Stiff-Center — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-31 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$1

Sports

29% — —

Other

17% 25% $-4

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$447	224	224	+0	open	—	03-02 09:17
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$427	214	214	+0	open	—	01-19 12:44
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	4	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	01-15 06:31
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	01-24 10:43
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	3	$315	105	210	-105	open	—	01-14 11:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$293	147	147	+0	open	—	05-27 03:29
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$251	126	126	+0	open	—	01-21 04:19
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	01-24 09:48
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	01-21 04:44
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	01-13 07:10
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$247	124	124	+0	open	—	01-13 07:26
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$247	124	124	+0	open	—	01-13 07:39
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	01-14 07:33
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	02-10 08:21
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$225	113	113	+0	open	—	01-16 09:22
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$217	109	109	+0	open	—	02-02 12:27
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	01-24 11:04
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	01-14 11:42
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	01-24 11:30
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$210	107	107	+0	open	—	03-03 04:37
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-15 06:46
Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-14 09:54
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	04-12 09:59
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	$-0	03-09 10:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	05-17 08:52
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$153	154	0	+154	open	—	05-15 08:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	05-20 04:15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	05-22 12:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-21 11:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-24 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 09:22:44	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xc7c404…
05-30 06:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x124037…
05-29 07:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xb2c1be…
05-28 04:29:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xee1891…
05-27 03:29:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xbb00cf…
05-25 08:38:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x0e729e…
05-25 08:33:06	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x52d25e…
05-24 12:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7d07df…
05-23 16:48:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd1cc0d…
05-22 12:05:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x93a98b…
05-21 11:46:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0ab3d3…
05-21 11:36:01	Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Olimpia Milano	Pallacanestro Reggiana	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3c751a…
05-20 04:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x16c213…
05-20 03:55:31	Istanbul: Alafia Ayeni vs Franco Agamenone	Alafia Ayeni	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x485d87…
05-17 08:52:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x91a62d…
05-15 08:47:36	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0x9e1c91…
05-14 06:59:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x14a7b7…
05-13 08:20:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x4ff548…
05-11 03:36:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreeva	Elise Mertens	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9be640…
05-10 02:53:51	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc4e210…
05-09 07:14:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x4a70ee…
05-08 03:57:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x11177a…
05-07 07:45:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xabe0af…
05-07 07:38:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2b1623…
05-04 10:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xb728d0…
05-03 03:10:46	Will XRP reach $1.60 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc0233…
05-02 06:53:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x823511…
05-01 11:14:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd8ae02…
04-30 06:23:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc42da1…
04-28 04:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0adac5…
04-27 03:56:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x491b03…
04-26 12:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xecf88d…
04-25 08:56:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xaafeea…
04-24 12:14:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa5b8f2…
04-23 06:50:32	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x34358e…
04-21 08:58:42	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x75c1df…
04-20 07:47:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xdfd4e5…
04-19 05:35:16	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xb881a9…
04-17 05:10:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 17	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x522ca6…
04-14 10:08:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5c5d6d…
04-14 09:54:59	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x3ad19a…
04-14 08:44:15	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x63c589…
04-13 00:54:45	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5eb553…
04-12 10:01:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xba7fcb…
04-12 09:59:51	Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x01e64a…
04-12 09:10:07	Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xb68db0…
04-11 11:54:35	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x22b78d…
04-10 06:41:57	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xeac3fd…
04-10 06:41:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x2419e3…
04-10 06:40:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x050d07…
04-09 12:53:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbe94b9…
04-08 03:42:35	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbf633e…
04-08 03:39:37	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x0492a3…
04-08 03:37:43	wta ostapen eala 2026 04 08	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x265553…
04-06 05:29:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x170f97…
04-06 05:26:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xc4eaf5…
04-06 05:25:59	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x630d74…
04-03 06:42:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x57a4aa…
04-02 11:36:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x409aff…
04-01 04:04:51	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3ec0c9…
03-30 11:53:18	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x0c14f8…
03-29 20:03:52	will ethereum dip to 1700 march 23 29	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb20083…
03-28 12:24:55	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x509e49…
03-28 12:20:49	cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf7b6be…
03-27 14:47:29	nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 180 199	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x56c096…
03-26 12:34:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 26	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x25ba01…
03-25 08:31:45	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x33d8cb…
03-25 07:58:31	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Warriors	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x92c762…
03-24 08:29:07	ethereum above 2400 on march 24	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x5d12e1…
03-22 05:00:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 22	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6810f7…
03-21 07:12:29	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x2b4ad9…
03-20 12:58:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x50b0fd…
03-17 10:25:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x895696…
03-17 09:42:07	nba okc orl 2026 03 17	Thunder	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x446ef8…
03-16 07:41:51	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5b34bd…
03-15 10:52:55	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x38b65c…
03-13 11:26:31	ethereum above 1900 on march 13	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x82cfe6…
03-09 10:36:09	ethereum above 2200 on march 9	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xa1fabc…
03-09 10:35:11	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xffa506…
03-09 10:19:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xfb6e92…
03-08 05:46:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb9150b…
03-08 04:39:21	nba was nop 2026 03 08	Pelicans	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xaf5c6c…
03-07 12:04:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x63f705…
03-06 05:51:35	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd1c625…
03-06 05:40:23	nba dal bos 2026 03 06	Celtics	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x5386f2…
03-03 04:47:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x929b92…
03-03 04:43:13	wta sherif kawa 2026 03 02	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xb9b48f…
03-03 04:37:25	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0xa0c8e2…
03-03 04:04:27	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x245594…
03-02 09:21:17	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 2	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x677491…
03-02 09:17:05	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd2962e…
03-02 08:57:11	nhl phi tor 2026 03 02	Maple Leafs	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x44640e…
03-02 08:54:03	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x319b2a…
02-28 05:28:31	will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x603a3a…
02-27 10:01:45	amzn above 260 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x0f3a7e…
02-27 09:58:03	wta masarov townsen 2026 02 27	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9630be…
02-26 15:16:16	ethereum above 2200 on february 26	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x7521f4…
02-26 11:56:18	nba cha ind 2026 02 26	Hornets	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x9957e9…
02-25 10:36:28	bitcoin above 58k on february 25	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xfa7e4a…
02-24 09:44:34	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 24	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x0b84bb…