False-Thongs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-30 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$1

Other

25% 67% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$3

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$438	219	219	+0	open	—	01-24 03:37
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$436	219	219	+0	open	—	01-27 08:43
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$435	218	218	+0	open	—	01-27 09:01
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	4	$292	146	146	+0	open	—	03-20 07:26
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$226	113	113	+0	open	—	04-24 05:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$222	113	113	+0	open	—	05-26 12:41
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	01-21 04:21
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	02-02 09:37
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	01-24 03:56
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	01-24 04:39
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	$-0	04-14 03:47
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-31 07:55
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-28 07:28
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-29 07:08
will sungjae im win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-24 11:10
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	03-24 11:35
will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$187	94	94	+0	open	—	03-31 08:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$187	94	94	+0	open	—	04-03 04:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	05-19 04:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	05-20 04:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	05-15 12:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	05-14 06:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 13?	1	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	05-13 08:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	05-12 11:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$117	117	0	+117	No	+$0	05-11 12:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	05-23 16:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	05-24 12:32
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	05-22 07:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	05-21 08:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$114	114	0	+114	open	—	05-18 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 06:05:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x34d610…
05-28 04:28:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x65abd2…
05-27 12:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa46975…
05-26 12:46:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc6f0a4…
05-26 12:41:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	113	96¢	$109	0xa30dd6…
05-25 08:09:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xc8da92…
05-25 07:49:54	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc8ca55…
05-24 12:32:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x00a0ef…
05-23 16:41:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x99f96f…
05-22 07:06:36	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xbbc5ee…
05-21 08:04:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe32f82…
05-21 07:38:00	KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x244dca…
05-20 04:13:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x910f2e…
05-20 03:37:54	Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Anton Matusevich	Anton Matusevich	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa87ec2…
05-19 04:54:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x8c816b…
05-18 04:44:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x6cd38a…
05-18 04:00:50	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x04c1a3…
05-15 12:49:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x5c9953…
05-14 06:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x95ec0e…
05-13 08:20:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0d428a…
05-12 11:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xbebf6d…
05-11 12:50:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xe8fa90…
05-10 03:56:10	Will Solana dip to $70 May 4-10?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x746ef6…
05-09 12:32:51	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8ae21f…
05-08 04:47:34	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x1c060e…
05-07 08:54:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xebf14f…
05-03 06:41:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x32dbb3…
05-01 07:36:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x056dbb…
05-01 07:34:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x45dbe9…
04-30 09:05:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x44528c…
04-28 04:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xfaec52…
04-27 06:59:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xead13b…
04-26 04:08:48	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x7c6b7b…
04-25 12:53:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x9c8420…
04-24 05:20:32	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x6ee503…
04-24 05:00:42	Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x700ced…
04-24 04:38:06	Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb26959…
04-23 08:36:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xfad54e…
04-22 11:27:40	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x42fe85…
04-21 09:27:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x051016…
04-20 12:00:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xee5f34…
04-19 03:45:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xbcd444…
04-17 09:43:20	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x2dadf1…
04-15 10:58:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x459c7e…
04-14 03:56:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 14	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x154b4c…
04-14 03:50:07	wta eala fernand 2026 04 13	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xe124fb…
04-14 03:48:39	wta eala fernand 2026 04 13	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x0e9c7b…
04-14 03:47:03	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x7e1edb…
04-14 03:30:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8b5be1…
04-13 02:23:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x9cae6d…
04-13 02:23:41	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0b5a9c…
04-12 08:45:07	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xf5196a…
04-12 07:52:23	lol vit shft 2026 04 12	Shifters	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x81e452…
04-11 11:53:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 11	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1f666b…
04-11 11:45:33	nhl min nsh 2026 04 11	Predators	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xdacde4…
04-10 04:14:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 10	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa5db0e…
04-09 03:59:49	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x99cd78…
04-08 12:16:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2200ca…
04-08 12:12:01	nba mil det 2026 04 08	Pistons	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x374c0f…
04-07 08:48:11	ethereum above 1900 on april 7	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xef0dce…
04-06 06:12:05	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc6171f…
04-05 12:25:15	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x44620c…
04-04 12:41:35	ethereum above 1900 on april 4	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xec7227…
04-03 04:06:31	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x13b834…
04-03 04:03:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0xb0949d…
03-31 08:29:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0x6332bd…
03-31 08:17:45	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x1990f8…
03-31 07:57:39	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0x537fd5…
03-31 07:57:13	nba phx orl 2026 03 31	Magic	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x74fcdf…
03-31 07:55:43	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	98	99¢	$98	0x377c7a…
03-31 07:35:25	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	98	99¢	$98	0xb355fe…
03-30 03:19:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6510b3…
03-29 07:11:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x6b13e3…
03-29 07:08:56	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x22b9fe…
03-29 06:40:38	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x346b54…
03-28 07:31:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 28	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4bd934…
03-28 07:28:33	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x617973…
03-28 06:46:57	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0xd4ffde…
03-27 11:54:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x7a74c3…
03-25 12:51:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 25	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x995dfa…
03-24 11:41:21	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x506c14…
03-24 11:35:11	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x85323f…
03-24 11:11:11	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xdd89cb…
03-24 11:10:17	will sungjae im win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xe4e7b9…
03-24 10:09:01	will sungjae im win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x68dcb2…
03-22 07:56:05	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 16 22	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xab550d…
03-21 06:09:55	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa6fd6c…
03-20 07:42:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xd36e91…
03-20 07:26:41	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x994648…
03-20 07:03:17	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x94e3cb…
03-20 07:01:45	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x1317c1…
03-20 06:17:17	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xe523d3…
03-18 05:20:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xe2dcd1…
03-18 04:51:23	atp collign dimitro 2026 03 18	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x321764…
03-17 05:56:25	ethereum above 2600 on march 17	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0c3441…
03-16 12:51:55	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x579478…
03-14 11:56:29	will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x551f02…
03-13 12:20:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xaa2359…
03-12 09:12:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 12	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x57890e…
03-10 12:31:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x18a0f6…