Somber-Workbench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 08-06 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

100% 20% -$271

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	3	$194	164	164	+0	Yes	+$134	06-19 18:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	4	$178	610	423	+187	No	-$85	06-16 16:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$147	241	241	+0	Yes	-$17	06-22 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$114	356	356	+0	No	-$38	06-20 21:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$111	110	110	+0	Yes	+$36	06-12 13:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$97	283	283	+0	No	+$12	06-16 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	3	$92	416	416	+0	No	-$57	06-14 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$69	54	54	+0	Yes	+$39	06-30 17:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$62	173	173	+0	Yes	-$28	06-14 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$61	68	68	+0	Yes	+$35	06-09 10:14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	6	$54	87	87	+0	No	-$2	05-22 13:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$51	197	197	+0	No	-$35	06-14 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$48	136	136	+0	No	-$12	06-25 02:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$43	101	101	+0	No	-$8	07-01 11:48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$42	27	27	+0	Yes	+$12	06-26 16:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	3	$41	131	124	+7	No	-$25	06-12 11:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$41	81	81	+0	No	-$11	07-02 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$35	89	0	+89	No	-$35	06-20 21:01
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$33	63	63	+0	No	-$7	07-21 03:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$30	100	100	+0	No	-$30	06-25 02:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$29	59	59	+0	No	+$3	06-09 10:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	4	$26	74	74	+0	No	-$2	08-06 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$25	77	77	+0	Yes	-$1	05-26 20:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$24	52	52	+0	No	-$8	07-19 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$23	42	42	+0	No	+$8	06-04 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$23	49	49	+0	No	-$10	07-03 12:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$23	22	22	+0	Yes	+$13	06-02 19:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$23	35	35	+0	No	+$7	06-15 22:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$22	64	51	+13	No	-$5	05-24 23:12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$21	145	0	+145	No	-$21	05-18 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 11:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x0ec3fd…
08-06 11:56:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x277aca…
08-06 06:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa1a410…
08-06 06:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5f657c…
08-06 06:42:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x2b9b64…
08-06 06:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x4808f1…
08-06 06:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x1c3fc2…
08-06 06:40:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x43b146…
08-04 19:56:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9ca61c…
08-03 20:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xec4e43…
08-01 10:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe1eecd…
08-01 10:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8920bd…
07-31 16:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xb9a2ce…
07-31 15:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0xbeb17f…
07-31 01:33:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x5159d6…
07-31 01:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8742c4…
07-30 04:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1dffe8…
07-30 04:49:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x5e3ea8…
07-29 22:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	16¢	$10	0x3a4133…
07-28 03:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x0ab625…
07-28 03:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xbf4d0c…
07-25 05:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x68442a…
07-25 05:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x1008b5…
07-25 05:00:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x5c0ab4…
07-24 21:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xc7a85e…
07-24 19:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc6385a…
07-24 19:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbe145a…
07-22 11:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x9830f2…
07-22 11:40:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0xe8cd7a…
07-22 11:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x64b928…
07-22 11:26:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xf92a25…
07-21 03:48:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xece198…
07-21 03:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x57c93a…
07-21 03:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	21¢	$13	0xda7b3a…
07-19 23:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xcfc6bd…
07-19 23:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x79ae23…
07-19 15:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x5ad5ec…
07-19 14:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x81fdba…
07-18 17:54:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0x03aef8…
07-18 17:54:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0x64311a…
07-14 16:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0x4c0f23…
07-14 15:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xaf7dec…
07-14 15:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	7¢	$5	0xae3ae6…
07-13 20:37:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd97ff4…
07-12 14:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x1f8236…
07-12 12:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x096186…
07-12 12:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xef919e…
07-11 11:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa48912…
07-11 11:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x097f7d…
07-10 11:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x11283a…
07-10 11:51:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$3	0x0e1ac8…
07-09 10:52:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x146e01…
07-09 10:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0x7c7535…
07-09 10:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x771aea…
07-06 10:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5efcb0…
07-06 10:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x318049…
07-05 08:59:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe123e0…
07-05 08:58:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x51247b…
07-05 08:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x5ab966…
07-04 20:00:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xc9fa14…
07-04 07:26:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x892bb6…
07-04 07:16:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xb4ebbc…
07-03 15:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x5c1d2d…
07-03 15:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	10¢	$7	0x58f103…
07-03 12:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x7720ed…
07-03 12:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0x3a70c2…
07-02 15:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0x3ad0b3…
07-02 15:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	18¢	$15	0xdf6e0c…
07-01 16:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	34¢	$16	0x8fe8ce…
07-01 11:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	18¢	$18	0x1d4c34…
06-30 17:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$26	0xd2d100…
06-30 17:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	32¢	$26	0x41207a…
06-30 17:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x667be3…
06-29 17:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3b2079…
06-29 17:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0xeb8a77…
06-26 16:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$13	0xa3714c…
06-26 16:26:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xe26841…
06-26 16:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb51f1f…
06-25 09:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x6745c5…
06-25 02:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	13¢	$18	0x2941c3…
06-25 02:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xfdf8ac…
06-22 15:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xcb6479…
06-22 15:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x190e8b…
06-22 15:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	27¢	$65	0xa0adcf…
06-20 21:01:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	40¢	$35	0xcb3eeb…
06-20 21:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	11¢	$38	0xc56fc2…
06-19 18:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	356	21¢	$76	0x713438…
06-19 18:18:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	34¢	$82	0x0e5ce8…
06-19 18:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xc89e6d…
06-16 16:14:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	27¢	$50	0x785d08…
06-16 16:12:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	283	19¢	$55	0x830808…
06-15 22:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0xb626cf…
06-15 22:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0xede2c0…
06-14 07:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0x1f8da4…
06-14 07:36:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	10¢	$17	0x78b6ab…
06-14 07:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x234196…
06-14 07:30:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	4¢	$8	0xf45c73…
06-14 07:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	15¢	$42	0xb7d636…
06-14 07:28:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	423	11¢	$47	0xb94684…
06-14 07:26:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0x55dca8…