Rusty-Notation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

658

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-07 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-252

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$128	150	+150	Down	+$22	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$128	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-06 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$128	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$128	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$128	150	+150	Down	$-128	05-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$128	150	+150	Up	$-128	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-05 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	9	$127	150	+150	Up	$-127	05-07 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	10	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-07 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	9	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-06 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	9	$127	150	+150	Down	+$22	05-07 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$127	150	+150	Up	$-127	05-06 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	15	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-05 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-07 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	7	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	10	$127	150	+150	Up	+$22	05-05 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$127	150	+150	Down	+$23	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$126	150	+150	Down	+$24	05-07 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$125	150	+150	Up	$-125	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$123	150	+150	Up	+$27	05-07 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$118	150	+150	Up	+$32	05-05 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$116	150	+150	Down	$-116	05-06 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$114	150	+150	Down	+$36	05-07 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$112	150	+150	Up	+$38	05-07 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$111	150	+150	Down	$-111	05-07 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$108	150	+150	Up	+$42	05-06 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$105	150	+150	Down	+$45	05-05 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$103	150	+150	Down	+$47	05-06 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$99	116	+116	Up	+$17	05-05 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd6a2d5…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xcbc8f6…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0x9fe73c…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x84cd17…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6bf073…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$16	0x5169c5…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x2b5514…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x1aedf9…
05-07 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x0f77dd…
05-07 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	150	74¢	$111	0xf9355a…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xc9cc5e…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc43da0…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x943f57…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x8f6a05…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7c54fc…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x77fa25…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x46465e…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2c46ef…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	85¢	$58	0x29e588…
05-07 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x070729…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe0d5ba…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd2b1c6…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xc8614d…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x954b28…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x866f78…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	85¢	$44	0x6d9cff…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x6b73db…
05-07 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xf019db…
05-07 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x620803…
05-07 08:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xe0d647…
05-07 04:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0xeef2e3…
05-07 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x34dedd…
05-07 02:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcede65…
05-07 02:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	106	84¢	$89	0xce575e…
05-07 02:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0x34234b…
05-07 01:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x541f6c…
05-07 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0xc2e4e6…
05-07 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	85¢	$82	0x08549c…
05-07 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xeb0fbc…
05-07 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xc48557…
05-07 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb6495c…
05-07 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	85¢	$32	0x999705…
05-07 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x50f7f6…
05-07 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x424bb6…
05-07 01:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0x1ec484…
05-06 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0xa9f434…
05-06 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x32bf54…
05-06 20:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x14caf3…
05-06 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x4bd0c6…
05-06 20:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x9dc573…
05-06 20:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7ecb27…
05-06 20:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x74246b…
05-06 20:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2dd578…
05-06 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xe606a8…
05-06 20:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x866429…
05-06 20:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x28e239…
05-06 20:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x16d3fb…
05-06 20:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0628ee…
05-06 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x63cc05…
05-06 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x32fd0d…
05-06 17:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xfb2944…
05-06 16:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x9da105…
05-06 16:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	78¢	$116	0x92d1d7…
05-06 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	150	85¢	$127	0xe08af7…
05-06 15:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xdf0996…
05-06 14:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0x806a60…
05-06 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3abf70…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xc37459…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb46630…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$24	0x990abb…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x9218fe…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x844970…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x585ac0…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2f4a66…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x182bcb…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0ba7f3…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xfc27fd…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xf983e1…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x94a813…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x8be29f…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x6bda67…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x3e8fa1…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3d771c…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x2ac529…
05-06 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x1d8d0c…
05-06 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0xd5e16b…
05-06 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	123	85¢	$104	0x57bf1b…
05-06 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x4c629a…
05-06 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9e949e…
05-06 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0x95639b…
05-06 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	63	85¢	$54	0x05df79…
05-06 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x808f7e…
05-06 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x47c0fe…
05-06 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2220c8…
05-06 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x022f23…
05-05 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xf64d2b…
05-05 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x4b6601…
05-05 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	116	85¢	$99	0xe8c281…
05-05 13:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	65	85¢	$56	0xee5a7e…
05-05 13:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb27f4f…