Putrid-Lab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

499

Trades

1,338

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$147

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% +$233

Tech

14% 43% -$60

Crypto

9% 53% -$131

Politics

9% 55% +$33

Sports

1% 46% -$12

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+81	$66	89¢	$72	+$6	10-26 10:47
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	+69	$47	79¢	$55	+$8	10-25 23:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+40	$16	50¢	$20	+$4	10-22 06:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$209	116	116	+0	Yes	+$3	10-05 21:34
tsla close above 400 on march 5 2026	4	$201	128	128	+0	Yes	-$20	03-05 21:02
nvda close above 180 on march 4 2026	2	$196	103	103	+0	Yes	+$10	03-04 21:05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	2	$189	97	97	+0	No	+$0	04-04 18:58
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$185	94	94	+0	No	+$2	03-04 17:16
lol we nip 2026 04 04 game2	2	$184	97	96	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$5	04-04 12:52
ndx up or down on march 3 2026	2	$180	92	92	+0	Down	+$3	03-03 21:01
googl up or down on march 3 2026	2	$179	95	95	+0	Down	-$2	03-03 19:12
nvda close above 180 on march 5 2026	2	$171	121	121	+0	Yes	-$56	03-05 17:32
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 160 179	2	$166	86	86	+0	Yes	+$5	03-03 17:40
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$166	85	85	+0	Yes	+$3	03-27 12:14
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	2	$165	85	85	+0	Yes	+$5	03-20 11:52
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	2	$161	82	82	+0	No	+$0	03-03 15:35
Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	3	$146	101	60	+41	No	-$35	09-18 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 20:30 UTC	8	$140	87	86	+2	Up	+$9	04-21 20:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 20:00 UTC	4	$139	98	96	+2	Up	+$3	04-21 20:04
tsla close above 400 on march 10 2026	2	$127	64	64	+0	No	+$1	03-10 20:04
dota2 liquid pari 2026 03 09 game1	2	$127	65	65	+0	Team Liquid	+$3	03-09 16:31
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	2	$124	64	64	+0	No	$0	08-11 19:53
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	2	$123	68	68	+0	Yes	+$8	03-05 18:01
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$122	62	62	+0	No	+$2	03-08 19:24
nvda above 175 on march 13 2026	3	$122	63	63	+0	Yes	-$1	03-13 12:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$121	65	65	+0	Yes	+$8	04-13 13:43
will tesla tsla be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of march 2	3	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	03-06 20:22
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	5	$114	65	65	+0	No	+$9	02-17 11:15
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	9	$113	154	73	+81	open	—	10-26 10:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$108	82	82	+0	No	+$0	04-04 12:47
Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026	3	$102	72	50	+22	open	—	10-24 14:50
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	10	$101	1,367	1,236	+131	No	-$28	06-29 18:08
internet access restored in iran by march 14 2026	3	$101	56	56	+0	No	+$1	03-05 00:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:49:35	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9fbb6d…
10-28 22:24:01	will there be no next gemini flash lite model 3pt6 release by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8bd6ac…
10-28 22:18:19	will there be no next claude opus model 5pt6 release by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe84edc…
10-28 22:12:40	will the next fable model 5pt2 be released on november 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9aeb63…
10-28 22:10:55	will the next fable model 5pt2 debut in the top 3 of the text arena leaderboard by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdc0a64…
10-28 07:01:59	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x3f9189…
10-27 16:09:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xed99d3…
10-27 15:40:35	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xfd776c…
10-27 12:34:00	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xab7312…
10-27 09:12:47	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0x1f5710…
10-27 09:11:47	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x19b785…
10-27 09:11:39	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x635ccd…
10-27 08:48:45	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xa4472a…
10-27 08:32:59	Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0x93283a…
10-27 08:26:24	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6e8c5a…
10-27 08:26:23	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xeff4d4…
10-27 08:26:23	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x142f9a…
10-27 08:22:44	next gpt terra 6pt2 released by february 28 2027	Yes	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x8fd73c…
10-27 08:17:57	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x78c64a…
10-26 22:36:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xc0bf71…
10-26 22:28:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xce2589…
10-26 22:28:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0x72ce5b…
10-26 20:43:51	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x09ff1e…
10-26 20:08:35	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xf1c236…
10-26 17:54:02	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xa059bb…
10-26 17:53:51	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x7d827f…
10-26 17:53:26	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x0cd00e…
10-26 17:02:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x74e0ad…
10-26 16:24:05	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x2f58e5…
10-26 11:56:26	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$25	0x1341c4…
10-26 11:25:57	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xb0ce50…
