Agitated-Ordination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

4,310

Trades

7,473

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 285 days

Categories

Other

68% 45% +$1,447

Politics

13% 82% +$508

Crypto

11% 56% +$700

Sports

6% 49% +$168

Tech

1% 61% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 70% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	-6	-$2	90¢	$-5	-$3	05-28 05:12
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	-25	-$13	16¢	$-4	+$9	05-03 19:50
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	Yes	-27	-$3	3¢	$-1	+$2	05-23 08:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	16	$395	252	252	+0	No	+$19	03-25 17:59
ethereum etf flows on august 13	6	$263	270	270	+0	Positive	+$257	08-14 06:08
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	5	$211	129	129	+0	Yes	+$48	02-10 06:22
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	13	$207	160	160	+0	Yes	+$73	01-29 07:17
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	9	$197	316	0	+316	Yes	+$119	01-14 12:20
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be at least 200k	12	$130	70	70	+0	No	+$8	01-25 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 09:15 UTC	6	$110	62	61	+0	Down	+$10	01-08 09:24
bitcoin up or down january 4 5am et	2	$101	52	52	+0	Up	+$3	01-04 11:05
will his hers be the 2 global netflix show this week january 27 2026	10	$97	51	51	+0	No	+$3	01-26 20:45
bitcoin up or down january 4 3am et	3	$94	49	49	+0	Down	+$4	01-04 08:54
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	10	$84	54	36	+18	No	+$3	01-29 19:32
bitcoin up or down january 2 10am et	1	$84	104	0	+104	Down	-$84	01-02 15:49
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k	6	$81	42	42	+0	No	+$2	01-25 19:35
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	9	$81	85	85	+0	Yes	-$4	02-16 09:55
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	7	$79	64	64	+0	No	-$5	01-21 15:11
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k	8	$75	41	41	+0	No	+$7	01-25 10:30
will bnb dip to 800 in january	5	$75	46	46	+0	Yes	+$4	01-29 07:57
gc up or down on february 17 2026	5	$70	10	76	-66	Down	-$13	02-17 13:59
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be less than 75k	6	$69	28	42	-14	No	+$0	01-22 07:43
bitcoin up or down january 7 8am et	2	$69	192	0	+192	Up	+$24	01-07 13:23
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$64	50	50	+0	No	+$9	03-14 10:19
will donald trumps tie be red on april 24 2026	16	$64	56	56	+0	No	+$13	04-22 16:29
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	7	$64	168	8	+160	Down	+$25	05-15 14:34
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	02-19 18:47
bitcoin up or down january 2 8am et	6	$59	60	60	+0	Down	+$35	01-02 14:04
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$53	74	26	+48	No	-$3	03-06 05:55
will anyone say jury during big brother e25 20260827	2	$53	51	51	+0	Yes	+$42	08-28 00:55
will the us embassy in venezuela reopen by march 31	4	$52	68	32	+37	Yes	+$14	02-13 10:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	4	$52	36	18	+18	No	+$1	02-02 11:09
will finding her edge be the 2 global netflix show this week january 27 2026	5	$51	39	22	+17	No	+$10	01-27 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:59:23	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xa694db…
10-28 21:32:02	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xaf1cdb…
10-28 19:32:13	Spread: Jacksonville State (-6.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb0a737…
10-28 19:25:43	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf08ca3…
10-28 16:32:47	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	Pacers	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x668ed8…
10-28 16:31:07	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3b92ed…
10-28 16:30:07	Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Wizards	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4223d1…
10-28 16:29:02	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2b0cfa…
10-28 16:27:46	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdecd3d…
10-28 16:25:58	Spread: Capitals (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x002948…
10-27 17:06:39	Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x660006…
10-27 17:04:56	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcc0a6b…
10-27 17:03:44	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x257113…
10-27 16:53:18	nba bkn bos 2026 10 27 team total bos 116pt5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9eabeb…
10-27 16:51:59	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x01b9f9…
10-27 16:50:24	Devils vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4b3a81…
10-27 16:49:17	Canadiens vs. Blues	Canadiens	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfc89e7…
10-27 16:40:08	Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Karl Poling	Karl Poling	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4daf84…
10-26 17:39:42	Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0d7355…
10-26 17:36:24	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x338710…
10-26 17:35:08	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb34c79…
10-26 17:34:02	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x11ae82…
10-26 17:32:27	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Pacers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8b1732…
10-26 17:31:39	Spread: Celtics (-14.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6882b6…
10-26 17:29:09	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x43360e…
10-26 17:17:23	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x983025…
10-26 17:15:05	Guayaquil: Miguel Tobon vs Daniel Salazar Martinez	Daniel Salazar Martinez	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x86221e…
10-25 20:35:24	Seoul: Yeonsu Jeong vs Yunseong Chung	Yeonsu Jeong	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x085ebb…
10-25 17:48:12	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x6be16c…
10-25 17:47:44	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$7	0xc6d15d…
10-25 16:22:02	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbb1686…
10-25 15:33:09	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x2d9411…
