Smooth-Election — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,555

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-06 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

49% 50% $-1

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl tot wes 2026 01 17 tot	6	$337	221	221	+0	open	—	01-17 17:00
bitcoin up or down january 19 9am et	31	$335	260	210	+50	open	—	01-19 15:01
bitcoin up or down january 19 7am et	18	$247	170	170	+0	open	—	01-19 13:18
efa oxf1 sun 2026 02 15 sun	2	$225	124	124	+0	open	—	02-15 16:01
bitcoin up or down january 17 2am et	5	$221	219	119	+100	open	—	01-17 08:07
epl ars che 2026 03 01 spread home 2pt5	2	$220	121	121	+0	open	—	03-01 18:28
sea nap sas 2026 01 17 nap	3	$215	120	120	+0	open	—	01-17 19:01
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	2	$207	119	119	+0	open	—	03-01 15:59
lal lev val 2026 02 15 lev	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	02-15 19:15
bitcoin up or down january 19 8am et	11	$202	143	143	+0	open	—	01-19 14:01
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$200	104	104	+0	open	—	03-11 22:24
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 cry	4	$198	118	118	+0	open	—	03-01 14:07
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	2	$198	109	109	+0	open	—	03-18 19:05
epl ars che 2026 03 01 che	2	$183	110	110	+0	open	—	03-01 08:09
fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 ogc	2	$182	103	103	+0	open	—	02-15 21:54
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	2	$174	94	94	+0	open	—	01-25 16:51
bun lei wol 2026 02 15 wol	2	$174	124	124	+0	open	—	02-15 17:48
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	4	$171	120	110	+10	open	—	01-25 18:30
lal osa mal 2026 03 06 mal	2	$165	184	75	+109	open	—	03-07 14:57
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 spread away 1pt5	2	$163	94	94	+0	open	—	03-11 20:41
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 tot	2	$162	87	87	+0	open	—	03-15 17:55
epl che bre 2026 01 17 bre	2	$162	96	96	+0	open	—	01-17 15:53
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 spread home 1pt5	2	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 14:11
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	4	$159	104	104	+1	open	—	04-27 19:43
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	4	$158	93	93	+0	open	—	01-17 16:37
epl mac not 2026 03 04 not	1	$145	165	0	+165	open	—	03-04 13:59
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 mad	2	$145	94	94	+0	open	—	03-01 00:32
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	5	$142	85	85	+0	open	—	01-15 10:42
epl cry che 2026 01 25 cry	2	$141	81	81	+0	open	—	01-25 15:24
btc updown 15m 1768642200	7	$140	85	82	+3	open	—	01-17 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 18:37:52	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xeca48b…
06-06 18:36:52	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9699fa…
06-06 16:47:46	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x32f14a…
06-06 12:44:48	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xa89f20…
06-05 14:13:12	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa661ae…
06-05 12:13:25	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x83114f…
06-05 12:12:28	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xd264a3…
06-05 06:13:13	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x91447e…
06-04 13:10:15	Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x092373…
06-03 17:45:24	Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf81bcd…
06-02 19:43:45	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x5ed222…
06-02 17:23:44	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x80b09e…
05-16 16:11:27	Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)	Lille OSC	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8c7717…
05-16 15:49:36	SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xed2604…
05-16 14:45:21	Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x655ab3…
05-16 13:54:24	SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0c4170…
05-16 13:51:36	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x4397e6…
05-16 13:00:51	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7e84c2…
05-16 12:56:30	Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xc66221…
05-14 19:58:22	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x767d11…
05-14 08:10:26	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xca0b6a…
05-10 21:03:11	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x855a27…
05-10 19:48:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x5fe6ad…
05-10 19:46:24	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x1e8541…
05-10 17:40:27	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x54b305…
05-09 18:07:16	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x522952…
05-09 16:36:02	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xed1af4…
05-05 18:58:56	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xba83bb…
05-02 17:43:58	FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0x3414b1…
05-02 17:43:34	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	26	63¢	$17	0x461f61…
05-02 17:40:58	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0x65eb91…
05-02 17:37:12	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xc4e795…
05-02 15:59:20	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcb68c6…
05-02 15:56:24	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa5a09e…
05-02 13:50:08	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xfa883d…
04-27 21:03:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x0cda16…
04-27 20:53:56	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d3109…
04-27 20:47:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdf7b1e…
