Illustrious-Squeegee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$246

Unrealized P&L

+$89

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$914

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$132

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-19 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

57% 50% -$6

Politics

36% 75% +$144

Tech

7% 100% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes		+219	$45	57¢	$126	+$81	08-02 21:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes		+52	-$2	12¢	$6	+$8	08-09 11:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	2	$162	206	155	+52	open	—	08-09 11:55
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?	1	$136	183	0	+183	open	—	10-19 08:44
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	1	$100	125	0	+125	No	+$25	09-13 13:38
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	1	$100	204	0	+204	Yes	+$104	06-15 07:08
will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	3	$99	194	0	+194	No	+$95	08-25 13:00
will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	2	$67	195	0	+195	No	-$67	08-25 12:59
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	2	$64	100	100	+0	No	+$12	06-15 06:44
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$61	176	70	+106	Yes	+$107	06-05 20:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	1	$45	219	0	+219	open	—	08-02 21:47
will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 30 in 2026	2	$41	100	0	+100	open	—	09-26 08:10
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	1	$31	103	0	+103	Yes	-$31	04-14 15:15
will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 25 in 2026	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	09-26 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 08:44:08	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	74¢	$136	0x08d3cb…
09-26 08:10:05	will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 30 in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x552383…
09-26 08:05:26	will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 25 in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xabe1bb…
09-26 08:04:39	will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 30 in 2026	Yes	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x3c4893…
09-13 13:38:49	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6234d3…
08-25 13:00:58	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2d4be7…
08-25 12:59:06	will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	67	35¢	$23	0xb7a819…
08-25 12:58:04	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x571d91…
08-25 12:55:39	will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	129	34¢	$44	0x94ceca…
08-25 12:54:37	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0xd8a7dc…
08-09 11:55:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	155	53¢	$82	0x7e25fc…
08-02 21:47:39	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	21¢	$45	0xa3ff0c…
07-11 02:59:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	206	39¢	$80	0x832c4d…
06-15 07:08:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xedd6ca…
06-15 06:44:45	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x9dabd3…
06-05 20:27:28	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x8d97cf…
06-05 19:28:43	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0x120d55…
06-02 15:00:43	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x876321…
05-17 10:35:49	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x32d6ef…
04-14 15:15:01	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	103	30¢	$31	0x378f39…