Jumpy-Garment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

2,487

Trades

9,486

lifetime

Volume

$97.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-07 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 43% -$2,931

Other

2% 26% -$136

Politics

1% 11% -$129

Sports

0% 25% -$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 526 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:00 UTC	21	$696	610	603	+7	Down	+$3	02-10 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:15 UTC	5	$683	1,181	413	+768	Down	-$175	02-11 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$611	3,048	548	+2,500	Down	+$161	11-01 14:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:15 UTC	20	$572	497	491	+6	Down	+$25	02-06 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:00 UTC	4	$500	273	272	+1	Down	+$18	02-11 18:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$497	4,333	4,333	+0	No	-$63	11-01 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 12:30 UTC	10	$491	312	310	+2	Up	-$3	03-10 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 21:30 UTC	7	$487	307	304	+2	Up	+$10	03-09 21:42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	3	$448	332	332	+0	Yes	+$148	07-10 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$434	312	312	+0	Down	+$24	05-08 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$412	534	420	+114	Up	+$112	10-31 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$396	571	510	+62	Down	+$48	10-31 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$386	246	246	+0	Up	+$86	10-31 15:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	19	$380	391	386	+5	Up	+$16	02-10 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$377	385	385	+0	Up	+$177	10-31 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	6	$368	308	308	+0	Up	-$32	10-31 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:00 UTC	2	$346	187	186	+1	Up	+$19	02-11 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$346	325	325	+0	Down	+$66	10-31 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$337	301	301	+0	Down	+$37	10-31 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$336	592	354	+238	Down	+$76	11-01 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 19:00 UTC	8	$332	238	203	+35	Up	+$8	03-09 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 23:30 UTC	4	$325	235	232	+3	Down	+$19	03-09 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$318	847	268	+579	Up	-$132	10-31 20:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 12:15 UTC	10	$316	251	249	+2	Down	-$36	03-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	12	$316	247	244	+3	Down	+$10	02-10 19:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:45 UTC	2	$313	170	169	+0	Up	+$15	02-11 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$309	209	209	+0	Down	+$59	10-31 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$309	439	203	+236	Up	-$91	11-01 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 21:45 UTC	5	$309	314	254	+61	Down	-$69	03-09 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$307	298	298	+0	Up	+$57	11-01 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x40fc47…
11-06 18:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6ce4b7…
11-06 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x277a38…
11-06 17:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x60493e…
11-06 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xb8ed94…
11-06 17:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x138a58…
11-06 17:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa07995…
11-06 17:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x882c8a…
11-06 17:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc274ab…
11-06 17:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x270548…
11-06 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x98d697…
11-06 17:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2b7241…
11-06 17:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x7bb6ba…
11-06 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe7b245…
11-06 17:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x02efb8…
11-06 17:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7c6d51…
11-06 17:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x829679…
11-06 17:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xc4a023…
11-06 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ee1f7…
11-06 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd59684…
11-06 17:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x289819…
11-06 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6401d7…
11-06 17:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0xa7e584…
11-06 17:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc30e6f…
11-06 17:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0x10a5f5…
11-06 17:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x9c590e…
11-06 17:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	38	67¢	$26	0x6b1e3d…
11-06 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x1a71f5…
11-06 17:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	62¢	$19	0x650109…
11-06 17:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xbeef55…
11-06 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc2ba9d…
11-06 15:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xf01b9f…
11-06 15:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x674a22…
11-06 15:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa1e222…
11-06 15:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0xc7737d…
11-06 15:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x230fd0…
11-06 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9d5f32…
11-06 15:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xbc9695…
11-06 15:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xc1c96e…
11-06 15:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xe3f38d…
11-06 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x7857c3…
11-06 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfa4f9a…
11-06 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x044cb3…
11-06 12:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x04d358…
11-06 12:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2f26c9…
11-06 12:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x3146f5…
11-06 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x73698c…
11-06 12:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x442c5f…
11-06 12:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc29445…
11-06 12:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x8525bc…
11-06 12:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9b73b8…
11-06 12:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6abe7e…
11-06 11:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xaa7eca…
11-06 11:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaa71f8…
11-06 11:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x06d075…
11-06 11:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x684312…
11-06 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x3c3b97…
11-06 11:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4948db…
11-06 11:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0de0f…
11-06 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x95417c…
11-06 11:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x88ca04…
11-06 10:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf52a12…
11-06 10:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0xd9cc9c…
11-06 10:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3f6d1c…
11-06 10:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa983e0…
11-06 10:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc33b84…
11-06 10:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x36093b…
11-06 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x80cfa7…
11-06 10:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3cd7f9…
11-06 10:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xe60aae…
11-06 10:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4aaf02…
11-06 01:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	85¢	$18	0xbb7585…
11-06 01:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf37d7c…
11-06 01:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x2587e5…
11-06 01:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x848568…
11-05 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb399f4…
11-05 16:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb7180b…
11-05 16:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x81a669…
11-05 16:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9177ca…
11-05 16:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xdfdd5c…
11-05 16:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x307949…
11-05 16:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5f5d4a…
11-05 16:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x4142dc…
11-05 16:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7b62f9…
11-05 14:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2d493c…
11-05 14:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x502071…
11-05 14:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe330da…
11-05 14:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x147e08…
11-05 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x45f2fc…
11-05 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfd8fb7…
11-05 14:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4771f7…
11-05 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0xcd8630…
11-05 14:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6a8019…
11-05 14:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xea0e1a…
11-05 14:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb26bc4…
11-05 14:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3df04a…
11-05 13:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32	78¢	$25	0xd07677…
11-05 13:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0e1749…
11-05 13:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xcd4a29…
11-05 13:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x36e56d…