Arid-Story — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$315

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-10 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 43% $-15

Other

20% — —

Politics

16% 0% $-51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$51	51,000	0	+51,000	Yes	$-51	05-09 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$50	45	45	+0	Up	+$30	05-09 03:44
btc updown 5m 1775422200	1	$40	3,997	0	+3,997	open	—	04-05 20:54
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	2	$38	29	28	+1	open	—	04-06 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$30	879	0	+879	Up	$-30	05-10 20:24
btc updown 5m 1775611800	1	$16	107	0	+107	open	—	04-08 01:34
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$15	48	0	+48	open	—	05-10 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	600	0	+600	Down	$-10	05-10 20:13
btc updown 5m 1775504100	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-06 19:38
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 60 79	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-05 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$10	125	0	+125	Down	$-10	05-10 20:16
btc updown 5m 1775421300	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 20:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$6	824	0	+824	Yes	$-6	05-09 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-10 20:06
btc updown 5m 1775504700	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	04-06 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	824	3¢	$25	0x3e3a1e…
05-10 20:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x779689…
05-10 20:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xfbea4a…
05-10 20:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x008295…
05-10 20:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x609e3a…
05-10 20:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa4c206…
05-10 20:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8ac9c4…
05-10 19:59:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xc162fa…
05-09 19:41:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26,000	0¢	$26	0x038e0e…
05-09 19:34:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x7d12f2…
05-09 03:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4f4962…
05-09 03:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9d872f…
05-09 03:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x2aaae0…
05-09 03:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x250578…
05-09 03:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc83ba1…
05-09 03:35:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	824	1¢	$6	0x6658f1…
04-08 01:34:45	btc updown 5m 1775611800	Down	BUY	107	15¢	$16	0x96bd27…
04-06 19:47:55	btc updown 5m 1775504700	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x23fbab…
04-06 19:38:19	btc updown 5m 1775504100	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe7eb53…
04-06 19:25:37	highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x732a1b…
04-05 20:54:51	btc updown 5m 1775422200	Up	BUY	3,997	1¢	$40	0x8a5c64…
04-05 20:53:41	highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc7d043…
04-05 20:48:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 60 79	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa3ea84…
04-05 20:36:11	btc updown 5m 1775421300	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x67d8b0…