Cloudy-Tail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$5.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-25 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 4h 1770944400	2	$55	55	+55	open	—	02-13 05:00
btc updown 5m 1770906000	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 14:25
btc updown 5m 1770907500	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 14:50
btc updown 5m 1770932100	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 21:40
btc updown 5m 1770919800	2	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 18:15
xrp updown 15m 1770915600	7	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 17:15
btc updown 5m 1770928200	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 20:35
btc updown 5m 1770930300	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 21:10
btc updown 15m 1771166700	2	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-15 15:00
btc updown 5m 1771272600	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-16 20:15
btc updown 5m 1771265700	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-16 18:20
btc updown 5m 1770917700	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 17:40
btc updown 15m 1770907500	2	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 15:00
btc updown 5m 1770912000	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 16:05
btc updown 5m 1770938700	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 23:31
eth updown 15m 1771210800	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-16 03:15
btc updown 5m 1770921000	3	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 18:35
btc updown 5m 1771032600	2	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-14 01:35
btc updown 5m 1770915600	2	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 17:05
btc updown 5m 1771154100	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-15 11:20
btc updown 5m 1770922200	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-12 18:55
xrp up or down on february 15	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-15 18:14
btc updown 5m 1770902100	5	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-12 13:20
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-14 14:03
btc updown 5m 1771170900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-15 16:00
sol updown 15m 1770934500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-12 22:30
solana up or down february 14 5pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-14 23:10
ethereum up or down february 14 4pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-14 22:53
xrp updown 4h 1771002000	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-13 21:00
solana up or down on february 15	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-15 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x38ac38…
05-20 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x89fd13…
05-19 19:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50cc0e…
05-19 16:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5b9f8…
05-19 16:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1bd1f8…
05-18 18:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0d5c92…
05-17 16:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99b8fb…
05-08 23:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7abc5f…
05-06 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb2537…
05-06 21:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x811228…
05-06 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4016f3…
05-06 16:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x43ec72…
05-05 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7abf7b…
05-03 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66626c…
05-03 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x378e55…
05-03 05:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3a40f…
05-03 05:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x03c115…
05-03 05:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x843e54…
05-03 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1862e3…
05-02 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xedaa1a…
05-01 16:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc30759…
05-01 16:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x013e8c…
05-01 12:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x87b26f…
04-30 16:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x793fb8…
04-29 19:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x539cf6…
04-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8f7301…
04-29 16:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x108eff…
04-28 18:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f4127…
04-28 18:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd6dd3…
04-28 18:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0fc43…
04-28 18:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bb07d…
04-27 23:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2bf596…
04-27 23:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x136337…
04-27 23:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bb93f…
04-27 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6d2413…
04-26 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb34121…
04-24 17:48:22	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4c8037…
04-24 15:55:52	btc updown 5m 1777045800	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x21d3af…
04-23 13:55:58	eth updown 5m 1776952200	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35af4e…
04-23 11:05:52	eth updown 5m 1776942000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3709b2…
04-23 11:05:24	eth updown 5m 1776942000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa845ef…
04-23 11:05:24	eth updown 5m 1776942000	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d1117…
04-19 00:46:22	btc updown 5m 1776559200	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x137334…
04-18 16:23:46	solana up or down on april 18 2026	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0417ab…
04-18 16:15:12	btc updown 5m 1776528600	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa881d2…
04-18 15:26:02	eth updown 5m 1776525600	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48dfb5…
04-17 16:49:54	btc updown 5m 1776444000	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x651da2…
04-17 16:49:50	btc updown 5m 1776444000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdfefba…
04-17 16:49:50	btc updown 5m 1776444000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafe5dc…
04-17 16:49:48	btc updown 5m 1776444000	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb7eb39…
04-16 16:00:04	ethereum up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x91d8eb…
04-16 07:56:22	btc updown 5m 1776325800	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeeee3a…
04-15 11:26:38	btc updown 5m 1776252000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33cf3e…
04-15 11:26:32	btc updown 5m 1776252000	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2dd436…
04-15 11:26:30	btc updown 5m 1776252000	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc36a18…
04-07 21:36:31	eth updown 5m 1775597400	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8b4b83…
04-07 21:30:17	btc updown 5m 1775597100	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbf4b8e…
04-07 21:30:15	btc updown 5m 1775597100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b9951…
04-07 09:02:29	btc updown 5m 1775552100	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa31878…
04-05 22:00:03	bitcoin up or down april 5 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd9d020…
04-05 20:54:23	bitcoin up or down april 5 3pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x433994…
04-05 16:00:05	bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x16536f…
04-05 16:00:03	ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x37a13f…
04-04 13:00:03	bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e1c29…
04-03 16:00:03	bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x595763…
04-03 04:36:19	btc updown 5m 1775190600	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3aab0a…
04-01 21:35:35	eth updown 5m 1775079000	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f4d8a…
04-01 17:05:49	btc updown 5m 1775062800	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0d4a51…
04-01 17:05:47	btc updown 5m 1775062800	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0df873…
04-01 05:26:23	btc updown 5m 1775020800	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ef9ec…
04-01 05:26:21	btc updown 5m 1775020800	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf5d630…
04-01 05:26:17	btc updown 5m 1775020800	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe45c87…
04-01 00:15:23	btc updown 5m 1775002200	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x883df3…
03-30 18:36:19	btc updown 5m 1774895400	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x805761…
03-30 18:36:17	btc updown 5m 1774895400	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xec78dc…
03-30 18:36:17	btc updown 5m 1774895400	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa6edc9…
03-30 17:03:03	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d0236…
03-30 10:02:24	btc updown 5m 1774864500	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x202759…
03-30 09:35:52	btc updown 5m 1774863000	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5768f2…
03-30 09:35:48	btc updown 5m 1774863000	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66386a…
03-30 00:55:24	btc updown 5m 1774831800	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6c479…
03-29 09:20:18	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa48447…
03-29 05:21:04	ethereum up or down march 29 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa8227d…
03-29 02:25:24	btc updown 5m 1774750800	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1ee884…
03-28 17:12:33	xrp up or down on march 28 2026	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x88e218…
03-27 19:06:25	eth updown 5m 1774638000	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x494a35…
03-27 18:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774637400	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd50ff1…
03-27 18:25:37	btc updown 5m 1774635600	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b6aeb…
03-27 00:26:11	btc updown 5m 1774570800	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8cc2ad…
03-27 00:26:07	btc updown 5m 1774570800	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03c9fc…
03-27 00:26:05	btc updown 5m 1774570800	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87d29f…
03-26 15:35:25	btc updown 5m 1774539000	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeaef8a…
03-26 12:00:45	eth updown 5m 1774526100	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1dae9…
03-26 06:02:03	btc updown 5m 1774504500	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfdf967…
03-25 21:56:01	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9ccb6a…
03-25 21:55:59	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62087b…
03-25 21:55:51	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94ac1a…
03-25 21:55:45	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7bdd6b…
03-25 21:55:45	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x102e97…
03-25 20:16:03	btc updown 5m 1774469400	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7558e6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	158	$1.59M	5,080	04-03 04:35
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	138	$85.7K	15,030	04-07 21:27
(anonymous) 0xb8a4…418e	122	$1.86K	131	05-20 04:00
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	121	$317.3K	38,030	05-06 15:59
Half-Chemical 0x982f…0554	119	$1.87K	128	05-25 17:11
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	118	$130.4K	8,245	03-30 18:34
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	117	$975	938	05-06 21:32
Yummy-Quota 0x2f9d…d66f	116	$1.70K	127	05-25 17:11