Naive-Blowhole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down		+2	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-12 09:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-12 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	20	+20	Up	$-1	05-11 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-12 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-12 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	7	+7	Down	$-1	05-12 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	05-11 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 09:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x810c08…
05-12 08:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x438d90…
05-12 07:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcb1004…
05-12 03:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaf00b3…
05-11 19:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc9dbba…
05-11 18:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xca4af9…
05-11 18:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xada608…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$1.61K	44	05-12 09:02
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$1.01K	39	05-12 09:02
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$968	17	05-12 08:42
Curly-Doubt 0xa731…c990	4	$632	6	05-12 03:54