Stingy-Partridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

352

Trades

805

lifetime

Volume

$35.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 11-04 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

70% 36% +$2,416

Politics

19% 34% +$1,431

Crypto

11% 47% -$164

Sports

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	10	$1.6K	2,214	2,214	+0	No	-$50	10-20 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	6	$727	987	987	+0	No	-$89	10-23 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	7	$657	2,324	2,324	+0	Yes	+$397	07-10 11:22
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$652	353	353	+0	Yes	+$52	10-20 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	9	$543	1,211	1,033	+178	No	-$175	07-21 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$514	400	400	+0	Yes	+$110	10-27 13:45
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	9	$506	2,341	2,341	+0	No	+$146	06-20 20:47
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	6	$484	1,161	1,161	+0	Yes	-$16	10-12 18:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$451	570	570	+0	Yes	+$251	10-16 05:42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$446	504	504	+0	Yes	+$106	07-28 18:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$422	511	511	+0	Yes	+$262	06-05 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	10	$393	608	608	+0	Yes	+$91	07-17 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	5	$385	676	676	+0	No	+$85	07-08 21:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$376	302	302	+0	Yes	+$176	07-31 16:42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	4	$367	536	536	+0	Yes	+$145	09-04 14:43
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$361	313	313	+0	Yes	+$261	05-20 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	4	$356	386	386	+0	Yes	+$96	06-16 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$343	301	301	+0	Yes	+$243	05-29 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	5	$338	708	708	+0	No	-$22	06-23 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	6	$336	1,284	1,284	+0	Yes	-$66	10-20 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	9	$321	698	594	+104	No	-$39	07-17 11:10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$320	735	735	+0	No	+$36	10-08 18:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$320	1,358	1,358	+0	No	-$40	06-12 12:10
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$318	218	218	+0	Yes	+$118	06-02 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	13	$317	1,506	1,506	+0	No	-$35	07-17 11:11
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$316	216	216	+0	Yes	+$116	10-31 06:30
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$300	577	0	+577	Yes	+$277	10-30 22:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$299	286	286	+0	Yes	+$99	10-09 13:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	8	$294	853	853	+0	No	-$41	07-06 16:24
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$286	259	259	+0	Yes	+$105	07-06 04:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	597	11¢	$67	0x96c94c…
11-03 17:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	597	17¢	$100	0xc5e6a1…
11-02 19:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	6¢	$14	0x4b501f…
11-01 11:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0x4841d2…
11-01 00:19:34	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	15¢	$62	0x725ce9…
10-31 20:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	501	15¢	$75	0x0c7946…
10-31 06:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	709	2¢	$16	0x0dd43c…
10-31 06:30:54	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xc84450…
10-30 22:24:45	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0x01df12…
10-30 17:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	13¢	$55	0x0d1024…
10-30 16:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	709	4¢	$30	0xaf54f5…
10-30 16:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	11¢	$17	0x2e354a…
10-30 16:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	12¢	$18	0x0b5692…
10-30 16:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x84f059…
10-30 16:29:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	392	14¢	$55	0x8484af…
10-30 14:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	13¢	$65	0xa6e3f4…
10-30 13:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	17¢	$51	0x9cb127…
10-30 13:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	518	22¢	$115	0xd5a161…
10-30 10:55:31	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	16¢	$21	0x8577ef…
10-30 05:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	403	14¢	$55	0x2be7ac…
10-30 05:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	518	19¢	$100	0x4af29d…
10-29 16:56:29	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x904dfa…
10-29 16:56:01	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xd10323…
10-29 12:15:04	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x2cc0cd…
10-29 07:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	30¢	$141	0x34ca1f…
10-28 10:26:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	3¢	$6	0x18b02f…
10-28 05:58:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	214	98¢	$211	0x998993…
10-27 18:45:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0x03e9bc…
10-27 18:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	22¢	$100	0xdd16a0…
10-27 15:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	30¢	$50	0x653814…
10-27 15:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xfa41e3…
10-27 13:45:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	78¢	$312	0xa54908…
