Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

142

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$149

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-17

last 10-29 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

87% 53% -$2

Politics

10% 80% +$9

Tech

3% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	10-09 15:27
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-06 04:58
spy up or down on october 14 2026	2	$2	5	+5	Down	+$1	10-14 09:11
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 03:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 05:00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 19:29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-10 15:25
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 01:11
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 22:53
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-07 23:56
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-27 12:32
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 19:42
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-13 15:26
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 15:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 09:23
will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-10 23:32
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-18 01:03
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-12 06:53
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-22 07:35
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-28 17:34
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-20 07:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 19:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 9?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-09 10:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-30 02:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-26 07:08
wti up or down on september 25 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Down	-$1	09-25 13:52
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 10:21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-21 04:05
will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-27 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:23:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6d4ce1…
10-28 17:34:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe1d8b8…
10-28 09:23:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb8d0cb…
10-27 12:32:27	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5b7799…
10-27 03:33:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe1e327…
10-27 03:32:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0516df…
10-26 15:12:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd43fec…
10-26 07:08:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd687e9…
10-25 23:08:39	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd09a8f…
10-25 14:48:45	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf23e6c…
10-25 06:01:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x740c93…
10-24 16:09:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x357d54…
10-23 12:55:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x385ee1…
10-23 04:41:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0a071c…
10-22 20:30:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5be41d…
10-22 12:11:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf518d5…
10-21 21:14:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6cdc21…
10-21 12:22:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc4f36c…
10-21 04:05:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8cbba9…
10-20 15:49:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe57cbc…
10-20 07:40:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x87de23…
10-19 23:38:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x86d7e8…
10-19 15:38:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcce691…
10-19 07:01:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf95c42…
10-18 23:01:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x52d792…
10-18 05:52:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8bc4a…
10-17 15:59:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea817b…
10-16 23:02:00	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x933b8f…
10-16 12:42:48	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa43cb6…
10-16 04:26:36	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x78b891…
10-15 19:01:35	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e1d72…
10-15 10:47:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x99753d…
10-15 01:21:26	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3abb35…
10-14 17:20:34	will coin dip to 162 50 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa398ba…
10-14 09:11:34	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x175c80…
10-14 09:05:35	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x65a8f4…
10-14 01:04:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdb3fb2…
10-13 15:26:25	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc4593a…
10-13 07:04:34	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9028e6…
10-12 23:03:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf8f462…
10-12 15:01:17	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdbf729…
10-12 06:53:59	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa1fb0a…
10-11 22:53:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8ef917…
10-11 14:28:24	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6fd6d8…
10-11 04:32:44	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf37dc4…
10-10 19:29:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd5442d…
10-10 06:28:06	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd24e04…
10-09 15:27:13	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6573f7…
10-09 15:26:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a9b4b…
10-09 06:28:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc9fb9a…
10-08 22:27:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x57b6dc…
10-08 07:56:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x22e887…
10-07 23:56:23	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xce16e0…
10-07 15:48:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x22a8eb…
10-07 05:17:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1ae0fe…
10-06 21:16:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfec361…
10-06 13:15:13	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x10a873…
10-06 05:00:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x524ef1…
10-06 04:58:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8c5487…
10-06 04:23:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x037e03…
10-05 17:53:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3ffeab…
10-05 00:59:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0c37e5…
10-02 12:35:50	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6e5fac…
10-02 03:14:17	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb369c9…
10-01 11:59:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xea804d…
10-01 11:59:18	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xee62be…
10-01 03:59:06	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0edf03…
09-30 18:53:03	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfb6adc…
09-30 10:22:05	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3ee0de…
09-30 02:14:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe8684c…
09-29 17:52:45	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xae84f3…
09-29 09:27:15	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3079b5…
09-29 01:18:51	will hood reach 125 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8f8787…
09-28 05:11:47	will tsla reach 375 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbb7686…
09-27 21:11:15	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x775b76…
09-27 13:08:03	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xddc0ca…
09-27 02:41:00	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x60d4ca…
09-26 10:46:50	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1ba292…
09-25 21:54:24	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5e0bf7…
09-25 21:53:36	will googl dip to 340 in september 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcd603c…
09-25 13:52:42	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x03586f…
09-25 05:01:08	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x77ad7f…
09-24 19:49:20	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdbba04…
09-24 11:43:42	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x280472…
09-24 03:43:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9010c6…
09-23 19:42:46	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x43c0cb…
09-23 11:40:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x17ecf0…
09-23 03:37:23	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc4da4c…
09-22 07:35:57	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe46d0a…
09-21 23:35:36	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x55e2c4…
09-21 15:35:01	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9c0e86…
09-21 07:19:02	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa67afc…
09-20 22:52:13	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x061710…
09-19 15:18:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x067dbd…
09-19 05:23:34	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5ea999…
09-18 01:03:10	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7b45f0…
09-17 23:25:28	will ewy reach 185 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdf7845…
09-17 11:53:39	will meta dip to 670 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb8b47a…
09-17 02:05:55	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x07d80f…
09-16 18:03:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4f1f40…