Realized P&L
-$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$788
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
21
Trades
403
lifetime
Volume
$680.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.69K
Open exposure
$39.3K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
73% 71% -$25,595
Crypto
16% 100% +$1,378
Other
10% 100% +$9,166
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11,920 $10,370 98¢ $11.7K +$1,341 07-01 18:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $8,100 94¢ $9.4K +$1,350 10-23 22:03
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +10,786 $9,484 74¢ $7.9K -$1,556 10-24 09:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +11,000 $7,370 66¢ $7.3K -$55 10-24 09:37
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +3,268 $3,002 83¢ $2.7K -$290 10-25 12:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 10-24 09:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21 Yes +5 $4 15¢ $1 -$3 07-26 17:32