Distorted-Scooter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$230

Unrealized P&L

-$125

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

1,299

Trades

3,185

lifetime

Volume

$9.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$132

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 10-28 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 40% +$75

Other

35% 36% +$239

Politics

1% 8% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+244	$200	44¢	$106	-$94	09-21 16:55
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+81	$50	26¢	$21	-$29	09-21 16:56
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+168	$7	3¢	$5	-$2	10-19 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	6	$271	352	0	+352	open	—	10-25 00:21
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	244	0	+244	open	—	09-21 16:55
will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	3	$195	223	0	+223	Yes	+$28	08-01 16:17
will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	8	$191	287	0	+287	Yes	+$95	08-08 05:40
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?	6	$181	119	119	+0	No	+$50	07-19 07:19
will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	4	$180	242	0	+242	Yes	+$62	08-03 13:04
will bitcoin dip to 75000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	1	$166	200	0	+200	Yes	+$34	09-01 04:40
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	10	$158	550	287	+263	open	—	10-26 10:15
will wti reach 100 in september 2026 from september 18	1	$150	215	0	+215	No	-$150	09-20 06:07
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	6	$142	93	93	+0	open	—	10-23 17:37
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	5	$138	210	0	+210	Yes	+$72	08-04 15:31
will wti reach 95 in october 2026	3	$111	140	0	+140	Yes	+$29	10-01 03:31
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$105	150	0	+150	Yes	+$45	09-01 08:29
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	19	$104	465	0	+465	open	—	10-27 07:46
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	2	$95	83	83	+0	Yes	+$65	10-19 16:11
will wti dip to 80 in september 2026	7	$90	140	0	+140	No	-$90	09-01 02:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	1	$80	145	0	+145	Yes	+$65	09-09 14:21
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$79	112	0	+112	No	-$79	08-21 01:31
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	17	$70	473	249	+224	Yes	+$215	07-29 13:07
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	16	$67	346	35	+311	No	-$54	07-30 12:00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	09-21 16:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	1	$50	73	0	+73	Yes	+$23	09-10 17:45
bitcoin up or down on july 2 2026	9	$47	62	49	+13	Up	+$3	07-02 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	9	$47	68	43	+25	Down	+$8	05-13 23:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?	6	$46	49	42	+8	No	+$27	06-20 15:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?	5	$43	49	44	+5	Yes	+$27	06-20 15:30
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	6	$42	58	44	+14	Up	+$10	06-06 05:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	4	$41	42	42	+0	open	—	10-24 23:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	4	$40	150	0	+150	No	-$40	09-01 08:09
will wti reach 90 in october 2026	1	$39	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	09-29 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:23:38	Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x09c198…
10-27 07:46:30	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x3651d2…
10-27 05:24:32	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb065ea…
10-26 19:18:24	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xcbdc1e…
10-26 13:23:45	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x879262…
10-26 10:15:38	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x73121c…
10-25 23:25:18	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xcdce4b…
10-25 17:33:59	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xce5b76…
10-25 17:32:00	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x72da34…
10-25 14:33:45	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8a4048…
10-25 14:33:21	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x45850d…
10-25 13:01:56	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa807fd…
10-25 12:31:51	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x7c7000…
10-25 12:26:20	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x6bacfd…
10-25 12:23:06	Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xa044b3…
10-25 12:21:54	Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	26¢	$14	0x14d3cf…
10-25 12:17:42	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x0dd5f1…
10-25 00:21:18	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0x38fd66…
10-24 23:39:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x8e0003…
10-24 23:15:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x5a1934…
10-24 22:59:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0xfa69bb…
10-24 21:09:21	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xa47554…
10-24 03:15:39	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1f8c7d…
10-23 17:37:47	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x25b1cf…
10-23 17:37:06	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xc82644…
10-23 17:37:06	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x830bdd…
10-23 17:37:06	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x751630…
10-23 17:37:06	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x236fc3…
10-23 16:18:06	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x5d8a3f…
10-23 16:13:36	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x2dd36f…
10-23 16:13:35	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfc56ba…
10-23 16:13:35	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0x8f2a5e…
10-23 16:13:35	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x802b09…
10-23 15:57:51	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xcb4f0e…
10-23 15:57:51	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x59f8e7…
10-23 15:56:30	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	57	41¢	$23	0x22c40f…
10-23 15:47:14	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x1109ff…
10-23 15:43:20	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x998b18…
10-23 12:40:48	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc15106…
10-23 12:19:57	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc844a9…
10-23 12:18:50	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5a098e…
10-23 11:50:29	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	122	74¢	$90	0xaf4b74…
10-23 03:36:41	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x26a8f4…
10-20 22:53:56	Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x6c1023…
10-20 22:45:45	Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x0ec7bc…
10-20 20:27:59	Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x3bfb5f…
10-20 13:42:51	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	93	67¢	$62	0x000349…
10-20 13:23:56	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x87ca59…
10-20 13:17:35	Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x49119f…
10-20 01:27:38	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xa8cb2a…
10-19 16:11:57	Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x35f48a…
10-19 03:13:15	Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x5e9563…
10-19 03:11:03	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	4¢	$7	0xc6b964…
10-19 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6f8447…
10-19 00:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4f246a…
10-18 21:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x04df54…
10-18 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xacf69d…
10-18 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x3d2e4a…
10-18 20:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3aa8ec…
10-18 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x569112…
10-18 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc8eb78…
10-18 15:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x382be5…
10-18 15:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x5e715a…
10-18 15:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe7ee30…
10-18 15:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe36a73…
10-18 15:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc067f0…
10-18 15:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x454ead…
10-18 15:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x5b09d8…
10-18 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x127a37…
10-18 15:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf20a2c…
10-18 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x21f551…
10-15 15:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xbe001b…
10-14 23:41:49	bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1d8619…
10-14 11:05:10	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$70	0xef84c5…
10-13 22:46:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc62ab6…
10-13 11:35:59	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x70498f…
10-13 11:35:55	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa0d801…
10-13 11:35:55	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7e7cc0…
10-12 20:32:36	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xc11c22…
10-12 20:32:35	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xe68a79…
10-12 20:32:06	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x9908ce…
10-10 20:49:54	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfb81ca…
10-10 19:15:52	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6f2234…
10-08 20:56:21	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xdc1fca…
10-08 17:58:32	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5a3e35…
10-08 17:52:14	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xdcaa9e…
10-08 17:52:12	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x817b68…
10-08 12:50:09	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9d2afd…
10-08 10:43:11	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xec2540…
10-08 10:36:41	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x884890…
10-01 14:56:24	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x5ccc2e…
10-01 06:59:27	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc9931e…
10-01 03:31:02	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xc29e17…
09-30 16:03:27	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf21c7c…
09-30 04:20:54	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x17260f…
09-29 18:05:20	will wti reach 90 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0xeb05db…
09-29 03:59:41	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x700b9c…
09-29 03:58:39	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	46	84¢	$38	0xf06b1a…
09-28 15:08:14	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$35	0xc08d12…
09-28 15:06:02	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?	Yes	SELL	130	7¢	$9	0xe44225…