10-26 18:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$202	0x18600c…
10-26 17:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	358	5¢	$18	0x94dcfd…
10-26 09:59:53	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$11	0x4308b4…
10-25 18:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	28¢	$100	0x950ee8…
10-25 15:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	369	17¢	$62	0x67c8a8…
10-25 14:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	27¢	$100	0x6b2481…
10-25 14:13:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	633	11¢	$67	0x5b537c…
10-25 13:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xc24f12…
10-24 20:04:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbeb0a2…
10-23 21:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xee5f03…
10-23 19:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x334167…
10-23 15:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	452	20¢	$90	0xe99fae…
10-23 14:19:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	51¢	$113	0x475cbc…
10-23 13:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	56¢	$130	0x20c11b…
10-23 04:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	535	43¢	$228	0xe33b23…
10-22 19:51:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0080a6…
10-22 12:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$65	0x0911fa…
10-22 06:26:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	557	9¢	$51	0xbbf5b7…
10-22 04:50:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	30¢	$100	0x2ddfbc…
10-21 17:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	557	18¢	$100	0x1b8026…
10-21 17:37:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	23¢	$112	0x973971…
10-20 18:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	493	20¢	$100	0x0640c6…
10-20 14:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	388	45¢	$173	0x8431ac…
10-20 11:10:39	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	211	2¢	$4	0x8e4455…
10-20 05:16:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	388	77¢	$300	0xc9c61f…
10-20 05:07:36	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0xe76e16…
10-20 04:56:35	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x8329b4…
10-20 04:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	20¢	$54	0x0620f8…
10-19 20:02:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	24¢	$66	0x16b020…
10-19 20:01:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	60¢	$137	0x903a37…
10-19 18:18:48	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	211	6¢	$12	0x1acc65…
10-19 16:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	54¢	$122	0x1ab941…
10-19 16:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	9¢	$19	0x713091…
10-19 16:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	16¢	$35	0xd55296…
10-19 15:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	53¢	$209	0xb7c784…
10-19 07:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	391	51¢	$200	0xf46b5f…
10-18 18:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	595	27¢	$158	0x761e42…
10-17 11:15:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	17¢	$100	0x59aac3…
10-17 10:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	612	16¢	$95	0x5f0e88…
10-16 17:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	612	16¢	$100	0xbbb7a9…
10-16 17:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	794	8¢	$61	0x853cdd…
10-16 14:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	794	13¢	$100	0x1dd0b4…
10-16 13:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	17¢	$54	0xbd4dba…
10-16 06:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	31¢	$33	0xf9c212…
10-16 05:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	29¢	$60	0x24b34d…
10-16 05:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	62¢	$351	0x3ccf48…
10-15 04:03:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	570	18¢	$100	0x98d4e9…
10-15 04:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	438	11¢	$47	0x8d7fec…
10-14 06:58:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	318	12¢	$37	0x565299…
10-14 04:50:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	23¢	$100	0x69ba98…
10-13 13:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	7¢	$12	0x4c1c40…
10-13 13:19:29	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	7¢	$25	0x3f38f8…
10-13 11:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	27¢	$100	0x8f9f24…
10-13 06:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	9¢	$12	0x7404d7…
10-13 05:46:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	12¢	$16	0xf4b0cc…
10-12 18:37:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	18¢	$36	0x9e20ef…
10-12 15:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	24¢	$50	0x2fed43…
10-12 15:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	8¢	$19	0xb88ab4…
10-12 14:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	12¢	$30	0x084f7e…
10-12 14:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	21¢	$86	0xc796b1…
10-11 11:38:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	24¢	$100	0xa6f401…
10-11 08:15:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	541	21¢	$112	0x481d55…
10-10 15:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	541	18¢	$100	0xd42e84…
10-09 16:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	609	21¢	$129	0x8c0028…
10-09 13:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	71¢	$55	0xf49806…
10-09 13:18:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	69¢	$145	0x96fc7b…
10-09 07:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	609	16¢	$100	0x239b80…
10-09 05:07:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xae1c66…