Feminine-Tic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$6.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-15 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$2

Other

39% 100% +$20

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-44	$-27	42¢	$-18	+$8	06-15 09:45
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-56	$-3	5¢	$-3	+$0	06-15 09:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$741	721	250	+471	open	—	02-23 05:03
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$611	313	313	+0	open	—	01-28 14:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$527	300	300	+0	open	—	04-02 04:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$500	526	0	+526	open	—	05-26 12:03
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	12	$378	1,156	1,056	+100	open	—	01-31 14:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$293	250	250	+0	open	—	03-17 10:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$221	286	15	+271	open	—	04-18 12:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$207	295	0	+295	open	—	04-02 04:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$203	120	120	+0	open	—	03-17 12:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	270	0	+270	open	—	05-27 04:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$197	136	136	+0	open	—	04-04 22:36
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 08:58
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	3	$126	150	0	+150	open	—	03-27 21:00
will trump visit greenland by march 31	3	$124	143	0	+143	open	—	01-18 20:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	9	$118	650	600	+50	open	—	03-29 10:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$110	333	333	+0	open	—	03-27 17:32
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$109	70	70	+0	open	—	04-09 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	04-02 04:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	01-30 08:37
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	3	$99	110	25	+85	open	—	02-06 18:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 15:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$94	142	56	+86	open	—	04-02 04:35
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	2	$85	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-30 16:32
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 10:43
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 13:44
nba orl mem 2026 01 18	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	01-18 18:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	5	$64	84	0	+84	No	+$20	04-07 07:03
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 08:35
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$55	43	43	+0	open	—	03-31 14:13
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	01-24 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 09:45:34	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x56e91c…
06-15 09:45:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	44	61¢	$27	0x23910d…
05-27 04:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x0d8259…
05-26 12:03:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x00b48a…
05-26 06:01:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x34d128…
04-18 12:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xa72f7c…
04-15 03:52:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xf4302e…
04-11 14:24:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x4c08e7…
04-10 07:15:21	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9d3936…
04-09 05:47:27	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	70	80¢	$56	0x6a4b19…
04-08 08:56:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xeff605…
04-08 08:54:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xef3d20…
04-07 07:03:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xf829ab…
04-05 11:47:13	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x236044…
04-05 07:12:39	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xe3094b…
04-05 06:59:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x796389…
04-05 06:12:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x7a7fea…
04-05 06:12:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x60ba59…
04-05 06:11:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x65a105…
04-05 06:05:19	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf82f0e…
04-04 22:36:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xad4d98…
04-04 22:29:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xcdedc9…
04-04 17:07:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0x62aa12…
04-02 04:37:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	295	70¢	$207	0x2b70b3…
04-02 04:36:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x98d44a…
04-02 04:35:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	86	92¢	$79	0x063688…
04-02 04:34:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2c33e0…
04-02 04:33:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xb23a9c…
04-02 04:31:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x0cb08b…
04-01 06:32:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0b609f…
03-31 14:13:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	43	73¢	$31	0xac681e…
03-30 01:00:22	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x009eee…
03-29 11:08:58	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x269662…
03-29 10:59:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0x7cf063…
03-29 08:58:56	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xa15145…
03-29 08:54:42	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xa61111…
03-29 08:54:38	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x057488…
03-29 08:54:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0641b7…
03-28 23:36:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x162ef2…
03-27 21:00:45	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x1d20c6…
03-27 20:29:11	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xee70b9…
03-27 19:29:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x108111…
03-27 17:32:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	333	3¢	$10	0x0d1211…
03-26 16:42:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x787435…
03-25 14:46:35	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x00cc27…
03-25 14:39:35	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcc5445…
03-25 13:16:13	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0xe5c6fe…
03-25 12:20:55	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x0f0ec6…
03-21 09:38:41	will crude oil cl settle over 52 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc665ed…
03-21 02:47:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xd78478…
03-20 19:23:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x096625…
03-20 15:38:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xa74001…
03-20 09:51:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x5f1887…
03-20 09:49:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x5be14c…
03-19 17:44:31	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x2b9d3f…
03-18 11:50:51	will crude oil cl settle over 52 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6207d9…
03-18 11:42:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0x656e95…
03-17 19:18:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x6164bd…
03-17 13:44:13	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x63a728…
03-17 13:38:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x00f2ed…
03-17 12:57:35	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xdecb99…
03-17 12:52:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xbe6ffb…
03-17 12:51:27	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	120	83¢	$99	0xd39418…
03-17 10:53:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x50e584…
03-17 10:52:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x80aeb5…
03-17 10:48:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe0d322…
03-13 13:42:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5e2c08…
03-13 13:25:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x4bbdb6…
03-13 13:15:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x1636a8…
03-12 23:01:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x41df05…
03-12 08:35:53	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x2cb128…
03-11 16:58:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x43e795…
03-11 14:41:05	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x93bfc9…
03-11 14:16:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xbd92b1…
03-11 12:29:49	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4b1d86…
03-11 12:19:39	will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xf1538b…
03-11 12:19:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xe686aa…
03-11 12:07:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x76eaae…
03-10 17:00:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x543dd8…
03-09 19:20:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x950880…
03-07 09:10:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xdd98ba…
03-07 06:35:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xae4bda…
03-06 16:33:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x112df5…
03-05 17:12:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0ff41d…
03-05 14:23:35	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x720ddb…
03-05 11:18:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x809f32…
03-05 10:57:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xbe0207…
03-05 10:49:57	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x02221f…
03-05 10:49:21	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x9b8a27…
03-05 10:43:31	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	93	85¢	$79	0xc18aa6…
03-05 10:40:43	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x33d022…
02-23 05:03:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x3c1a0a…
02-18 12:02:14	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xdc0502…
02-11 10:51:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xec7edd…
02-06 18:21:55	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xa9c04c…
02-06 08:39:39	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xeab844…
02-05 20:11:23	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x16244e…
02-05 13:57:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x82ea2b…
02-05 13:56:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xcea9d0…
02-05 13:56:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc01424…