Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,455

lifetime

Volume

$47.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-14 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 50% +$4

Other

37% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	161	$9.1K	9,949	9,598	+352	open	—	02-20 15:55
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?	63	$4.6K	2,393	2,829	-436	open	—	02-04 02:05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	46	$2.5K	2,601	2,801	-200	open	—	01-23 05:26
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	34	$2.3K	2,335	2,175	+160	open	—	02-20 08:09
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	42	$1.8K	1,493	1,002	+492	open	—	02-04 02:06
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	89	$1.6K	3,263	3,248	+15	open	—	01-05 04:57
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	13	$1.3K	534	839	-305	open	—	03-01 11:34
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$1.3K	500	900	-400	open	—	01-09 13:56
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	23	$1.2K	921	707	+214	open	—	02-20 08:44
will the trump administration release any epstein related files on december 31 2025	4	$1.2K	585	600	-15	open	—	01-01 06:31
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	68	$1.2K	2,218	1,885	+332	open	—	02-02 10:58
trump cabinet member out by march 31	42	$975	791	891	-100	open	—	02-04 02:15
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	5	$920	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-03 03:42
will gold close between 4300 and 4400 at the end of 2025 774 377	3	$895	908	0	+908	open	—	01-01 05:27
will d66 be part of the next government of the netherlands	12	$760	335	444	-109	open	—	01-12 09:26
will leavitt say epstein or hoax during the next white house press briefing	9	$713	668	166	+502	open	—	01-15 18:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	18	$644	1,000	862	+138	open	—	01-14 21:08
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	8	$636	600	600	+0	open	—	01-07 15:54
maduro out in 2025 411	1	$599	0	600	-600	open	—	01-01 05:15
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	10	$523	300	300	-0	open	—	01-07 10:17
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	71	$482	2,285	1,308	+977	open	—	02-02 02:54
will vvd be part of the next government of the netherlands	17	$469	117	367	-250	open	—	01-15 22:24
will man i need olivia dean be the 1 song on us spotify this week	3	$463	234	234	+0	open	—	01-02 16:24
Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?	4	$424	275	157	+118	open	—	01-17 08:48
will cda be part of the next government of the netherlands	139	$396	153	253	-100	open	—	01-10 19:29
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	25	$394	701	398	+303	open	—	02-20 15:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 00:48
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$359	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 00:47
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	24	$358	300	300	+0	open	—	02-22 15:06
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	24	$333	516	542	-26	open	—	01-31 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-14 12:19:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x5aa704…
04-03 21:07:09	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x94fb87…
04-03 17:38:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x3b9fc4…
04-03 17:28:49	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6b33cf…
03-31 00:48:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x03085e…
03-31 00:48:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	105	92¢	$97	0x1990ad…
03-31 00:48:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xaf9c65…
03-31 00:47:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x073dca…
03-30 11:50:42	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x889e23…
03-30 11:50:42	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1e7b85…
03-28 02:36:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x9a1254…
03-28 02:36:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x570e8d…
03-25 07:34:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x751415…
03-25 05:02:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x6eedd5…
03-25 02:21:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x9cf908…
03-25 02:15:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x49e0a6…
03-25 02:14:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0x757b94…
03-25 02:11:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x124f02…
03-25 02:10:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4eade1…
03-25 02:09:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	128	61¢	$78	0x2f84b3…
03-25 02:08:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x3b473d…
03-25 02:08:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	55	68¢	$38	0xa77441…
03-25 02:07:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe982f0…
03-25 02:05:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0x5986a2…
03-25 02:04:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x9a411b…
03-18 03:09:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xb058ef…
03-11 22:12:27	prince andrew charged by march 31	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3e4076…
03-11 17:22:37	us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x001e74…
03-11 17:20:39	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x3551aa…
03-11 17:13:25	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x460aa3…
03-11 17:12:57	us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	No	SELL	322	86¢	$276	0xe75c44…
03-07 18:48:25	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x24cd7d…
03-07 16:28:29	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xedead4…
03-07 01:47:01	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xb6a214…
03-06 23:36:01	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x0d5615…
03-05 21:47:03	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x38939a…
03-05 09:59:43	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x150cab…
03-05 09:56:47	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7feeb6…
03-05 06:25:43	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xfa55d5…
03-05 06:00:11	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x382bd5…
03-05 05:52:31	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xdad023…
03-02 17:42:13	prince andrew charged by march 31	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x51fc3c…
03-01 11:34:25	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	SELL	476	100¢	$475	0x84fb5f…
03-01 11:33:49	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x239b47…
03-01 11:33:23	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeee9b6…
03-01 11:32:43	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x4a6f02…
03-01 04:37:09	us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xae1e46…
02-28 19:01:51	us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x17ebd2…
02-28 17:00:37	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	105	99¢	$105	0x9adc0d…
02-27 15:12:51	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0xca466f…
02-27 01:48:06	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x522fcb…
02-26 12:26:04	prince andrew charged by march 31	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x879151…
02-26 04:38:38	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x090d10…
02-26 04:36:54	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x6e4034…
02-26 04:35:30	prince andrew charged by march 31	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf78702…
02-24 20:17:52	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	16¢	$8	0x4e1aae…
02-24 19:57:34	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	16¢	$24	0x831487…
02-23 11:43:00	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xbaf194…
02-22 15:06:48	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	65¢	$27	0x6e0cd0…
02-22 15:02:40	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xf04112…
02-22 15:02:40	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x6fa4c5…
02-22 15:01:42	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x4bdae7…
02-22 14:56:00	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xe6ad8e…
02-22 14:55:58	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xc836ba…
02-22 14:55:54	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xd07640…
02-22 14:55:08	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x46c187…
02-22 14:54:18	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x4d3ed2…
02-22 14:53:16	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x4b2dfd…
02-22 14:51:52	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xf0d4e8…
02-22 14:49:58	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xa039b7…
02-22 14:44:18	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xed4793…
02-22 14:37:36	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb07d28…
02-22 14:37:26	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x8606b2…
02-22 14:28:42	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xe63fc1…
02-22 14:27:04	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xb46976…
02-20 15:55:24	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	411	53¢	$218	0x374391…
02-20 15:11:40	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaa1e85…
02-20 15:01:28	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	Yes	SELL	153	34¢	$52	0x368f59…
02-20 08:44:06	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x510bf1…
02-20 08:09:52	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	Yes	SELL	134	60¢	$80	0xbcac25…
02-20 08:09:42	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc54a35…
02-20 07:59:52	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x28898d…
02-20 03:28:48	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	195	15¢	$29	0x376568…
02-20 03:22:10	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6395aa…
02-20 02:42:14	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	25	47¢	$11	0x2c188f…
02-19 23:07:12	will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x2b6644…
02-19 19:26:26	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb1f9c4…
02-19 19:12:06	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x612374…
02-19 17:20:40	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x9930ef…
02-19 17:20:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x073afb…
02-19 17:20:02	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x02e7ce…
02-19 15:17:18	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xbeb637…
02-19 15:05:42	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,225	50¢	$612	0x6cd171…
02-19 15:05:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	51¢	$46	0xe11562…
02-19 06:49:56	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x4dd661…
02-19 01:21:22	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x1d5067…
02-18 20:02:24	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x42783b…
02-18 19:58:26	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd97dfc…
02-18 18:01:38	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0x7dcf65…
02-18 17:56:22	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	52¢	$38	0x0c9cc2…