Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

117

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-21 04:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

68% 48% +$52

Politics

18% 45% +$131

Sports

11% 42% +$320

Crypto

2% 0% -$305

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$40

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	7	$2.6K	2,023	2,023	+0	No	-$22	02-04 04:07
will elle fanning be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	3	$1.9K	1,209	1,209	+0	Yes	+$141	01-09 20:05
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	8	$1.7K	1,124	1,124	+0	No	+$2	01-08 23:58
trump approval up or down this week 155	4	$1.4K	884	750	+134	Up	+$195	02-20 12:49
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	6	$1.3K	1,066	1,066	+0	No	-$8	02-22 11:45
will ice or border patrol be said at the super bowl	4	$1.3K	845	845	+0	No	+$364	02-09 13:17
will january 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	5	$1.3K	924	924	+0	Yes	+$9	01-03 19:46
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	3	$1.1K	732	1,059	-327	No	-$132	01-11 04:05
will pete carroll be fired by february 28	5	$1.1K	886	886	+0	Yes	+$151	01-04 17:29
will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	7	$980	1,167	1,167	+0	No	-$135	01-31 08:40
will trump say arizona during the state of the union address	2	$943	683	683	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:26
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	2	$903	636	636	+0	Yes	+$13	02-19 06:50
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	4	$899	822	822	+0	Yes	-$122	02-11 02:18
will lucinda m margolis jeopardy win best director of a reality quiz game at the 78th dga awards	2	$852	501	501	+0	No	-$20	02-05 10:55
will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	2	$841	623	623	+0	No	-$6	01-02 08:04
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?	2	$816	669	669	+0	No	-$334	01-11 19:35
will israel strike gaza on january 1 2026	1	$805	0	947	-947	No	-$142	01-01 10:32
will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the united states in 2025	2	$792	463	463	+0	Yes	-$14	01-06 10:11
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$791	773	773	+0	Yes	+$0	01-01 16:58
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	2	$775	513	513	+0	Yes	-$5	01-05 03:56
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	4	$760	490	490	+0	No	+$5	01-01 14:06
will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have between 22pt5 million and 25 million viewers	2	$734	496	496	+0	No	-$30	01-03 02:25
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be at least 200k	3	$716	398	398	+0	No	+$8	01-10 18:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$710	401	401	+0	Yes	-$4	04-11 05:55
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	2	$710	473	473	+0	No	+$0	04-21 04:29
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	2	$685	686	0	+686	No	+$1	02-23 02:18
will john cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 texas republican primary	2	$679	386	386	+0	No	-$8	01-05 06:02
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	5	$677	690	1,005	-315	Yes	+$195	01-03 08:00
will pln win the second most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	6	$614	590	590	+0	Yes	+$48	01-05 07:29
will polymarket mindshare hit 70 773 833 678 219	2	$580	464	464	+0	Yes	+$5	01-03 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 04:29:10	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	473	75¢	$355	0xb66ab4…
04-14 01:45:55	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	473	75¢	$355	0xdc5071…
04-12 10:15:25	pakistan military action against afghanistan by april 15	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$3	0xe54da5…
04-11 19:28:49	pakistan military action against afghanistan by april 15	Yes	SELL	303	13¢	$39	0xeec28d…
04-11 05:55:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	401	88¢	$353	0x218d0a…
04-11 04:50:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	401	89¢	$357	0x04cc23…
04-11 04:34:15	pakistan military action against afghanistan by april 15	Yes	BUY	372	19¢	$71	0x0ca148…
03-21 18:36:03	will fidesz kdnp win 44 48 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	358	76¢	$272	0x78b3dd…
03-20 08:11:59	will fidesz kdnp win 44 48 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	358	86¢	$308	0x836fd8…
03-19 13:04:37	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	Yes	SELL	466	11¢	$51	0x9a9e70…
03-19 13:04:01	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	Yes	SELL	673	11¢	$74	0xaa6b5b…
03-18 01:18:09	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	Yes	BUY	673	26¢	$175	0x31050a…
03-18 01:17:45	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	Yes	BUY	466	26¢	$121	0x0ded5a…
03-16 08:36:13	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	369	19¢	$70	0x1682fb…
03-14 07:51:57	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	369	18¢	$66	0x1440c6…
03-13 04:17:29	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	SELL	276	66¢	$182	0xdcf0d7…
03-11 05:23:35	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	251	92¢	$231	0x106eae…
03-11 05:23:25	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x10477c…
03-11 04:10:29	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	408	20¢	$81	0x30b752…
03-11 04:10:15	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	399	20¢	$79	0x195b0a…
03-11 04:10:03	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	440	20¢	$88	0x6902fa…
03-06 07:51:23	cbb morgst scarst 2026 02 14 total 155pt5	Over	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0x0741be…
03-06 07:51:07	cbb morgst scarst 2026 02 14 total 155pt5	Over	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xff0b5a…
03-06 07:39:25	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	71¢	$178	0x971cf8…
03-06 07:39:05	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x605873…
03-06 05:18:55	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xe7a308…
03-06 05:18:47	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	145	70¢	$102	0xdc4298…
03-06 04:57:25	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	440	23¢	$102	0xa83b27…
03-06 04:57:07	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	399	23¢	$92	0x9254a5…
03-06 04:56:43	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	408	23¢	$94	0x934481…
02-28 04:44:53	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 draw	Yes	BUY	380	16¢	$61	0xfd85c9…
02-28 02:56:47	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	SELL	564	19¢	$107	0x259321…
02-28 01:18:27	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	BUY	564	14¢	$79	0x0118fc…
