Careless-Buyer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

2,454

Trades

2,594

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-16 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 66% -$68

Other

4% 30% -$84

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	19	$371	329	329	+0	Yes	-$4	07-10 14:55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 11?	5	$65	80	80	+0	No	-$5	07-10 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	8	$39	43	37	+7	Yes	+$1	07-16 14:00
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	9	$28	40	18	+22	No	-$9	07-15 22:12
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt6b	3	$27	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	07-10 14:55
will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	3	$23	40	40	+0	No	+$1	07-14 12:32
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	-$20	07-10 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 08:30 UTC	2	$19	28	0	+28	Down	+$9	06-05 08:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 07:45 UTC	2	$19	35	0	+35	Up	-$19	06-05 07:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 10:30 UTC	2	$18	31	0	+31	Up	-$18	06-05 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	8	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	07-14 06:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	2	$18	41	0	+41	Down	+$23	06-05 02:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 06:45 UTC	2	$18	21	0	+21	Down	+$3	06-05 06:50
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?	3	$17	20	10	+10	No	-$4	07-14 20:27
bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt33	1	$17	20	0	+20	Yes	+$3	07-10 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	4	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-14 02:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-14 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	-$13	07-14 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$13	18	0	+18	Down	+$5	06-02 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$13	25	0	+25	Up	-$13	06-02 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$13	23	0	+23	Up	-$13	06-02 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	06-02 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$12	16	0	+16	Down	+$4	06-02 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$12	19	0	+19	Down	+$6	06-02 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$12	19	0	+19	Up	-$12	06-02 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$12	26	0	+26	Down	+$14	06-02 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	Down	+$5	06-02 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$12	16	0	+16	Down	+$4	06-02 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$12	15	0	+15	Up	-$12	06-02 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	06-02 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 14:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x33f68f…
07-16 13:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 17?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1b1d95…
07-16 11:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc822c5…
07-16 11:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x9a7864…
07-16 10:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x14e5b6…
07-16 09:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5950a4…
07-16 08:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x82be08…
07-16 08:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xb23a8c…
07-16 08:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xbe1a65…
07-16 06:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xff74e2…
07-16 00:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4b3812…
07-15 22:28:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xc5f28b…
07-15 22:13:07	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x26449a…
07-15 22:12:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd98dae…
07-15 22:12:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd14c18…
07-15 22:11:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xdeec88…
07-15 21:57:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x975c36…
07-15 21:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x8b854f…
07-15 19:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xaf5065…
07-15 17:12:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x50c946…
07-15 17:09:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xd22fa4…
07-15 17:09:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x1705b6…
07-15 17:07:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xef9e01…
07-15 16:48:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x97a0cf…
07-15 16:02:35	will nvda dip to 200 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x246663…
07-15 15:43:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x648e85…
07-15 15:27:26	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0b910e…
07-15 15:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4a6fe6…
07-15 13:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x135f26…
07-15 12:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xcfb8fc…
07-15 12:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x80a716…
07-15 12:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x32bf91…
07-15 10:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x52b3a8…
07-15 03:19:07	will nvda dip to 200 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x59b99a…
07-14 23:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xf2dd1d…
07-14 22:56:26	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xceeec8…
07-14 20:27:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x87a36f…
07-14 17:18:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x79d56a…
07-14 16:15:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0a4fc5…
07-14 15:44:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf5aaf0…
07-14 15:39:53	will ewy reach 188 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xba8c0b…
07-14 13:30:05	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x4a4f4a…
07-14 12:58:52	will mu reach 990 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4d5dcf…
07-14 12:32:26	will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xa32c5f…
07-14 11:29:10	will mu reach 1050 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x5dec08…
07-14 08:05:04	will mu reach 990 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x185f2c…
07-14 08:04:11	will mu reach 1050 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xed9c5d…
07-14 06:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa2f0ea…
07-14 06:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x05f823…
07-14 05:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x936774…
07-14 05:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x6522fa…
07-14 02:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xaea847…
07-14 02:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x5d00c1…
07-14 02:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x6d5d06…
07-14 01:03:14	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa5174a…
07-14 00:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xb1cea5…
07-14 00:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x4e602f…
07-13 22:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x49c941…
07-13 22:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0482d4…
07-13 21:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xa95a8a…
07-13 20:13:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 14?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc61913…
07-13 20:12:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb18ef8…
07-13 19:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x85b4b2…
07-13 19:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5eff69…
07-13 18:12:10	will ewy reach 188 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8c7605…
07-13 16:16:19	will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x01c87f…
07-13 16:00:43	will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x38211c…
07-13 14:26:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x2d30b5…
07-13 14:07:07	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x216a0c…
07-13 13:45:49	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4a58b8…
07-13 13:45:34	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6231b9…
07-13 13:43:34	will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x28d6f6…
07-13 13:40:38	will mu reach 1050 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xea4665…
07-13 13:37:31	will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x27d351…
07-10 20:57:11	Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x11751f…
07-10 20:56:38	Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8b91ce…
07-10 20:56:26	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xa7e68c…
07-10 18:10:17	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xec408f…
07-10 18:03:56	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt33	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbca852…
07-10 14:55:34	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt6b	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xbfc3f3…
07-10 14:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	No	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0xe10e36…
07-10 14:54:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 11?	No	SELL	80	37¢	$30	0x0381e1…
07-10 13:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	Yes	SELL	300	57¢	$171	0x404cdd…
07-10 13:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xec1161…
07-10 13:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdbe992…
07-10 13:23:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x47b571…
07-10 13:19:56	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt6b	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x90ade4…
07-10 13:18:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x994543…
07-10 13:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xf9814f…
06-25 04:34:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xa42e6a…
06-25 04:34:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x808460…
06-25 04:34:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x260a58…
06-25 03:05:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xc9d349…
06-25 03:05:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x2a33b7…
06-25 02:49:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xcc4cd4…
06-25 02:39:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x2ae85d…
06-25 01:19:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x87367e…
06-25 01:07:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7e434e…
06-24 23:51:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x140219…
06-24 23:50:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xcedb78…