10-26 11:25:54	Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x6f9425…
10-26 11:23:03	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1290bb…
10-26 11:19:51	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe99bf7…
10-26 10:47:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x3f742a…
10-26 10:46:59	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0xd7f451…
10-26 10:46:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	48¢	$38	0xe43987…
10-26 07:39:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x2a7480…
10-25 23:02:08	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	68¢	$47	0xbfb77b…
10-25 22:39:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0x911df1…
10-24 16:11:45	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xf0aacf…
10-24 15:22:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0x628144…
10-24 14:50:21	Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xbb5810…
10-24 14:50:06	Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4a88ae…
10-24 14:46:33	Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x8b20e3…
10-24 14:46:23	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x91553c…
10-24 14:46:14	Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb63508…
10-24 14:36:35	Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x8592d1…
10-24 14:32:05	Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9f8153…
10-24 07:25:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0x75c7b2…
10-24 07:24:45	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 20% or higher?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa2fe7f…
10-24 07:22:44	will capital one mobile be 1 free app in the us apple app store on october 30	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x25eaa0…
10-23 15:21:24	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe32b8e…
10-23 15:20:35	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.5M?	No	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xdc334f…
10-23 15:04:23	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x3effdc…
10-23 15:04:09	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x76d26d…
10-23 14:52:02	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xe4201f…
10-23 14:52:02	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x76a244…
10-23 14:40:36	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x4f373d…
10-23 14:39:02	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x817323…
10-23 12:03:00	Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xd88eb0…
10-23 09:24:05	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x2a4b04…
10-23 08:51:36	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	70	21¢	$15	0xe563ed…
10-23 07:04:56	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x5487c1…
10-23 07:04:24	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x0784ab…
10-23 07:02:05	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xe03c36…
10-23 06:42:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xbdeedd…
10-23 06:41:39	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0x9c6fa7…
10-23 06:32:42	ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x936eca…
10-22 16:34:38	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xaa8c81…
10-22 13:24:42	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $146?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8427d2…
10-22 13:23:09	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $146?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0c771d…
10-22 10:05:48	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0xb076fb…
10-22 06:38:36	Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $34.5B?	No	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0xabb410…
10-22 06:34:56	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x668230…
10-22 06:34:00	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb19238…
10-22 06:19:13	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x8907ef…
10-22 06:16:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x4f22ad…
10-22 06:10:31	Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x36f362…
10-22 06:07:22	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x2643a7…
10-22 05:56:44	Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x65c13f…
10-22 05:56:35	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xe31c10…
10-22 05:55:56	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x65b6b7…
10-22 05:54:25	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1795c2…
10-22 05:52:47	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xda0134…
10-22 03:26:23	Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x336328…
10-21 18:38:00	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa26664…
10-21 18:37:51	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9a85a0…
10-21 18:37:44	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x54d966…
10-21 18:35:39	Will KICK - Live Streaming be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xfeb4a3…
10-21 18:35:09	Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x9f1647…
10-21 18:33:48	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xfad21c…
10-21 18:31:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x3193d4…
10-21 18:26:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x53da9c…
10-21 12:47:41	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x00dbae…
10-21 09:48:20	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x82307d…
10-21 07:10:02	Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $45B?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0xbeb024…
10-21 07:06:35	Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.74B?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1c9a7e…
10-21 07:06:26	Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.74B?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x7dc0a2…
10-21 06:59:54	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.6M?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xefa4cd…