10-05 21:55:47	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0x318e47…
10-05 14:05:01	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x06298f…
10-05 08:27:11	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,760	0x4d9cbc…
10-05 06:44:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No	BUY	3,264	99¢	$3,231	0xfaafd3…
10-03 21:53:31	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	84¢	$47	0x65bc3e…
10-03 20:07:53	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x953930…
10-02 23:13:50	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x2b127e…
10-02 22:23:05	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x707b37…
10-02 19:15:51	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0xa95cfb…
10-02 18:50:35	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,840	84¢	$3,226	0x410b51…
10-02 13:15:51	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	88¢	$130	0xab0393…
10-02 13:14:42	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xdf196f…
10-02 13:14:30	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	279	88¢	$246	0x95d2db…
10-02 13:14:30	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x1db9f1…
10-02 00:00:41	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	88¢	$616	0xec3052…
10-02 00:00:18	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	88¢	$34	0x05e795…
10-01 21:55:51	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7b13f8…
10-01 21:24:18	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0xc137bc…
10-01 21:09:38	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x97d37d…
10-01 21:08:20	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe94d3c…
10-01 21:06:45	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x65bc87…
10-01 21:06:45	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3325bc…
10-01 21:06:38	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0xb961d0…
10-01 21:06:38	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	88¢	$34	0x12224f…
10-01 21:06:36	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xfaeec1…
10-01 21:06:36	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdd2f84…
10-01 21:06:36	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x623e1c…
10-01 21:06:36	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x24a0b1…
10-01 21:06:35	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	843	88¢	$741	0xfc2406…