Misguided-Excursion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$849

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved (90d)

203

Trades (90d)

1,102

13,317 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.00K

$138.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-14 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 34% +$14,073

Sports

1% 60% +$581

Other

0% 17% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:05 UTC	25	$999	831	831	+0	Up	+$580	06-24 02:09
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	5	$909	911	911	+0	Knicks	+$407	06-04 03:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:30 UTC	33	$786	791	637	+154	Up	+$464	06-10 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 02:45 UTC	59	$785	899	579	+320	Down	+$142	06-27 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 04:15 UTC	36	$707	759	536	+223	Down	+$259	06-08 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:55 UTC	13	$618	1,014	0	+1,014	Up	-$418	06-11 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 05:05 UTC	21	$611	570	492	+78	Up	+$421	06-24 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:50 UTC	6	$560	357	357	+0	Down	+$147	06-11 01:54
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	6	$548	1,421	904	+517	Knicks	+$165	06-11 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 07:45 UTC	7	$533	1,716	398	+1,318	Down	+$9	03-25 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:05 UTC	9	$518	967	333	+634	Down	+$123	06-20 04:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 07:15 UTC	15	$515	8,177	0	+8,177	Up	-$88	06-18 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:50 UTC	21	$498	786	0	+786	Down	-$290	06-21 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:50 UTC	17	$493	853	0	+853	Up	-$193	06-21 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:35 UTC	43	$467	1,070	0	+1,070	Down	-$257	06-24 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:45 UTC	26	$464	1,037	60	+977	Down	+$571	06-22 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:45 UTC	39	$457	1,585	0	+1,585	Down	-$457	06-19 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	20	$454	422	399	+23	Down	+$2	06-21 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 05:20 UTC	19	$454	360	335	+25	Up	+$228	06-24 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:00 UTC	5	$450	867	0	+867	Down	-$165	06-08 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:30 UTC	34	$449	1,133	182	+951	Down	-$136	06-30 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:40 UTC	6	$448	741	0	+741	Up	-$1	06-07 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	18	$445	754	0	+754	Down	-$90	06-03 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:35 UTC	10	$444	1,552	0	+1,552	Down	-$247	06-24 02:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:10 UTC	32	$434	884	200	+684	Down	+$404	06-23 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:05 UTC	7	$432	589	0	+589	Up	-$123	06-09 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$430	631	0	+631	Down	+$51	06-02 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:40 UTC	18	$430	467	186	+281	Down	+$0	06-23 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:30 UTC	30	$419	1,111	0	+1,111	Up	+$486	06-24 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:05 UTC	18	$413	959	0	+959	Up	+$355	06-24 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0xe522c4…
10-14 12:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x254cc9…
10-14 12:08:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x381917…
10-14 07:28:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x2f8d86…
10-14 07:17:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x8973ef…
10-14 07:08:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	57	6¢	$4	0x683dee…
10-14 07:07:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0xf29324…
10-14 07:07:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xec73fd…
10-14 07:07:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdac9d4…
10-14 07:07:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x9d0be8…
10-14 07:07:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x42b067…
10-14 07:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xdc3634…
10-14 07:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x924491…
10-14 07:06:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfc65de…
10-14 07:06:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc1fc39…
10-14 07:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x30b4cd…
10-14 07:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb1328d…
10-14 07:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0xbb2151…
10-14 07:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x199074…
10-14 07:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8e1685…
10-14 07:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa1c816…
10-14 07:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2880ea…
10-14 03:28:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x3a309e…
10-14 02:40:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x8ea48e…
10-14 02:31:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x642460…
10-14 02:29:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xebd460…
10-14 02:22:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe5887c…
10-14 02:21:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x76efbf…
10-14 02:21:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x9ced2a…
10-14 02:20:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3b7889…
10-14 02:20:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x08d953…
10-13 17:44:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xdef21b…
10-13 15:19:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x7d4057…
10-13 12:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0xc8225e…
10-13 12:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xff9330…
10-13 12:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb15a76…
10-13 10:10:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0xc96923…
10-13 10:10:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x25875b…
10-13 10:10:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xd2c3c4…
10-13 10:09:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xfd0b20…
10-13 10:09:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0f811e…
10-13 10:07:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x0bd15a…
10-13 09:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x21480a…
10-13 09:59:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x74d533…
10-13 09:59:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf5022b…
10-13 09:59:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xa546b2…
10-13 09:59:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x0acbb8…
10-13 09:58:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xf8d1be…
10-13 09:58:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x5b39ea…
10-13 09:58:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x6b620e…
10-13 09:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x323e5c…
10-13 09:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x652f19…
10-13 09:57:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xdba62a…
10-13 09:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x67b861…
10-13 09:56:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xa0abc7…
10-13 09:56:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x67b1d3…
10-13 09:56:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xd28d39…
10-13 09:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa6f1d6…
10-13 07:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xda871f…
10-13 07:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x45e5d6…
10-13 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf70006…
10-13 07:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x227528…
10-13 03:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xf41cbb…
10-13 03:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xb746e9…
10-13 03:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0x808a41…
10-13 02:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	246	1¢	$2	0xddd475…
10-12 10:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf9fd8f…
10-12 10:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4e4e2f…
10-12 10:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcb6872…
10-12 10:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc5d760…
10-12 10:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8dcf5f…
10-12 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x75f449…
10-12 10:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x9d7d4a…
10-12 10:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xe40f3c…
10-12 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x2b21fa…
10-12 04:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x6fb114…
10-12 04:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xa18a10…
10-12 04:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x548759…
10-12 04:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x59ba41…
10-12 04:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x583b1e…
10-12 04:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x14ec53…
10-12 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd61954…
10-12 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xc94dfd…
10-12 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x8d22c1…
10-12 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x54db7c…
10-12 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x378d46…
10-12 03:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcfce4c…
10-12 03:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x92bc0e…
10-12 03:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d4a41…
10-12 03:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x211dfc…
10-12 03:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0x9f1062…
10-12 03:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x4e8a74…
10-12 03:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x2d795c…
10-12 03:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x567cd2…
10-12 03:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xda6276…
10-12 03:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xbdb4d2…
10-12 03:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x891ad6…
10-12 02:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x50c290…
10-12 02:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0x29c1d2…
10-12 02:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa68a95…