Elated-Reunion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

429

Trades

804

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

73% 83% +$3

Crypto

22% 81% +$1

Politics

4% 71% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	3	$91	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 07:01
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 25?	5	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	05-25 09:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 80forhigher	3	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-23 18:26
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 23	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	07-23 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 20?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 13:19
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 21:08
bitcoin above 68k on july 25 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 18:55
bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	3	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	07-20 06:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 12?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	10-11 20:27
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 30?	3	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-30 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-28 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on July 11?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-10 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 21?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-20 21:24
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-27 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on July 25?	5	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-25 03:41
bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	2	$63	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on July 23?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:47
ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-26 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-21 11:38
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-01 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 28?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 19:08
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-27 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 28?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:31
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:09:17	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5c0d54…
10-18 17:47:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x84d684…
10-16 09:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x58a8f2…
10-13 10:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xce4883…
10-13 02:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11fab2…
10-12 12:29:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb52aed…
10-12 12:21:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xaf005b…
10-12 04:21:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x42efaa…
10-12 01:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x877c3d…
10-12 01:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb1ac5…
10-12 01:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x053bb8…
10-12 01:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x845f81…
10-12 00:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x540be8…
10-11 20:27:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x048d2f…
10-11 17:43:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf35a75…
10-10 06:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x32c256…
10-05 09:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdc354d…
10-02 00:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x124ba0…
10-01 21:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4642e6…
10-01 05:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x047a8c…
09-28 03:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1557d5…
09-27 21:07:36	bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5812d6…
09-23 03:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x661196…
09-23 00:52:05	Will Gabby Williams have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x2d51fc…
09-22 17:18:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc59d3c…
09-22 13:00:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8e0cd2…
09-22 12:20:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xceb450…
09-21 23:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x10c4e2…
09-18 19:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9278f4…
09-18 00:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x486c21…
09-17 16:53:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9db384…
09-13 03:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c18be…
09-11 01:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa71760…
09-10 19:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x528ad4…
09-07 16:57:07	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x81ca0e…
09-06 16:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x45d0e5…
09-06 04:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6fa014…
09-05 22:41:12	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe5ed07…
09-05 07:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0283bf…
09-05 00:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8db3f6…
09-04 20:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb63665…
09-04 13:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf78035…
09-04 11:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc9792d…
09-03 23:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e8482…
09-03 15:17:30	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x297f96…
09-03 09:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd8c8d8…
09-03 00:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6cb75f…
09-02 14:04:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9d546a…
09-02 11:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x746b30…
09-02 08:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2fe285…
09-01 11:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf85af2…
09-01 03:52:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x069347…
08-31 05:11:18	Will Trump say "Red Card" in August?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf18100…
08-30 22:36:52	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6b759e…
08-30 18:42:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f0dc1…
08-30 11:27:28	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe3443e…
08-30 00:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6541b5…
08-29 20:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xca4e2f…
08-29 14:47:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x21a75c…
08-28 05:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ef2f1…
08-28 03:44:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xebb1ad…
08-27 14:49:40	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfcc5f9…
08-27 07:15:25	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1847f2…
08-27 01:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x267982…
08-26 20:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x11f346…
08-26 12:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6b916…
08-26 08:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x209010…
08-25 10:26:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x441fc3…
08-25 04:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1ae599…
08-24 22:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x366a9d…
08-24 18:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x463396…
08-24 08:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6b3e19…
08-23 22:20:36	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x70f5ff…
08-23 17:55:04	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x566c8f…
08-14 15:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9f498…
08-14 09:16:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb53d2f…
08-13 18:42:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3be76f…
08-13 16:01:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6016b3…
08-13 07:49:54	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfddaa8…
08-13 06:57:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfac765…
08-12 22:24:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x37e3a5…
08-12 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x65eaf0…
08-12 01:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on August 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x177a2e…
08-12 01:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2394aa…
08-11 21:11:30	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa5c73f…
08-11 13:34:18	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xae9816…
08-10 22:44:40	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8c7e4…
08-10 20:55:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x00de07…
08-10 14:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xce6684…
08-10 12:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1e53a2…
08-09 13:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x76ee87…
08-09 09:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0d0dfe…
08-09 05:11:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6741af…
08-09 02:40:13	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x477e8f…
08-08 19:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7d50b9…
08-08 03:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3c2844…
08-08 02:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x81da72…
08-07 22:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb8f89…
08-07 17:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa15374…
08-07 11:54:48	will wti reach 95 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x195035…