Hoarse-Teletype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-29 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

76% 40% $-22

Politics

18% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$239	312	312	+0	open	—	04-08 01:15
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	3	$186	294	294	+0	open	—	04-10 12:45
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	6	$152	155	152	+3	open	—	04-15 13:32
spx up or down on april 13 2026	3	$140	358	358	+0	open	—	04-13 18:42
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	2	$130	471	471	+0	open	—	04-14 10:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	6	$93	145	95	+50	open	—	04-11 03:24
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	2	$87	58	57	+1	open	—	04-12 03:59
will tisza win at least 120 seats	2	$84	55	55	+0	open	—	04-13 02:54
spx up or down on april 14 2026	4	$79	280	280	+0	open	—	04-14 15:28
spx up or down on april 10 2026	2	$61	146	0	+146	open	—	04-10 13:53
unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	2	$45	33	33	+0	open	—	04-12 14:12
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-11 02:26
spx up or down on april 15 2026	2	$29	69	68	+2	open	—	04-15 17:44
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$25	52	0	+52	open	—	06-13 18:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	2	$24	40	40	+0	Up	$-16	05-07 12:16
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	1	$20	114	0	+114	open	—	06-15 06:57
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$19	22	0	+22	No	+$3	05-06 06:34
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	1	$17	31	0	+31	open	—	06-29 21:15
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$17	18	0	+18	Yes	+$1	05-05 16:21
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	06-12 20:47
casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 09 2026 3pt32	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 19:20
dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	06-09 06:17
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 21:13
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	06-13 15:01
Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-24 03:48
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	$-5	05-04 20:03
chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 19:21
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	$-5	05-04 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:15:41	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x6f36bc…
06-15 06:57:27	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	114	18¢	$20	0x26fc16…
06-13 18:28:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x61d367…
06-13 17:56:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5db91d…
06-13 15:01:39	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x024b2a…
06-12 20:47:13	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x07309e…
06-09 19:21:00	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf8bab6…
06-09 19:20:39	casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 09 2026 3pt32	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x60e4e5…
06-09 06:17:01	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa7f73e…
05-24 03:48:09	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf74d10…
05-07 12:16:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x513f2e…
05-07 02:32:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcc96a6…
05-06 06:34:28	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x10ff38…
05-05 16:21:14	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x953526…
05-04 20:03:52	Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6fd7aa…
05-04 20:03:42	Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x97bbc0…
04-16 21:13:50	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x09adea…
04-15 17:44:46	spx up or down on april 15 2026	Down	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0xa79785…
04-15 13:43:32	spx up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xd96616…
04-15 13:32:46	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5c3b8a…
04-15 12:53:36	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x0023a3…
04-15 12:42:18	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Down	SELL	64	30¢	$19	0x166d15…
04-15 12:21:06	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xaab9a8…
04-15 05:32:42	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Down	SELL	62	47¢	$29	0xf2743d…
04-14 23:53:16	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x1cf34f…
04-14 15:28:39	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	SELL	280	3¢	$9	0xb9ce87…
04-14 13:32:21	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x8c7ca4…
04-14 13:32:21	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x37b1fb…
04-14 13:32:19	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x074e6a…
04-14 10:50:05	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	Yes	SELL	471	14¢	$66	0x92de58…
04-13 18:42:41	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	358	2¢	$7	0x4890ff…
04-13 16:43:57	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x52882b…
04-13 14:31:07	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	240	47¢	$113	0xfd064c…
04-13 02:54:33	will tisza win at least 120 seats	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0x11e17c…
04-12 14:12:51	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0xea5c63…
04-12 05:21:47	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	Yes	BUY	471	14¢	$64	0x34773f…
04-12 03:59:23	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xad85f2…
04-12 03:41:49	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x4a1509…
04-11 15:37:33	will tisza win at least 120 seats	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xccc7bf…
04-11 03:24:09	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0x1cbc95…
04-11 03:22:43	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x38145a…
04-11 03:22:37	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0xba121a…
04-11 03:21:09	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x41e8cb…
04-11 03:12:11	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x92b850…
04-11 02:49:29	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x7a0d80…
04-11 02:26:41	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x24782d…
04-10 13:53:21	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	73	43¢	$31	0x367c79…
04-10 13:49:11	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x5fe210…
04-10 12:45:41	spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	294	12¢	$36	0x21daf4…
04-10 10:59:01	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xddae81…
04-10 02:02:57	spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x96e9ef…
04-09 23:18:21	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x2dc9eb…
04-09 22:08:19	spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xf13152…
04-08 01:15:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	312	70¢	$219	0xd5d3aa…
04-07 05:16:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	312	6¢	$20	0x338090…