Elementary-Caper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$2

Other

43% 96% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	06-02 01:43
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	06-09 09:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-27 02:37
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	06-06 08:02
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-30 03:45
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-23 02:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-16 06:31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-13 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-11 03:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-07 09:18
bitcoin above 58k on april 8	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	04-07 08:58
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	04-02 10:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	03-15 02:37
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	03-04 10:46
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	02-01 07:24
bitcoin above 82k on february 8	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	02-07 09:05
bitcoin above 82k on march 12	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-11 02:21
bitcoin above 84k on january 20	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	01-19 11:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	03-24 11:07
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	02-28 08:33
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	03-29 07:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 16	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-16 03:10
bitcoin above 98k on january 6	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-06 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-19 07:14
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	02-14 06:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-30 06:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	04-26 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-21 10:49
bitcoin above 82k on april 17	1	$77	78	+78	No	+$0	04-16 08:35
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	01-28 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:28:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeea577…
09-27 11:24:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0d574e…
09-27 11:23:47	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd13de5…
08-23 14:36:37	Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd18597…
06-09 09:54:15	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x8bd925…
06-06 08:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x526e55…
06-02 01:43:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x45dd67…
05-30 03:45:14	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7e6bda…
05-27 02:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xbf0151…
05-23 02:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x20ebcf…
05-16 06:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xece5b5…
05-13 08:01:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x1c9e3f…
05-11 03:16:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x963b84…
05-07 09:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xf670b8…
04-30 06:16:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xc93a21…
04-26 07:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x09bb08…
04-21 10:49:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6cfca5…
04-16 08:35:04	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0xabc168…
04-11 11:05:21	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x4cb1a8…
04-11 11:05:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa588f5…
04-11 11:04:59	Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x455426…
04-11 11:04:47	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd94abf…
04-11 11:04:37	Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe96ff…
04-07 08:58:05	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x67a372…
04-02 10:51:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x729c5b…
03-29 07:56:32	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x0986c2…
03-24 11:07:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x61c9f0…
03-19 07:14:51	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xcab8a3…
03-19 07:14:37	highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaae616…
03-19 07:14:23	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71313b…
03-15 02:37:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4ec73a…
03-11 02:21:57	bitcoin above 82k on march 12	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1f6694…
03-04 10:46:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8e24a5…
02-28 08:33:15	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x9f43ea…
02-14 06:32:17	bitcoin above 74k on february 14	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3e3558…
02-14 06:32:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x083330…
02-14 06:31:39	will xrp dip to 0pt7 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cdae7…
02-07 09:05:33	bitcoin above 82k on february 8	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x265fcd…
02-01 07:24:24	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x0152e9…
01-28 01:35:31	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x8ef8a5…
01-23 08:26:30	bitcoin above 98k on january 24	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x0b2694…
01-23 08:26:18	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0828f…
01-23 08:26:12	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe49d10…
01-19 11:01:58	bitcoin above 84k on january 20	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x05e8d1…
01-16 03:10:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 16	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb65182…
01-10 08:30:22	ethereum above 2800 on january 10	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x05078f…
01-10 08:30:12	another us strike on venezuela on january 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2dd32f…
01-10 08:30:04	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81054f…
01-06 11:28:15	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc17b09…
01-06 11:23:27	bitcoin above 98k on january 6	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa72695…