Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$753

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-19

last 10-06 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 75% -$6

Politics

10% 100% +$1

Other

10% 80% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$78	50	40	+10	Yes	+$1	09-20 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$65	39	39	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$46	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	10-05 19:24
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	9	$42	65	65	+0	Yes	+$2	09-21 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	10	$38	27	22	+4	Up	-$4	10-06 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	7	$31	22	22	+0	Down	+$3	10-05 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	10	$29	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	10-05 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$28	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	10-05 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:25 UTC	7	$28	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	10-04 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:45 UTC	10	$26	16	16	+0	Down	$0	09-24 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$17	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	09-23 14:29
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	5	$16	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-24 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	7	$16	12	12	+0	Up	$0	10-06 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$14	15	2	+14	Up	+$2	10-05 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	09-23 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	9	$13	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	09-23 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$12	11	1	+10	Up	+$0	10-05 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	7	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	10-05 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	2	$11	17	0	+17	Up	-$11	10-05 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-06 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	8	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	10-04 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	10-05 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:40 UTC	7	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	09-25 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$10	10-06 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$10	9	5	+4	Up	$0	09-23 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$9	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	09-23 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$8	118	3	+115	Up	-$4	10-05 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$8	9	7	+2	Down	$0	09-23 13:54
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	2	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-24 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:10 UTC	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	10-04 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 20:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x76976b…
10-06 20:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x9963f0…
10-06 20:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x05be87…
10-06 20:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x878310…
10-06 20:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x8d201f…
10-06 20:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6e0622…
10-06 20:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8bd76e…
10-06 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xc47f18…
10-06 20:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xed8b1d…
10-06 20:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xa63ecf…
10-06 20:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa70a73…
10-06 20:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x680894…
10-06 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0524b4…
10-06 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xde281e…
10-06 20:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc611ae…
10-06 20:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x40e2b4…
10-06 20:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x2bacf9…
10-06 20:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x81796a…
10-06 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x18c179…
10-06 20:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x10bfac…
10-06 20:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbfa1d4…
10-06 20:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x4aa764…
10-06 20:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x20857b…
10-06 20:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8d392a…
10-06 20:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x01a0af…
10-06 20:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5fd1b0…
10-06 20:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0ad81b…
10-06 20:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf57441…
10-06 18:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xa563cc…
10-06 18:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x64c4a8…
10-06 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb4e587…
10-06 06:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x27179d…
10-06 06:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x10ac4f…
10-06 06:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7e6485…
10-06 06:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x5c77cb…
10-06 06:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0393a8…
10-06 06:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x40e6d7…
10-06 06:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x193c2e…
10-05 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xf07434…
10-05 20:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2e0d73…
10-05 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xd9b889…
10-05 20:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2f940b…
10-05 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xa7c1f9…
10-05 20:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc4854a…
10-05 20:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4af617…
10-05 20:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x23a0fc…
10-05 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x096c3f…
10-05 20:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x096b93…
10-05 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfbdf14…
10-05 19:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xdc166a…
10-05 19:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x91de82…
10-05 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xad5235…
10-05 19:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc92217…
10-05 19:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x354c82…
10-05 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xea5a06…
10-05 19:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x0b9313…
10-05 19:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x555869…
10-05 19:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x76684e…
10-05 19:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x936787…
10-05 19:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe22acf…
10-05 19:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbfaab7…
10-05 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xdba15e…
10-05 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf4f003…
10-05 19:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe75e25…
10-05 19:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xd6e878…
10-05 19:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x674271…
10-05 19:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x3b27e8…
10-05 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfc2220…
10-05 19:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x88af97…
10-05 19:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1d429f…
10-05 19:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7c344b…
10-05 19:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5fbabc…
10-05 19:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe46fc3…
10-05 19:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e3ab1…
10-05 19:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x307d17…
10-05 19:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x946885…
10-05 19:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x857c26…
10-05 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ac836…
10-05 19:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x9ddab0…
10-05 19:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7cf135…
10-05 19:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xff2f17…
10-05 16:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x23b4eb…
10-05 16:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf57964…
10-05 16:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x301a42…
10-05 16:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc48593…
10-05 16:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x88fcdc…
10-05 15:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf11b08…
10-05 15:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa73f74…
10-05 15:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb7a2eb…
10-05 15:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x271465…
10-05 15:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd74b4d…
10-05 15:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd747e9…
10-05 15:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa70ce5…
10-05 15:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8153e6…
10-05 15:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x96343e…
10-05 15:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x652040…
10-05 15:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x10a7fe…
10-05 11:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xb9e0a4…
10-05 11:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe0ecea…
10-05 11:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x323174…