Authentic-Saw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

459

Trades

1,009

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-02 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

96% 68% -$10

Crypto

2% 50% -$29

Tech

1% 67% -$25

Politics

1% 67% -$9

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 30?	9	$283	150	150	+0	No	+$16	07-30 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?	13	$224	115	115	-0	No	+$5	07-30 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	4	$195	134	134	-0	No	+$72	07-31 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 27?	7	$175	92	92	+0	No	+$9	07-28 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 27?	5	$166	84	84	+0	No	+$2	07-27 21:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	3	$157	80	80	+0	Yes	+$2	07-31 00:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29?	5	$156	88	88	+0	No	+$20	07-30 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 26?	8	$133	68	68	+0	No	+$3	07-26 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	10	$125	91	91	+0	Yes	-$49	08-02 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?	3	$122	73	73	+0	Yes	+$22	07-14 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 31?	4	$119	61	61	+0	No	+$3	07-31 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	5	$115	58	58	+0	No	+$2	08-02 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?	2	$112	66	66	+0	Yes	+$12	07-13 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?	2	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$3	07-29 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?	9	$108	57	57	+0	No	+$5	07-27 19:29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?	5	$105	61	61	+0	Yes	+$17	07-23 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 24?	4	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$2	07-25 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?	6	$99	52	52	+0	No	+$4	07-28 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 28?	2	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$1	07-28 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?	3	$96	60	60	+0	Yes	+$24	07-18 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 26?	4	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$4	07-26 07:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 31?	2	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$1	07-31 22:47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 25?	3	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$3	07-26 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 12?	2	$91	51	51	+0	Yes	+$11	07-12 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	8	$90	110	10	+100	No	-$75	07-31 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?	4	$90	95	0	+95	No	+$5	08-01 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 20?	3	$90	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	07-20 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?	2	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	07-26 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 17?	6	$82	46	46	+0	Yes	+$10	07-17 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?	3	$81	42	42	+0	No	+$3	07-29 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 19:13:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x587de6…
08-02 19:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0x7c517f…
08-02 09:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x7c5d1c…
08-02 09:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7da546…
08-02 01:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xfe687e…
08-02 01:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb5785e…
08-02 01:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xef91b2…
08-02 01:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xde36e7…
08-02 01:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x13563f…
08-02 01:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x56a9c8…
08-02 01:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdd4f44…
08-02 01:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xda527c…
08-02 01:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x49b0cc…
08-02 01:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xbd29e7…
08-01 22:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x74566b…
08-01 22:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x9c5990…
08-01 22:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc85376…
08-01 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x03e95e…
08-01 22:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa978b8…
08-01 21:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x77266a…
08-01 21:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x251a6c…
08-01 21:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 1?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x23b500…
08-01 21:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 1?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x286d38…
08-01 21:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3164fd…
08-01 21:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x3bccbc…
08-01 21:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x8c49b7…
08-01 21:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x905194…
08-01 21:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x385d00…
08-01 17:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xca23bf…
08-01 17:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc1f13a…
08-01 17:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9f1ce0…
08-01 17:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf91b12…
08-01 17:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 1?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0x40a6af…
08-01 17:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 1?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x11cb7b…
08-01 08:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x5f0100…
08-01 08:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x0df85a…
08-01 08:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x494b16…
08-01 08:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x66f202…
08-01 08:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x1a16dc…
08-01 08:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8bc625…
08-01 08:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x75f787…
08-01 08:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x5081cd…
08-01 08:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 1?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x09def9…
08-01 07:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x904cdf…
08-01 06:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 1?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0xfba461…
08-01 06:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdee6d7…
08-01 06:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 1?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xceed33…
08-01 06:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0x5a2bea…
08-01 05:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x75b62a…
08-01 05:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xb31004…
08-01 05:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x829fd9…
08-01 05:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9c7a60…
08-01 05:17:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x77f6fc…
08-01 05:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5c483b…
08-01 03:57:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x48ff1b…
08-01 00:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xac9f70…
08-01 00:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0xc30a5a…
08-01 00:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x02db7d…
08-01 00:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa940be…
07-31 22:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xf60034…
07-31 22:47:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 31?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbdc75f…
07-31 22:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x49f7e8…
07-31 22:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9ff867…
07-31 19:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xc49994…
07-31 19:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 31?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x2a8656…
07-31 18:36:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 31?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xb002fd…
07-31 18:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xef93bf…
07-31 18:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xcf1868…
07-31 18:26:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x90e641…
07-31 18:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 31?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xc691e2…
07-31 18:21:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 31?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x60fb40…
07-31 17:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x6c6fbb…
07-31 07:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2c8382…
07-31 06:59:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xe59bfc…
07-31 06:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	No	BUY	89	46¢	$41	0x05ab15…
07-31 06:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	No	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xee2ee1…
07-31 06:45:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xda368a…
07-31 06:44:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x6d334c…
07-31 06:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xfd0aec…
07-31 06:44:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x39cff2…
07-31 06:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x391d06…
07-31 06:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf2f597…
07-31 06:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8a27fc…
07-31 06:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x46cc2a…
07-31 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5ed7ad…
07-31 06:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x77ccc6…
07-31 06:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe7a244…
07-31 06:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x29010d…
07-31 06:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1fa5d4…
07-31 06:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	58	83¢	$48	0x52292e…
07-31 06:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x9a54e9…
07-31 06:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x88e175…
07-31 06:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 31?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xef62c1…
07-31 06:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x559e98…
07-31 06:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x0aadc1…
07-31 06:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xdbd545…
07-31 03:03:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x7c3e9a…
07-31 03:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xab12cf…
07-31 03:00:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x3a891b…
07-31 03:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc5c562…