Grown-Incandescence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 09:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down		+6	$3	99¢	$6	+$3	05-10 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down		+5	$3	82¢	$4	+$1	05-10 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-08 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-09 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-07 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$3	9	+9	Up	+$6	05-09 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-08 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-10 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$3	9	+9	open	—	05-10 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	$-3	05-09 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Up	$-3	05-08 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Down	+$5	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-10 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-08 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-10 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x71f2b2…
05-10 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdf22f8…
05-10 07:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x09e86b…
05-10 07:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x360dc5…
05-10 07:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd1f22c…
05-09 15:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x265511…
05-09 03:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x24f372…
05-09 03:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x7269b0…
05-08 09:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd9a9d0…
05-08 06:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5c79c6…
05-08 05:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x373a2f…
05-08 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x74eb14…
05-07 09:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9b7956…
05-07 06:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6c20be…
05-06 17:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8af606…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$6.09K	323	05-10 09:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$3.23K	276	05-10 09:20
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	15	$2.02K	181	05-10 09:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	14	$6.36K	49	05-10 08:59
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	14	$1.14K	187	05-10 09:19
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	14	$598	29	05-10 09:19
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	14	$563	130	05-10 09:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$5.39K	189	05-10 09:16