Naive-Blowhole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

527

lifetime

Volume

$2.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-11 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 36% $-15

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781126100	4	$119	254	254	+0	open	—	06-10 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	8	$118	122	122	+0	open	—	05-22 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	16	$117	222	222	+0	open	—	05-23 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	8	$93	81	81	+0	open	—	05-23 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$81	56	56	+0	open	—	05-22 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	7	$80	57	57	+0	open	—	05-22 20:45
btc updown 5m 1781124900	5	$70	69	69	+0	open	—	06-10 20:58
btc updown 5m 1781125500	6	$68	244	244	+0	open	—	06-10 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$68	51	51	+0	open	—	05-22 20:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	5	$60	61	61	+0	open	—	05-24 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	10	$59	74	42	+33	open	—	05-22 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	8	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	05-23 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	9	$46	63	31	+31	open	—	05-23 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	9	$45	131	131	+0	open	—	05-23 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$44	65	38	+26	open	—	05-23 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	17	$44	489	0	+489	open	—	05-25 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$42	63	63	+0	open	—	05-25 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-23 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	10	$39	52	21	+31	open	—	05-25 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	05-24 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$38	576	264	+312	open	—	05-23 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	05-22 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	05-25 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$27	627	0	+627	open	—	05-22 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	9	$27	135	0	+135	open	—	05-23 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	9	$27	437	6	+431	open	—	05-22 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	8	$26	44	44	+0	open	—	05-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$26	42	0	+42	open	—	05-23 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$26	145	0	+145	open	—	05-23 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$26	34	24	+10	open	—	05-23 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 01:04:06	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	SELL	575	1¢	$6	0xdbe6a7…
06-11 01:03:46	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa776d5…
06-11 01:03:10	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8f4b65…
06-11 01:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x94f471…
06-11 01:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6bf206…
06-11 01:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x139836…
06-11 01:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781139600	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0decbc…
06-10 21:18:27	btc updown 5m 1781126100	Down	SELL	254	37¢	$94	0xd96f28…
06-10 21:17:39	btc updown 5m 1781126100	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4fb11d…
06-10 21:16:42	btc updown 5m 1781126100	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9d92ff…
06-10 21:16:36	btc updown 5m 1781126100	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc8518d…
06-10 21:13:33	btc updown 5m 1781125800	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x598177…
06-10 21:12:54	btc updown 5m 1781125800	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xd6b44d…
06-10 21:12:24	btc updown 5m 1781125800	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x911498…
06-10 21:11:39	btc updown 5m 1781125800	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5ebb1f…
06-10 21:08:09	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Up	SELL	244	8¢	$18	0xbd4ea5…
06-10 21:07:40	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x41ab19…
06-10 21:07:13	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xcf5082…
06-10 21:06:04	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x87c4a1…
06-10 21:05:57	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xeb2f57…
06-10 21:05:57	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x1e9bfc…
06-10 21:04:01	btc updown 5m 1781125200	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7abf69…
06-10 21:03:06	btc updown 5m 1781125200	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3bd435…
06-10 21:03:04	btc updown 5m 1781125200	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaac1fd…
06-10 21:03:04	btc updown 5m 1781125200	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6a096c…
06-10 20:58:57	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0xb40dbe…
06-10 20:57:06	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xafe3da…
06-10 20:56:58	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa90558…
06-10 20:56:00	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf6ff2b…
06-10 20:55:58	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x516819…
06-10 20:53:52	btc updown 5m 1781124600	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4da568…
06-10 20:53:34	btc updown 5m 1781124600	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcd9108…
06-10 20:53:24	btc updown 5m 1781124600	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9d539f…
05-25 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2a5371…
05-25 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x587881…
05-25 22:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x35aa05…
05-25 22:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4b2830…
05-25 22:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1fab82…
05-25 22:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0eccc2…
05-25 22:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xf851a5…
05-25 22:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x2ef883…
05-25 22:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x271aed…
05-25 22:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa14d27…
05-25 22:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x0555c6…
05-25 22:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xcbee0c…
05-25 22:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2888b8…
05-25 22:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xebe18a…
05-25 22:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0f87ef…
05-25 22:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x709b77…
05-25 22:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xaa8270…
05-25 22:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x81b00f…
05-25 22:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x95e2ce…
05-25 22:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x442d56…
05-25 22:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x775138…
05-25 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x69acc4…
05-25 22:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x1a5bff…
05-25 22:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x9ae5bc…
05-25 22:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0aa4a4…
05-25 22:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x63b539…
05-25 22:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6b1c43…
05-25 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	63	49¢	$31	0xe6bf3c…
05-25 22:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x5504fd…
05-25 22:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf82fc8…
05-25 22:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x20c5b9…
05-25 22:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x962536…
05-25 13:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x647e71…
05-25 13:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc714e9…
05-25 13:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1c9695…
05-25 13:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5e16ba…
05-25 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbeed05…
05-25 13:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x99be2f…
05-25 13:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7c70b9…
05-25 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x003006…
05-25 12:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x1bd887…
05-25 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x02036f…
05-25 12:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x577c32…
05-25 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1aeef1…
05-25 12:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbf9268…
05-25 12:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x347e9a…
05-24 22:22:21	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0xbf7d2e…
05-24 22:22:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0xe33d1d…
05-24 22:22:09	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x06daae…
05-24 22:22:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x450e85…
05-24 14:24:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x045489…
05-24 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0bbee0…
05-24 14:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5cb157…
05-24 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd95dad…
05-24 14:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3eee56…
05-24 14:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1b8cf9…
05-24 14:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x03c743…
05-24 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xdc275c…
05-24 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xf74905…
05-24 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x59b33d…
05-24 14:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xedec9c…
05-24 14:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbf34d5…
05-24 10:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0x031bdb…
05-24 10:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x563d80…
05-24 10:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5c03ce…
05-24 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4cd1b9…
05-24 09:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x3da55f…