Rundown-Ruby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

127

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 09-29 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

47% 61% -$10

Crypto

41% 96% +$8

Politics

7% 83% -$6

Sports

6% 57% +$13

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$341	171	171	+0	No	$0	04-20 02:59
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$338	169	169	+0	No	$0	04-25 10:20
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$338	169	169	+0	No	$0	04-26 06:20
Will Beatriz Haddad Maia win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$335	168	168	+0	No	$0	04-26 07:06
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$335	168	168	+0	No	$0	04-20 03:24
Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$329	165	165	+0	No	$0	04-24 10:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$325	166	166	+0	Yes	-$7	05-26 09:05
will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$325	163	163	+0	No	$0	03-28 05:52
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$324	163	163	+0	No	$0	03-28 06:12
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$320	161	161	+0	No	$0	03-18 10:48
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-11 09:43
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-09 06:49
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-09 07:08
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-23 03:58
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	05-14 07:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$316	158	158	+0	No	+$0	04-04 09:04
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$316	158	158	+0	No	$0	05-23 03:39
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$316	158	158	+0	No	$0	05-16 03:26
will maverick mcnealy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$314	158	158	+0	No	$0	03-24 09:52
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-18 09:19
ethereum above 2500 on april 19	1	$171	171	0	+171	No	+$0	04-19 08:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$169	169	0	+169	No	+$0	05-09 07:12
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?	1	$169	169	0	+169	Yes	+$0	05-10 03:06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$169	169	0	+169	No	+$0	05-08 04:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	1	$169	169	0	+169	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:34
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	1	$168	168	0	+168	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:55
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 5?	1	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	05-05 08:06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 7?	1	$168	168	0	+168	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	05-01 07:59
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	05-15 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:51:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.50 end of October?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xcfefda…
09-29 12:28:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xdfd615…
09-29 12:28:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in September?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8642cc…
09-29 12:27:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in September?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe9d834…
09-29 12:26:59	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9a344…
09-29 12:23:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1187df…
08-28 07:45:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x004fc0…
07-10 05:25:10	will spy reach 780 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa0574a…
07-10 05:23:55	will abnb reach 160 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xbd09d9…
07-10 05:23:11	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xe189aa…
06-26 08:23:59	will googl reach 395 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x0d213c…
06-01 08:19:29	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 2?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x08f086…
06-01 08:12:29	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xb3e081…
05-31 08:34:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x0dd5b5…
05-31 08:30:19	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	Kansas City Royals	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x575466…
05-30 09:42:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,250	0¢	$4	0x99f2b1…
05-30 07:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x9c6b57…
05-30 07:02:38	Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc6c20…
05-28 12:10:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0dd0e5…
05-28 10:52:28	Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7792c1…
05-27 11:59:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xfbaefb…
05-27 11:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xca13ef…
05-27 11:46:59	Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9d73a7…
05-26 09:18:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x434024…
05-26 09:08:42	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x160924…
05-26 09:05:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	166	96¢	$159	0x5fa9d6…
05-25 11:57:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xd301e1…
05-24 08:51:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x51f832…
05-23 04:02:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xd51d63…
05-23 03:58:19	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x07e0be…
05-23 03:54:09	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x6519db…
05-23 03:41:52	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xbd7a1e…
05-23 03:39:30	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xd640d7…
05-23 03:14:44	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x45bb5f…
05-22 10:38:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x66e465…
05-21 03:47:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x2fca38…
05-19 12:32:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xac580e…
05-18 09:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x548bbc…
05-18 09:19:07	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x0a5cfc…
05-18 08:58:34	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xd7ae62…
05-18 08:54:04	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xca8ffc…
05-17 08:20:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x6138c5…
05-16 03:28:20	Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Virtus.pro	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc45da2…
05-16 03:26:23	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x5be12e…
05-16 03:03:31	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x7738d8…
05-15 13:01:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xca64fb…
05-14 08:04:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x2e3c77…
05-14 07:58:47	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x7cf37b…
05-14 07:38:42	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x021823…
05-13 04:16:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x856cd9…
05-12 11:48:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xc1409a…
05-11 09:48:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xc4132f…
05-11 09:43:02	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xf6b8a2…
05-11 09:31:29	Unics Kazan vs. BC Zenit	BC Zenit	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x82d5f9…
05-11 09:21:27	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x981cfd…
05-10 03:06:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x19fc7f…
05-09 07:12:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xc575ff…
05-09 07:08:32	Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x9a729d…
05-09 06:51:53	Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x25116d…
05-09 06:49:30	Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xefb30c…
05-09 05:40:10	Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x21f2a6…
05-08 04:09:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x9febf7…
05-07 08:43:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x23c101…
05-05 08:06:02	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 5?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x17ef96…
05-04 09:55:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x63813e…
05-03 08:23:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d35e5…
05-03 08:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x037057…
05-02 07:37:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 2?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x04b5c7…
05-02 07:36:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xa038ab…
05-01 07:59:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x0fb72f…
04-30 08:21:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xddd01a…
04-29 06:21:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x8b1ef0…
04-27 05:23:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x62d3d0…
04-26 07:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x177919…
04-26 07:06:24	Will Beatriz Haddad Maia win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x56da13…
04-26 06:50:28	Will Beatriz Haddad Maia win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x26290f…
04-26 06:20:16	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x29f654…
04-26 06:00:12	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x464d0e…
04-25 10:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x1b0c7c…
04-25 10:20:46	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x773b12…
04-25 09:34:30	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xb48139…
04-24 10:43:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xc563e5…
04-24 10:28:48	Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcd88d7…
04-24 10:27:58	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xa876b6…
04-24 09:24:48	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x56ebc0…
04-23 08:48:34	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xb000c4…
04-22 08:57:18	ethereum above 2600 on april 22	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xf7b559…
04-21 09:00:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x7ee561…
04-21 08:04:42	Madrid Open: Robin Montgomery vs Magda Linette	Robin Montgomery	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xc6efcf…
04-20 03:31:58	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x54f00c…
04-20 03:24:22	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x1ac196…
04-20 03:04:22	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xd038e3…
04-20 03:02:32	Shymkent: Tomasz Berkieta vs Jelle Sels	Tomasz Berkieta	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7f4834…
04-20 02:59:48	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x1cc7b1…
04-20 02:39:24	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x329b74…
04-19 08:04:26	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x50bdad…
04-15 03:57:52	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xf5dfe2…
04-14 06:59:27	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x275617…
04-14 06:09:29	mlb cle stl 2026 04 14	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x63bad3…
04-13 06:43:59	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x249eb5…