Realized P&L
+$54
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
23
Trades
4,362
lifetime
Volume
$14.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$22
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
61% 62% +$21
Politics
18% 100% +$32
Crypto
15%
Sports
4% 50% +$1
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? No -8 $-4 58¢ $-5 $-1 05-30 03:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-3 62¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 10:26
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -10 $-3 34¢ $-3 $-0 05-28 10:28
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -13 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 06-08 10:39
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -7 $-2 44¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 10:27
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-3 52¢ $-3 $-0 06-03 10:56
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No +7 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-03 08:02
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No +3 $-0 16¢ $0 +$1 06-09 17:26