Jam-Packed-Inequality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-08 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

39% 59% -$5

Other

37% 55% +$1

Crypto

15% 27% -$3

Tech

7% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$2

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+2	$1	49¢	$1	+$0	10-08 21:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+2	$1	56¢	$1	$0	08-05 11:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:55 UTC	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	08-05 11:55
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$3	12	+12	Yes	+$10	07-01 13:33
will trump say drill baby drill in march	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	03-15 18:24
will epstein be said at the oscars	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	03-15 18:15
will trump say coward in march	2	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	03-17 11:26
will trump say nato or friend or ally 7 times during events with japanese pm	2	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	03-19 21:16
will trump post donald trump on truth social this week	2	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	03-18 22:27
will trump say ceasefire this week march 22	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	03-16 19:29
will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	03-15 18:20
will chile be said during the valorant masters grand finals	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-15 18:16
will jensen huang say gpu 5 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-15 18:17
will jensen huang say ai or artificial intelligence 10 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-15 18:17
will starmer say dialogue during the next prime ministers questions event	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	03-16 21:47
will trump say truth social in march	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	03-16 22:05
Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-08 21:35
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-08 21:35
will melania say april during statement on april 9	1	$1	122	+122	No	-$1	04-09 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:20 UTC	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	Down	-$1	03-15 18:25
Will Trump say "Cake" in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-08 21:36
will melania say russia or ukraine 5 times during statement on april 9	1	$1	111	+111	No	-$1	04-09 22:20
will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	03-16 21:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-08 21:37
will melania say peace or war 4 times during statement on april 9	1	$1	125	+125	No	-$1	04-09 22:20
dota2 iac ivo 2026 03 25	1	$1	1	+1	Ivory	+$0	03-25 08:23
will google be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 773	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	03-20 08:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC	1	$1	20	+20	Down	-$1	03-16 00:13
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	03-18 22:29
cs2 arc abyssa 2026 08 05	1	$1	2	+2	Abyssal	-$1	08-05 11:54
will dude be said 10 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	03-22 10:41
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-09?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-05 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 21:37:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x204234…
10-08 21:36:36	Will Trump say "Cake" in October?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc2cc65…
10-08 21:36:33	Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x99d57a…
10-08 21:36:27	Will Trump say "Beef" in October?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xccedcd…
10-08 21:35:53	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x74afef…
10-08 21:35:45	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb402a…
09-23 21:16:13	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xec8052…
09-04 22:09:15	Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x436e65…
09-04 22:09:01	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x75f61d…
09-04 22:08:46	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7acdad…
08-05 11:58:41	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5ae313…
08-05 11:58:33	Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa193b9…
08-05 11:58:29	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x52ebf5…
08-05 11:57:47	Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb85138…
08-05 11:56:30	ethereum up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x308524…
08-05 11:56:14	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc94eb9…
08-05 11:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe38a12…
08-05 11:55:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc368ea…
08-05 11:54:41	cs2 arc abyssa 2026 08 05	Arcade Esports	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x82567c…
08-05 11:54:18	lol hle1 gen 2026 08 05	Gen.G	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b9c91…
07-01 13:33:43	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x6f6cc4…
06-09 13:55:25	will oracle say health healthcare during earnings call 20260608174328854	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc91d5b…
06-09 13:55:10	will oracle say ai artificial intelligence 50 times during earnings call 20260608174328837	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc492d1…
06-02 10:20:42	Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" this week?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe27cf2…
06-02 10:20:29	Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x238741…
06-02 10:20:12	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in June?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf20ab7…
06-02 10:19:56	Will Trump say "Dog" in June?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf611e5…
04-27 12:31:38	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x887e53…
04-10 08:51:47	will bernie or mamdani say trump 10 times during nyc rally	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x24e1b1…
04-10 08:51:41	will bernie or mamdani say healthcare or health care 6 times during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb9c652…
04-09 22:21:09	will melania say family during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0459fd…
04-09 22:21:03	will melania say april during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0xd35b49…
04-09 22:20:45	will melania say russia or ukraine 5 times during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x68de15…
04-09 22:20:41	will melania say peace or war 4 times during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x80a91c…
03-30 17:18:13	will trump say epic fury this week april 5	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0c1e64…
03-30 17:18:03	will trump say congo this week april 5	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7ccda2…
03-30 17:17:57	will trump say ufc this week april 5	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4feee1…
03-25 08:23:21	dota2 iac ivo 2026 03 25	Ivory	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x765129…
03-25 08:23:07	val dk fox 2026 03 25	Dplus	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4a01ac…
03-25 08:19:15	will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x14de7e…
03-22 10:41:41	will shit be said 10 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x231786…
03-22 10:41:33	will dude be said 10 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8a788e…
03-22 10:41:27	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6819a8…
03-22 10:40:39	will trump say finish the job this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x310d6b…
03-20 08:31:07	will google be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 773	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6a900f…
03-20 08:30:13	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3d50ed…
03-20 08:30:03	will trump say iran during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x04873a…
03-19 21:16:17	will trump say nato or friend or ally 7 times during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x76638c…
03-19 21:15:27	will trump say nato or friend or ally 7 times during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe3b245…
03-19 10:02:27	will trump say japan or japanese 10 times during events with japanese pm	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdd1b33…
03-18 22:29:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9ca79…
03-18 22:29:31	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xab515b…
03-18 22:27:55	will trump post stupid on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe75431…
03-18 22:27:45	will trump post donald trump on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7ed106…
03-17 11:26:33	will trump say coward in march	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc72c51…
03-17 11:26:25	will trump say charlie kirk in march	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbf211b…
03-17 11:25:45	will trump say nuclear 3 times during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x68c452…
03-17 11:25:13	will trump say ireland or irish 3 times during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x92c9bf…
03-16 22:24:27	will trump post jake paul on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x71115a…
03-16 22:24:03	will trump post donald trump on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9416e7…
03-16 22:05:09	will trump say truth social in march	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x371882…
03-16 22:04:37	will trump say coward in march	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x850ba0…
03-16 21:49:13	will powell say ai or artificial intelligence 3 times during march press conference 852 727	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88517b…
03-16 21:48:09	will starmer say middle east during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa1e289…
03-16 21:47:43	will starmer say dialogue during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa0f872…
03-16 21:47:09	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3637f0…
03-16 19:30:49	will trump say bitcoin in march	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0660fe…
03-16 19:29:13	will trump say ceasefire this week march 22	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x77e8df…
03-16 09:57:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x695e5f…
03-16 09:56:41	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85dbc5…
03-16 00:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x667f18…
03-15 19:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9524c3…
03-15 19:00:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2d31c4…
03-15 19:00:41	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x595b05…
03-15 19:00:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa26a61…
03-15 18:27:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd8a91e…
03-15 18:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x364265…
03-15 18:24:27	will trump say drill baby drill in march	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x20b4f0…
03-15 18:20:41	will trump post god bless america on truth social this week march 15	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6ded9e…
03-15 18:20:09	will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x6619de…
03-15 18:19:33	will trump say too late this week march 22	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf5aaca…
03-15 18:19:27	will trump say no no no this week march 22	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0e0f82…
03-15 18:18:57	will trump say putin this week march 22	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x70ef11…
03-15 18:18:35	will jensen huang say anthropic at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd58256…
03-15 18:17:57	will jensen huang say gpu 5 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x32c39d…
03-15 18:17:51	will jensen huang say ai or artificial intelligence 10 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0b3f4f…
03-15 18:16:53	will chile be said during the valorant masters grand finals	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf4522a…
03-15 18:15:47	will epstein be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe0dea3…