04-27 20:45:36	Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x96a50c…
04-27 20:35:14	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x79ce8a…
04-27 20:34:48	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x88ba35…
04-27 20:34:32	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x600f02…
04-27 20:30:06	Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa58c2a…
04-27 20:11:10	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdbbc72…
04-27 19:55:46	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x4f377c…
04-27 19:43:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xee2f22…
04-27 19:43:10	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x362d65…
04-27 19:10:26	SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x42fe26…
04-27 16:24:32	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x597345…
04-27 15:33:18	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x5d23b3…
04-27 15:32:24	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	SELL	93	74¢	$69	0x3fe566…
04-26 18:07:30	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	94	77¢	$72	0x042389…
04-26 17:54:44	Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x0419f8…
04-26 16:42:38	Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	72	92¢	$67	0x80683d…
04-26 16:41:46	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	SELL	70	95¢	$67	0x673fb1…
04-26 15:41:24	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x24476a…
04-26 15:33:42	Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x1499d0…
04-26 15:31:24	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe0b721…
04-26 14:09:18	Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xc6c58f…
04-26 14:08:58	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	41	69¢	$28	0x2f6f4a…
04-25 21:11:46	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xe9c2a4…
04-25 20:57:20	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x00d77b…
04-25 20:40:56	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0x29f427…
04-25 20:39:28	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xed48a6…
04-25 18:57:20	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xa8c2bc…
04-25 18:55:14	Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9bc1f5…
04-25 18:30:06	Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x5ff13f…
04-25 18:28:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x64f086…
04-25 16:20:02	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9c1355…
04-25 16:13:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0x643bc5…
04-25 15:51:42	Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x5d92a7…
04-25 15:18:52	Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x31de3b…
04-25 15:18:28	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x520161…
04-25 14:56:24	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x470617…
04-25 14:55:10	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x96cb8f…
04-25 13:56:06	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x66a8ba…
04-25 12:23:08	Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x48cf3b…
04-25 12:20:52	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x1d3f08…
04-25 12:20:02	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xd4576a…
04-25 11:44:54	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb8d896…
04-25 10:52:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xaeb55f…
04-24 15:13:24	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x976dc4…
04-21 17:56:10	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 spread home 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc0282e…
04-19 17:28:32	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 cry	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x027e60…
04-19 17:27:50	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf1e56b…
04-19 17:16:08	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x7f128a…
04-19 17:14:48	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xdeeb61…
04-19 15:43:24	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x37cb7d…
04-19 15:10:36	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x75642e…
04-19 13:36:42	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xfca90b…
04-18 17:31:50	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf3aa93…
04-18 15:40:58	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x04882e…
04-18 13:14:52	bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 b04	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0x6117db…
04-15 19:48:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	No	BUY	63	71¢	$45	0x1511de…
04-14 21:13:28	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0x358352…
04-14 21:05:02	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xaf841d…
04-14 20:22:10	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x178d94…
04-14 20:21:22	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 btts	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x7b2039…
04-14 20:08:20	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 btts	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x63fdb4…
04-14 17:20:26	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x27af4a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	336	$705.8K	44,862	02-28 16:14
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	336	$1.19K	1,382	04-18 18:28
(anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b	334	$137.3K	6,376	02-28 16:10
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	332	$513.0K	64,807	03-08 08:18
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	331	$324.3K	41,652	02-28 16:14
Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238	321	$22.0K	579	02-28 16:00
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	319	$1.01M	179,211	02-19 14:53
(anonymous) 0x0976…5989	319	$1.90K	2,358	02-19 14:51