Bowed-Eternity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

6,708

Trades

9,199

lifetime

Volume

$492.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-29 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 54% -$3,959

Other

4% 47% +$348

Sports

2% 43% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	4	$1.2K	2,098	0	+2,098	Up	+$939	07-08 08:39
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5	3	$1.1K	837	837	+0	Under	+$543	05-16 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$1.1K	742	742	+0	Down	+$345	09-04 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:20 UTC	1	$1.1K	2,192	0	+2,192	Down	-$1,119	07-08 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:05 UTC	2	$1.1K	737	737	+0	Down	+$361	07-20 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:45 UTC	11	$1.1K	644	644	+0	Down	+$194	07-06 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$1.1K	1,262	546	+717	Down	+$355	09-07 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 02:30 UTC	17	$1.0K	698	698	+0	Down	+$300	07-09 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:15 UTC	2	$1000	1,839	0	+1,839	Up	-$1,000	07-08 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:15 UTC	2	$945	578	578	+0	Down	+$200	08-06 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:05 UTC	1	$890	1,613	0	+1,613	Up	+$723	07-08 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$860	515	515	+0	Up	+$160	09-08 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:25 UTC	2	$808	532	532	+0	Down	+$245	07-20 16:28
Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5	2	$807	511	511	+0	Under	+$214	05-16 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:15 UTC	35	$802	564	564	+0	Down	+$213	08-03 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:30 UTC	2	$760	547	547	+0	Up	+$322	07-20 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:40 UTC	2	$754	468	468	+0	Up	+$173	07-06 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	45	$745	503	502	+0	Down	+$219	09-05 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 02:45 UTC	2	$700	1,339	0	+1,339	Up	+$639	07-08 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:45 UTC	13	$689	482	482	+0	Up	+$237	07-07 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$683	1,303	0	+1,303	Up	+$620	09-16 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$680	1,317	0	+1,317	Down	-$680	09-16 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:40 UTC	3	$640	818	337	+481	Down	+$401	08-14 06:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:25 UTC	2	$636	430	430	+0	Up	+$216	07-20 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:40 UTC	23	$635	395	395	+0	Up	+$122	07-07 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 03:15 UTC	14	$632	455	455	+0	Down	+$232	07-07 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$621	437	437	+0	Down	+$235	09-07 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:20 UTC	25	$620	504	504	+0	Down	+$306	07-19 19:24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5	3	$620	434	434	+0	Under	+$248	05-16 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:10 UTC	9	$604	373	373	+0	Up	+$104	08-03 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	112	57¢	$64	0x05d844…
10-29 10:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	66¢	$34	0x9e634a…
10-29 10:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x209f9f…
10-29 09:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	42¢	$26	0x7bf7f9…
10-29 09:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xd6c342…
10-29 09:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x0b1ed5…
10-29 09:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0xe2347a…
10-14 05:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x04280e…
10-14 04:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x825b2a…
10-14 03:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x054bd6…
10-14 03:09:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9d5aeb…
10-14 03:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xc65f32…
10-14 02:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x49970c…
10-13 03:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1255f7…
10-13 03:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x63c634…
10-13 03:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xeb2121…
10-13 03:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x331441…
10-12 07:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0xb17792…
10-12 07:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x8933b6…
10-12 07:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x58f5c5…
10-12 06:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xf8d8a9…
10-12 06:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xf33996…
10-12 06:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xed5ddd…
10-12 06:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeca9c8…
10-12 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x76f880…
10-12 06:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c5802…
10-12 06:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xad279b…
10-12 06:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x499a9b…
10-12 05:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x44d19b…
10-12 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xced3a3…
10-12 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xe43116…
10-12 05:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9cdf3d…
10-12 05:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x10f73d…
10-12 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xa1b17d…
10-12 05:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x003dbb…
10-12 05:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x96d733…
10-12 05:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x63bb34…
10-12 03:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xdc99a8…
10-12 03:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0x337e1f…
10-12 03:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xb35ff0…
10-12 03:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x0e34a4…
10-12 03:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xc45e3a…
10-12 03:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x65da4c…
10-12 02:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	55	54¢	$29	0x74cad5…
10-12 02:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd0fade…
10-12 02:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	78	80¢	$62	0x85b23d…
10-12 02:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	57¢	$44	0xa6f756…
10-12 02:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x7b561c…
10-12 02:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf1ff24…
10-12 02:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x53c4f9…
10-12 02:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x5631f7…
10-12 02:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xc0dde8…
10-12 02:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x64d270…
10-12 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x12baa3…
10-12 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x0a1207…
10-12 02:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc67995…
10-12 02:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xca377e…
10-12 02:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0bd3e9…
10-12 02:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x26b771…
10-11 14:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0x72e428…
10-11 14:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbfa36c…
10-11 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x136ac9…
10-11 11:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	45¢	$33	0x529ba2…
10-11 11:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	56¢	$19	0x292a69…
10-11 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xdf6826…
10-11 11:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xe4e00d…
10-11 11:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x7eb85b…
10-11 11:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	113	43¢	$48	0x79c902…
10-11 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x4f0150…
10-11 10:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x799689…
10-11 10:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x7888fa…
10-11 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	54¢	$38	0x15b81f…
10-11 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x2d58be…
10-11 10:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x919fac…
10-11 10:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0x7cebe2…
10-11 10:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0x88e187…
10-11 09:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xee6c1d…
10-11 09:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x93e1ab…
10-11 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	44¢	$24	0xc8d57b…
10-11 09:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x9f6349…
10-11 09:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xcba0b8…
10-11 08:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x722d36…
10-11 06:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x999684…
10-11 06:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x047799…
10-11 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x1f589a…
10-11 06:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	53¢	$16	0x2684f5…
10-11 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xc82150…
10-11 06:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x782d3f…
10-11 06:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c4a8d…
10-11 00:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x2a40f4…
10-11 00:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x6d0662…
10-10 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfaaa61…
10-10 17:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x1530f3…
10-10 17:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x54388a…
10-10 17:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0xf9db83…
10-10 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x01c434…
10-10 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x98bc01…
10-10 16:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x08dc59…
10-10 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0xb12c30…
10-10 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x87778a…