Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$938

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$239.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$436

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 03-29 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

74% 0% $-963

Other

23% 100% +$25

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	38	$33.3K	25,000	26,000	-1,000	open	—	03-07 11:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$19.4K	20,000	7,000	+13,000	open	—	03-08 21:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$18.7K	12,000	12,026	-26	open	—	03-29 19:02
will trump visit china by march 31	50	$15.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	42	$13.8K	22,100	22,100	+0	open	—	03-17 06:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$12.9K	12,000	9,000	+3,000	open	—	02-28 06:39
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$25	03-13 07:08
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	7	$9.4K	5,000	5,038	-38	open	—	03-29 19:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$9.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$8.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-13 11:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	4	$8.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-07 11:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$7.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	25	$6.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$6.4K	8,000	8,138	-138	Yes	$-563	03-17 06:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$5.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-08 10:10
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	21	$4.3K	8,551	0	+8,551	open	—	02-14 04:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$4.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-11 20:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	$-400	03-17 06:44
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$3.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	open	—	01-23 20:46
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	12	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-10 05:40
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$2.6K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$2.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	40	$2.0K	9,758	0	+9,758	open	—	03-14 15:49
ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	28	$2.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-08 01:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$1.9K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$1.8K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-17 06:44
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	12	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-05 15:42
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-23 20:55
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$1.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-27 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-29 19:02:24	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x627a73…
03-29 19:02:22	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xbbf947…
03-29 19:02:20	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xe39b71…
03-29 19:02:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0xcdac41…
03-29 19:02:18	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0xdabb71…
03-29 19:02:18	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x39f273…
03-29 19:02:16	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0xefb200…
03-29 19:02:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x3abd13…
03-29 19:02:14	will canada strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	886	0¢	$1	0x9c1a79…
03-17 06:44:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe50e5e…
03-17 06:44:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xcce5e9…
03-17 06:44:43	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	361	65¢	$234	0x9de812…
03-17 06:44:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	1,100	85¢	$935	0x7a35b0…
03-17 06:44:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,100	62¢	$682	0xd7effa…
03-17 06:44:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	2,000	35¢	$703	0xc27999…
03-17 06:44:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	2,000	34¢	$680	0xf5ba61…
03-17 06:44:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	3,000	42¢	$1,260	0xabfb12…
03-17 06:44:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	4,000	64¢	$2,543	0x466bda…
03-17 06:44:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	5,000	72¢	$3,600	0x887205…
03-17 06:44:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	5,000	59¢	$2,950	0x3eb00e…
03-17 06:44:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5,000	97¢	$4,845	0x2baa18…
03-17 06:44:17	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	5,000	5¢	$254	0x45c58f…
03-17 06:44:13	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	7,011	94¢	$6,609	0xb339a3…
03-17 06:44:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8,000	12¢	$976	0x2bdf34…
03-17 06:44:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,138	37¢	$2,997	0x2d4233…
03-17 06:44:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	9,000	87¢	$7,830	0xae2c32…
03-17 06:44:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	16¢	$1,600	0xbe5271…
03-17 06:44:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10,096	2¢	$172	0x242887…
03-17 06:43:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	14,100	24¢	$3,384	0x716072…
03-17 05:33:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0xbdbcaf…
03-17 05:02:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xc5bc19…
03-17 05:01:51	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	3,958	95¢	$3,760	0xd42f9b…
03-17 04:38:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x004b31…
03-16 23:15:55	nba por bkn 2026 03 16 total 221pt5	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2a1002…
03-16 23:15:21	nba por bkn 2026 03 16 spread away 10pt5	Nets	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbf2779…
03-16 23:15:17	nba por bkn 2026 03 16 spread away 10pt5	Nets	BUY	96	48¢	$46	0x399952…
03-16 23:14:37	nba orl atl 2026 03 16 spread home 3pt5	Magic	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xdc221f…
03-16 23:14:37	nba orl atl 2026 03 16 spread home 2pt5	Magic	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x75966c…
03-16 23:14:37	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Magic	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x2391ba…
03-16 23:14:23	nba por bkn 2026 03 16 spread away 11pt5	Nets	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x040617…
03-16 23:14:21	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Magic	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb391f0…
03-16 23:14:15	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Magic	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xba18cb…
03-16 23:14:01	nba gsw was 2026 03 16 total 234pt5	Under	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x330901…
03-16 23:13:53	nba por bkn 2026 03 16 spread away 11pt5	Nets	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x6df9bd…
03-16 23:13:49	nba por bkn 2026 03 16	Nets	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xf95fab…
03-16 23:13:49	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Clippers	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xb2e4bd…
03-16 22:47:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,138	72¢	$1,539	0xf0f8a2…
03-16 22:37:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	357	72¢	$257	0xf36405…
03-16 22:34:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x92f7f0…
03-16 22:22:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,333	72¢	$960	0xae9b5e…
03-16 22:12:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	536	72¢	$386	0xa6834d…
03-16 21:56:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	600	72¢	$432	0xadbdf3…
03-16 20:55:17	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Clippers	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x25438e…
03-16 16:11:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0xeeb2aa…
03-16 13:35:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	1,576	72¢	$1,134	0x290c0b…
03-16 13:15:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	295	98¢	$287	0x286308…
03-16 13:12:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xa85d74…
03-16 13:12:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0x6a9f22…
03-16 13:12:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x6231ac…
03-16 13:09:19	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	4,555	98¢	$4,441	0x952a47…
03-16 09:34:43	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x3a17d3…
03-16 09:34:41	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x2b4257…
03-16 09:33:59	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x3f8156…
03-16 09:33:15	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x985bbe…
03-16 04:00:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	904	64¢	$579	0xdc4d0a…
03-16 03:46:37	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x9022c0…
03-16 03:33:51	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0x53ad0f…
03-16 03:33:33	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x2657fb…
03-16 03:31:25	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xa3df2f…
03-15 19:44:03	nba por phi 2026 03 15	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x6c9c87…
03-15 18:06:57	nba por phi 2026 03 15	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x6399c8…
03-15 18:06:53	nba por phi 2026 03 15	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x9ff3a9…
03-15 18:06:51	nba por phi 2026 03 15	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x41c131…
03-15 18:06:25	nba por phi 2026 03 15	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa86671…
03-15 11:54:51	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	361	61¢	$220	0xc5766f…
03-15 04:00:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	680	67¢	$456	0x336b68…
03-15 03:59:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	284	67¢	$190	0x3cb02b…
03-15 03:09:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5b7eb3…
03-15 03:09:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xb79c48…
03-15 03:08:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x28a9e9…
03-15 02:05:09	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,960	63¢	$1,235	0xee113f…
03-15 01:24:31	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd97878…
03-15 01:23:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x77dcf4…
03-15 01:22:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xc0b9dd…
03-15 01:22:13	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xb1a1ed…
03-15 00:54:19	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x7cb5b3…
03-15 00:51:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	68	5¢	$4	0x7cd1b2…
03-15 00:50:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x0e260d…
03-15 00:50:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd87b53…
03-15 00:50:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xced9aa…
03-15 00:50:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf340be…
03-15 00:50:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe0d7de…
03-15 00:50:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x34951d…
03-15 00:49:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x18c225…
03-15 00:26:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x4e4b33…
03-14 23:51:27	nba den lal 2026 03 14	Lakers	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xd5c181…
03-14 23:46:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x82834b…
03-14 23:44:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe70717…
03-14 23:19:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0c6782…
03-14 15:49:23	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	140	21¢	$29	0xc3a030…