Intelligent-Demand-Stress — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

39 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$234

$234 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$26	0	26	-26	Down	$-1	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$19	7	15	-8	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$15	0	15	-15	Down	$-0	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-05 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	12	6	+6	Up	+$7	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-1	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	05-05 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$7	8	2	+6	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$7	0	9	-9	Down	$-3	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$6	0	9	-9	Down	+$6	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	Up	$-1	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x784967…
05-05 07:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x52836c…
05-05 07:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x51d53a…
05-05 07:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xd76445…
05-05 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb5ae19…
05-05 07:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xefd252…
05-05 07:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x89c507…
05-05 07:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa414da…
05-05 07:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb99d0e…
05-05 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x06a893…
05-05 07:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcda0a1…
05-05 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x83eb88…
05-05 06:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xb9b7a9…
05-05 06:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6851b9…
05-05 05:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd59c74…
05-05 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7fd080…
05-05 05:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xca1a52…
05-05 05:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x587e9d…
05-05 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb14447…
05-05 05:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2c1f7c…
05-05 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x5c1e6b…
05-05 04:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3ef035…
05-05 04:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdc3417…
05-05 04:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x738052…
05-05 04:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22b617…
05-05 04:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf7766…
05-05 04:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x72b26b…
05-05 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2f626e…
05-05 03:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb9f1b0…
05-05 03:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb94bed…
05-05 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xafc1ef…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xbe6f42…
05-05 03:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa5cc37…
05-05 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xa303b8…
05-05 03:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe56787…
05-04 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xfdd9a1…
05-04 20:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x8f9a15…
05-04 20:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5b07ed…
05-04 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9e41b5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	31	$3.48K	162	05-05 21:25
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	28	$2.45K	153	05-05 07:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$4.62K	153	05-05 07:55
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	27	$2.39K	151	05-05 07:55
Married-Heroine 0xc3b3…7c1b	27	$570	197	05-05 07:56
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	26	$5.38K	77	05-05 07:55
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	26	$1.30K	112	05-05 07:55
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	26	$1.15K	103	05-05 07:55