Faraway-Gadget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$341

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

119

Trades

867

lifetime

Volume

$68.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$514

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-13 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Politics

92% 61% -$282

Other

5% 91% +$148

Sports

3% 48% -$127

Crypto

0% 17% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	Yes		+699	$529	74¢	$514	-$15	11-13 07:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	18	$8.0K	4,961	4,961	+0	No	-$399	04-23 21:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	14	$7.5K	3,826	3,826	+0	No	+$56	04-24 19:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	10	$5.2K	4,876	4,876	+0	No	+$622	04-21 16:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	171	$4.5K	7,314	7,429	-115	Yes	-$3,770	04-27 18:16
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	6	$4.0K	2,611	1,756	+855	Yes	+$57	04-16 17:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	66	$3.9K	2,550	2,550	+0	No	+$6	04-21 20:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$3.7K	2,053	2,053	+0	No	+$196	04-21 19:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$3.7K	5,197	1,054	+4,142	No	+$2,175	04-21 20:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$2.1K	1,829	1,829	+0	Yes	-$41	04-15 18:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$2.1K	1,235	1,235	+0	No	+$158	04-19 08:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	15	$1.8K	983	983	+0	No	+$126	04-18 19:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$1.6K	1,018	1,018	+0	Yes	+$66	04-07 10:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	2	$1.6K	818	818	+0	No	+$13	04-16 15:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$1.5K	4,242	4,242	+0	No	-$112	03-30 23:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.2K	658	658	+0	Yes	+$60	04-12 22:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	637	637	+0	No	+$57	04-12 17:30
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	536	536	+0	Yes	+$17	04-11 18:42
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	2	$1.0K	518	518	+0	Yes	+$21	04-11 16:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$921	529	529	+0	open	—	11-13 07:42
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	38	$850	897	864	+33	No	+$25	06-11 03:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$611	785	0	+785	No	+$174	04-15 18:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	1	$529	699	0	+699	open	—	11-13 07:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	20	$514	1,066	808	+258	No	-$11	05-15 02:24
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	8	$421	312	159	+153	No	+$14	05-14 06:35
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	1	$392	497	0	+497	No	+$105	04-09 15:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	4	$371	204	204	+0	No	+$10	06-13 17:57
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?	9	$332	386	0	+386	Yes	+$54	04-26 02:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	21	$301	408	329	+79	Yes	+$20	06-20 13:59
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	1	$266	392	0	+392	Yes	+$126	04-07 10:27
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 1, 2026?	2	$263	141	141	+0	Yes	+$10	04-01 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 07:48:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	Yes	BUY	699	76¢	$529	0x3ca4e7…
11-13 07:42:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	529	97¢	$514	0x892cdd…
11-12 05:44:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	304	40¢	$121	0xadb66f…
11-07 02:04:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	529	77¢	$407	0xa6b6e7…
11-07 00:52:34	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xb6fe50…
11-07 00:47:27	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x48b9a2…
11-06 22:56:55	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x22c4ef…
11-06 22:51:49	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	99	30¢	$30	0xe73b62…
11-06 22:41:51	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x07885f…
11-06 22:12:09	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xb49382…
11-06 22:11:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xc75fdb…
11-03 02:37:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x765be3…
11-03 02:24:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x37d660…
11-03 02:17:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x45401a…
11-03 01:18:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	99	51¢	$51	0xa31475…
11-03 01:08:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0xadfcd6…
11-03 01:08:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	105	48¢	$50	0x8f8c7f…
11-03 01:03:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0xc38ffa…
11-01 16:10:52	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x42ebd1…
10-23 22:01:39	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$8	0xef3722…
10-23 21:59:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	78	10¢	$8	0xc34445…
10-23 21:52:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0xaa13fa…
10-23 21:50:23	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	24	44¢	$10	0x300eeb…
10-23 17:30:45	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x756e72…
10-21 21:40:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x274fee…
10-21 21:20:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x54a7af…
10-21 21:20:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xb9e185…
10-21 21:20:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5b213f…
10-21 19:59:53	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x9259c8…
10-20 14:32:30	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xe7d7b4…
10-20 14:14:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	172	7¢	$12	0x4ec81a…
10-19 16:16:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	172	36¢	$61	0x8cd5af…
08-06 06:39:38	iran successfully targets shipping on august 1 2026 20260729163314521	Yes	BUY	193	7¢	$14	0x3da7b7…
08-02 02:21:38	iran successfully targets shipping on august 1 2026 20260729163314521	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3b8aa3…
08-02 02:07:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	199	5¢	$10	0x531154…
08-01 23:47:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0xc3a36b…
08-01 23:44:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb80e6e…
08-01 23:40:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0x17e1b6…
08-01 23:39:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	61	21¢	$13	0xe5998d…
08-01 21:51:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	57	25¢	$14	0xbf0eaa…
08-01 21:50:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	108	25¢	$27	0xb9e554…
08-01 15:44:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	165	26¢	$43	0x1d695a…
08-01 04:47:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	799	5¢	$43	0x83d654…
08-01 01:06:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xa2fa95…
08-01 01:05:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x0a5680…
08-01 01:03:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	764	11¢	$84	0x48c594…
08-01 00:59:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	525	16¢	$84	0xec762c…
08-01 00:58:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x337d19…
08-01 00:58:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x87b62d…
08-01 00:58:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x64a6ee…
08-01 00:58:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x9c4373…
08-01 00:58:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x644858…
07-31 19:35:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	255	7¢	$18	0xd8a250…
07-31 19:32:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x749d04…
07-31 19:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x9bafde…
07-31 19:26:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xff8841…
07-24 20:08:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0xc92d08…
07-22 21:18:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x01e409…
07-04 13:31:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x6f7f25…
07-02 10:15:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x7e9643…
07-02 10:15:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf93449…
06-30 12:33:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xb47d7e…
06-29 22:00:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x7417f3…
06-29 12:29:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x13c3be…
06-29 12:28:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	57	24¢	$14	0xa397e4…
06-28 19:46:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x932573…
06-28 14:08:04	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0xdf11ea…
06-28 14:00:43	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x05b5cc…
06-28 13:57:25	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x129433…
06-28 13:57:02	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd6ec98…
06-28 13:53:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xce9f61…
06-28 13:47:44	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd41d98…
06-28 13:46:25	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x9db6e7…
06-28 13:43:32	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x34ba18…
06-28 13:34:40	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xff7ffb…
06-28 13:28:46	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x12a120…
06-28 13:26:50	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa48813…
06-28 13:25:01	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf2099f…
06-28 13:22:23	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd03890…
06-28 13:20:52	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x859022…
06-28 13:20:38	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x693cf3…
06-28 13:19:43	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc51e16…
06-28 13:13:20	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9e2125…
06-27 09:47:16	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	45	63¢	$29	0x810aa7…
06-27 09:46:37	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	279	10¢	$28	0xf762b8…
06-25 22:59:11	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0xd077c0…
06-25 22:43:01	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3ab6df…
06-25 22:25:40	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xea5eb3…
06-25 22:13:44	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	110	21¢	$23	0x5c0cbc…
06-25 22:04:35	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x7d359b…
06-25 21:32:46	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0xe53008…
06-25 21:30:29	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xf5bbf0…
06-25 21:17:41	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x577ea1…
06-25 21:17:37	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xea16c2…
06-25 20:39:01	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef8040…
06-25 20:36:41	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a2e52…
06-20 13:59:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xea6335…
06-20 13:57:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x81b2e3…
06-20 13:55:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x312f07…
06-20 08:21:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	203	30¢	$60	0x8a994c…