Mad-Quail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

488

Trades

2,451

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-17 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775122200	6	$141	344	324	+20	open	—	04-02 09:33
btc updown 5m 1775126700	5	$87	134	97	+38	open	—	04-02 10:48
btc updown 5m 1775126100	5	$87	137	130	+7	open	—	04-02 10:37
btc updown 5m 1775116200	4	$84	67	65	+2	open	—	04-02 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	10	$80	85	67	+18	Up	$-2	05-14 03:53
btc updown 5m 1775124000	4	$80	109	104	+5	open	—	04-02 10:03
btc updown 5m 1775123400	4	$79	136	129	+7	open	—	04-02 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	8	$77	72	72	+0	Up	$-3	05-14 04:54
btc updown 5m 1775127600	4	$76	220	121	+99	open	—	04-02 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	8	$75	69	69	+0	Up	$-5	05-14 03:43
btc updown 5m 1775115600	4	$75	66	64	+2	open	—	04-02 07:43
btc updown 5m 1775122500	4	$73	68	66	+2	open	—	04-02 09:39
btc updown 5m 1775126400	4	$70	114	109	+5	open	—	04-02 10:42
btc updown 5m 1775127000	5	$69	124	118	+6	open	—	04-02 10:53
btc updown 5m 1775109000	4	$67	181	171	+10	open	—	04-02 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776669300	2	$67	83	78	+5	open	—	04-20 07:18
btc updown 5m 1775123700	4	$67	185	175	+10	open	—	04-02 09:58
btc updown 5m 1775122800	3	$65	70	33	+37	open	—	04-02 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$64	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	6	$64	52	52	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$62	57	57	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 02:13
btc updown 5m 1775128800	2	$61	84	79	+5	open	—	04-02 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$60	51	51	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 03:32
btc updown 5m 1775128200	4	$53	225	211	+13	open	—	04-02 11:13
btc updown 5m 1775136000	5	$52	174	164	+10	open	—	04-02 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$51	183	183	+0	Down	+$35	05-05 09:19
btc updown 5m 1775119200	2	$50	35	34	+1	open	—	04-02 08:42
btc updown 5m 1776240300	4	$50	148	138	+9	open	—	04-15 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$49	37	37	+0	Up	+$9	05-14 02:09
btc updown 5m 1775121000	2	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-02 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 04:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xc00b7e…
05-17 04:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x654e34…
05-17 04:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x4a202f…
05-17 04:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1f3a0c…
05-17 03:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xd73cec…
05-17 03:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x874cc5…
05-17 03:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0x54b828…
05-17 03:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x07fbda…
05-17 03:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xa1bf70…
05-17 03:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3bba1d…
05-17 03:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xa72085…
05-17 03:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcdf232…
05-17 03:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5d5e22…
05-17 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x9c68f2…
05-17 03:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe8a871…
05-17 03:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0x5c2c58…
05-17 03:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x53aeba…
05-17 03:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x4b04cf…
05-17 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2a9727…
05-17 03:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x4d932c…
05-17 03:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x591895…
05-17 03:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$4	0x73e614…
05-17 03:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x297936…
05-17 03:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x67c314…
05-17 03:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6e4024…
05-17 03:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xd223a5…
05-17 03:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb723ed…
05-17 03:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x12ba31…
05-17 03:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa90ba6…
05-17 03:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xeb4847…
05-17 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf72870…
05-17 03:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0xa1d4a7…
05-17 03:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6bd4ce…
05-17 03:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x78d0c6…
05-17 03:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe09a43…
05-17 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xbe89c0…
05-17 03:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa69827…
05-17 03:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x12ebb2…
05-17 03:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x413205…
05-17 03:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xe4a13a…
05-17 03:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xf1f096…
05-17 03:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x746afb…
05-17 03:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x613e79…
05-17 03:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x409c2d…
05-17 03:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3fa506…
05-17 03:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x6fb3f5…
05-17 03:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc23ffb…
05-17 03:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x8d76de…
05-17 03:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb8cb2e…
05-17 02:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xf53fe7…
05-17 02:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7a0e58…
05-17 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x6253b0…
05-17 02:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x42729c…
05-17 02:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xd760ec…
05-17 02:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6f8610…
05-17 02:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$5	0xf3be6b…
05-17 02:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3e2d0c…
05-17 02:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x8defad…
05-17 02:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x196fa2…
05-17 02:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x0624d0…
05-17 02:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xed409c…
05-17 02:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x7fc1de…
05-17 02:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x784634…
05-17 02:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x850ed7…
05-17 02:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3460fb…
05-17 02:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x5fce2f…
05-17 02:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x51f149…
05-17 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xa436e6…
05-17 02:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6590bb…
05-17 02:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x751b72…
05-17 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x2335af…
05-17 02:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x3dbcf7…
05-17 02:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x482ebb…
05-17 02:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x5c48ff…
05-17 02:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7bbdd8…
05-17 02:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xe87ae9…
05-17 02:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9924c7…
05-17 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x0df094…
05-17 02:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x83d44b…
05-17 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x8525c2…
05-17 02:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x229316…
05-17 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb6f8b0…
05-17 02:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x39ec7a…
05-17 02:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x16937f…
05-17 02:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf881b0…
05-17 02:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x608c94…
05-17 02:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdf21e6…
05-17 02:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x926bb6…
05-17 02:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x728dcd…
05-17 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf8cbd1…
05-17 02:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0698e6…
05-17 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x01d5ff…
05-17 02:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x368f9d…
05-17 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x23ec56…
05-17 02:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xec8a48…
05-17 02:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x9fc38f…
05-17 02:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x35debf…
05-17 02:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xb2dd0b…
05-17 02:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0be4ed…
05-17 02:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xd97188…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	954	$227.7K	39,098	05-17 04:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	954	$210.0K	62,274	05-17 04:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	954	$206.2K	33,482	05-17 04:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	951	$232.6K	66,625	05-17 04:09
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	950	$192.3K	21,976	05-17 04:07
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	947	$1.01M	40,504	05-17 04:11
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	947	$240.6K	10,381	05-17 04:07
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	944	$53.5K	12,943	05-17 04:08