10-25 15:32:12	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x657c07…
10-25 14:15:54	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x317fe2…
10-25 14:14:20	Packers vs. Lions: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd94d8a…
10-25 14:00:48	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x926bf0…
10-25 13:59:24	Wild vs. Canucks	Wild	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdaf808…
10-25 13:57:56	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x19702b…
10-25 09:16:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xba55f9…
10-25 09:10:12	Guayaquil: Filip Misolic vs Martin Baquero	Martin Baquero	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xbb3b1a…
10-24 18:47:11	San Diego State vs. Colorado State	San Diego State	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd280d1…
10-24 18:42:41	Spread: North Carolina (-10.5)	Syracuse	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x82b325…
10-24 12:41:23	Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xaaef5c…
10-24 12:34:26	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa0d162…
10-24 12:33:03	Predators vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x79025a…
10-24 12:32:14	Sabres vs. Capitals	Sabres	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb2af12…
10-24 12:31:21	Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x21175f…
10-24 12:28:51	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbbadd1…
10-24 12:26:56	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc6190f…
10-24 11:44:27	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xa15671…
10-24 08:10:35	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x96d1e0…
10-24 08:04:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xca9caf…
10-24 07:52:45	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb6b740…
10-24 07:51:27	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf06e1a…
10-24 07:50:30	Spread: North Carolina (-10.5)	Syracuse	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x50e5af…
10-24 07:48:50	Spread: Texas State (-12.5)	Texas State	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3d234b…
10-24 07:45:14	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf70f09…
10-24 07:25:11	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x939122…
10-23 20:56:14	Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe04a71…
10-23 20:54:42	Spread: Northwestern (-14.5)	Northwestern	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa3c84e…
10-23 20:53:00	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf0d6b7…
10-23 20:51:44	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf0db81…
10-23 20:50:18	Air Force vs. Wyoming: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0404aa…
10-23 17:37:06	Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon	Valerio Aboian	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5efcec…
10-23 16:30:06	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0x1619b3…
10-23 16:18:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc5448a…
10-23 16:13:18	Spread: Jets (-5.5)	Dolphins	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6294b7…
10-23 16:12:29	Torino FC vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x80d7a3…
10-23 16:10:41	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	Canadiens	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa44cd0…
10-23 16:09:51	Torino FC vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xabffe7…
10-23 16:09:03	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd44bea…
10-23 16:08:06	Spread: Miami (OH) (-2.5)	Miami (OH)	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf0c2b2…
10-23 16:06:15	Bowling Green vs. Buffalo: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4f3a04…
10-23 16:05:17	Georgia State vs. Arkansas State	Georgia State	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0521fe…
10-23 16:03:59	Spread: Arizona (-7.5)	Arizona	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x48cc52…
10-23 16:02:42	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x652c59…
10-23 04:11:42	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9de115…
10-23 00:15:50	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x422dc0…
10-22 16:07:21	Spread: NC State (-4.5)	NC State	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa1c63f…
10-22 16:06:32	Panthers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8e2ec4…
10-22 16:05:41	Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x41a20a…
10-22 16:04:56	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3b5511…
10-22 16:04:03	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xca708d…
10-22 16:02:56	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x816828…
10-22 16:01:26	East Carolina vs. Memphis: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa8d0cd…
10-21 16:44:54	Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	Mavericks	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb87602…
10-21 16:43:30	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeca2e2…
10-21 16:40:26	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x453a12…
10-21 16:39:15	Spread: Heat (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x69be00…
10-21 16:38:18	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Bulls	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8d2b82…
10-21 16:37:36	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x0d0848…
10-21 16:36:39	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x304eb9…
10-21 16:34:35	Spread: Memphis (-7.5)	Memphis	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x105343…
10-21 16:33:14	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5370b5…
10-20 18:27:53	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xcb699f…
10-20 16:45:50	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x313525…
10-20 16:43:56	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4b3880…
10-20 16:42:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa92673…
10-20 16:40:56	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3d1bf6…
10-20 16:32:27	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: SSC Napoli O/U 5.5 Corners	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd9ad44…