02-28 00:19:01	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 draw	Yes	SELL	144	33¢	$48	0x98fd20…
02-23 19:39:20	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x7f2983…
02-23 19:35:58	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x6a253c…
02-23 19:32:50	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xfe3bdc…
02-23 19:29:14	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xa30506…
02-23 02:18:50	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x17afb3…
02-22 11:45:20	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	SELL	369	79¢	$292	0x520622…
02-22 08:45:56	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	369	79¢	$292	0x000e66…
02-22 04:01:50	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	No	SELL	261	74¢	$193	0x1ebbf2…
02-22 02:29:22	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	No	BUY	261	74¢	$193	0x3a1127…
02-21 00:32:02	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	58¢	$64	0x1be5ea…
02-21 00:03:54	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 draw	Yes	BUY	144	29¢	$42	0xc2c3da…
02-20 12:49:52	trump approval up or down this week 155	Up	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x979537…
02-20 12:49:36	trump approval up or down this week 155	Up	SELL	637	99¢	$630	0xa1c1ad…
02-20 07:54:00	trump approval up or down this week 155	Up	BUY	637	77¢	$490	0xc6a19f…
02-20 07:53:48	trump approval up or down this week 155	Up	BUY	247	77¢	$190	0xb947a1…
02-20 07:51:08	spl dam ahl 2025 12 19 ahl	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x9a82b0…
02-20 03:04:16	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	146	39¢	$57	0x0963e8…
02-20 03:01:34	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	413	39¢	$161	0x3f7031…
02-20 00:08:44	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	544	100¢	$543	0x5e2b88…
02-19 18:53:04	will trump say portland during the state of the union address	No	SELL	238	81¢	$193	0xe9b10e…
02-19 10:26:20	will trump say portland during the state of the union address	No	BUY	238	81¢	$193	0x66ddf8…
02-19 07:46:38	will trump say taylor or brown in rome ga on february 19 182	No	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xfdfbe4…
02-19 07:45:54	will trump say taylor or brown in rome ga on february 19 182	No	SELL	367	51¢	$187	0x08ea3d…
02-19 07:43:48	will trump say taylor or brown in rome ga on february 19 182	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x3bba64…
02-19 06:50:36	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	636	72¢	$458	0x65c104…
02-19 06:20:56	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	116	26¢	$30	0x866f59…
02-19 00:36:58	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	636	70¢	$445	0x4a46f2…
02-19 00:27:56	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	559	39¢	$218	0x98d8ac…
02-19 00:10:42	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	320	27¢	$86	0x9b953b…
02-18 11:33:38	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	No	SELL	417	23¢	$97	0x6cf9d7…
02-18 11:26:58	will trump say arizona during the state of the union address	No	SELL	683	69¢	$471	0x05d905…
02-18 10:25:38	will trump say memphis during the state of the union address	Yes	SELL	342	38¢	$130	0x7d6893…
02-18 10:25:20	will trump say memphis during the state of the union address	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xadd6bd…
02-18 07:13:30	will trump say memphis during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	353	37¢	$131	0x67a928…
02-18 06:18:54	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	470	18¢	$85	0x7e6648…
02-18 05:53:50	will the us next strike iran on march 30 2026 et	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$1	0x6471cd…
02-18 05:41:46	will trump say arizona during the state of the union address	No	BUY	683	69¢	$471	0xe0f3af…
02-18 04:31:52	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	No	BUY	417	18¢	$75	0xda8344…
02-18 04:09:26	will trump say taylor or brown in rome ga on february 19 182	No	BUY	452	48¢	$217	0x886415…
02-16 08:29:39	elc cha por 2025 12 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	433	69¢	$299	0x33f0d4…
02-16 07:36:37	will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	No	SELL	43	60¢	$26	0xf96159…
02-16 07:35:31	will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	No	SELL	398	60¢	$239	0x55f2c6…
02-16 01:43:23	will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	No	BUY	441	62¢	$273	0xb20791…
02-15 17:21:57	will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	Yes	SELL	445	45¢	$200	0xc52207…
02-15 06:07:29	will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	Yes	BUY	445	41¢	$182	0x5d4178…
02-14 17:57:57	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3eab9c…
02-14 17:57:43	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	46	23¢	$11	0x6ba035…
02-14 17:57:29	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	55	23¢	$13	0xbf85d1…
02-14 17:57:21	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x178049…
02-14 17:55:45	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x40653e…
02-12 00:11:21	solana up or down february 11 10pm et	Down	BUY	602	50¢	$301	0xbab80e…
02-12 00:09:23	lal lev vil 2025 12 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	255	22¢	$56	0x4c5aee…
02-12 00:09:11	lal lev vil 2025 12 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	327	22¢	$72	0x4bfbaf…
02-11 20:43:15	will trump say atomic energy commission in february	No	SELL	285	46¢	$131	0xf5f5b9…
02-11 02:18:51	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	Yes	SELL	367	76¢	$279	0x181278…
02-11 02:18:41	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	SELL	455	24¢	$109	0xf3f20c…
02-10 11:01:25	will trump say atomic energy commission in february	No	BUY	285	53¢	$151	0x24c16a…
02-10 09:34:35	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x2793e4…
02-10 09:34:17	will club brugge advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xfaa9e4…
02-10 06:14:33	will trump say joe or biden 3 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	SELL	268	35¢	$94	0xcd10ca…
02-10 06:14:25	will trump say joe or biden 3 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	SELL	106	35¢	$37	0x34bbc1…
02-10 03:59:37	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	455	42¢	$191	0xe6cd29…
02-10 03:17:45	will trump say joe or biden 3 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	374	34¢	$127	0x4bc1f4…
02-10 03:06:27	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfa2e0f…
02-09 13:17:19	will ice or border patrol be said at the super bowl	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x78d36c…
02-09 13:15:05	will ice or border patrol be said at the super bowl	No	SELL	391	99¢	$387	0x4c4ae8…