Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-05 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

40% 100% +$47

Politics

35% 89% -$2

Tech

14% 100% +$23

Crypto

11% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No		+84	$80	98¢	$82	+$2	10-05 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bhumjaithai party bjt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$385	206	206	+0	No	-$19	02-07 03:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$379	207	207	+0	Yes	+$19	02-25 02:04
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$365	367	0	+367	No	+$2	01-14 08:37
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$321	325	0	+325	No	+$4	02-04 12:21
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$310	183	130	+53	No	+$2	06-27 08:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$302	175	134	+41	Yes	+$5	05-26 07:59
bitcoin up or down on april 4 2026	1	$231	233	0	+233	Up	+$2	04-04 15:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	04-23 12:15
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$211	213	0	+213	No	+$2	02-25 02:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$200	207	0	+207	Yes	+$7	06-15 15:16
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$200	201	0	+201	Yes	+$1	03-31 05:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$195	199	0	+199	No	+$4	05-17 12:11
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	1	$190	192	0	+192	No	+$2	04-04 15:43
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$181	184	0	+184	No	+$3	06-15 15:17
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	1	$180	182	0	+182	No	+$2	03-10 11:16
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$171	172	0	+172	No	+$1	08-22 07:52
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$170	175	0	+175	No	+$5	03-10 11:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$166	175	0	+175	Yes	+$9	03-10 11:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$160	161	0	+161	No	+$1	01-25 05:47
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$150	153	0	+153	No	+$3	05-26 08:00
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$150	153	0	+153	Yes	+$3	01-14 08:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$132	133	0	+133	Yes	+$1	06-27 08:36
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	1	$130	132	0	+132	No	+$2	04-04 15:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$114	119	0	+119	Yes	+$5	07-17 06:23
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	1	$111	112	0	+112	No	+$1	09-12 13:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	1	$102	103	0	+103	No	+$1	10-05 07:42
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	1	$80	84	0	+84	open	—	10-05 07:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	1	$72	73	0	+73	No	+$1	09-12 13:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$60	62	0	+62	No	+$2	07-17 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 07:42:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x574f54…
10-05 07:41:50	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	96¢	$80	0x546caf…
09-12 13:27:01	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xb5d989…
09-12 13:26:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x2beb16…
08-22 07:52:16	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0xa4c7d3…
07-17 06:23:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0xc6c382…
07-17 06:22:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x85b00a…
06-27 08:36:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x24f52f…
06-27 08:35:22	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xea315b…
06-15 15:17:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$181	0x99023b…
06-15 15:16:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x63bf50…
05-26 08:00:37	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x58053e…
05-26 07:59:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x9c0f24…
05-17 12:16:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	175	96¢	$169	0x4a88ce…
05-17 12:12:32	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x8f1753…
05-17 12:11:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x00f93a…
04-23 12:15:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xc7c8e6…
04-04 15:45:31	bitcoin up or down on april 4 2026	Up	BUY	233	99¢	$231	0x92ab5b…
04-04 15:43:51	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x561648…
04-04 15:43:03	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x55f1ae…
03-31 05:49:17	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x0fcd53…
03-10 11:18:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	175	95¢	$166	0x893c6f…
03-10 11:16:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x5b9899…
03-10 11:16:13	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xbcd279…
02-25 02:06:34	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0x813293…
02-25 02:04:54	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	207	96¢	$199	0x666681…
02-07 03:25:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	207	87¢	$180	0x0672f3…
02-07 03:24:59	will bhumjaithai party bjt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	206	89¢	$183	0xe54a47…
02-04 12:21:18	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	325	99¢	$321	0xdf834f…
02-04 12:16:34	will bhumjaithai party bjt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	206	98¢	$202	0x20fa5b…
01-25 05:47:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x4ef159…
01-14 08:37:04	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	367	99¢	$365	0x8c8844…
01-14 08:35:58	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x8306ae…