Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

123

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$133

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 11-08 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

85% 60% +$22

Politics

13% 47% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	57¢	$2	+$1	11-06 12:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-03 03:07
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	No	+3	$1	32¢	$1	+$0	11-06 04:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+2	$1	56¢	$1	+$0	11-06 22:52
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	+1	$1	72¢	$1	+$0	11-07 15:13
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	80¢	$1	$0	11-08 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	2	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	10-22 20:31
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	10-23 22:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	2	$2	4	+4	No	-$1	09-12 15:12
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$0	08-30 02:49
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 12:36
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 08:29
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-10 19:34
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 04:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-10 14:01
will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-23 02:39
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	11-02 19:05
will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-29 15:02
will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	10-14 01:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-31 01:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-18 01:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 03:57
will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-29 05:24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	10-23 12:55
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	10-16 05:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on November 4?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	11-04 11:27
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	10-01 17:26
will xagusd reach 62 in september 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-30 07:39
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:49
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 17:59
will hood reach 122 50 by september 7 2026 from september 8	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-08 22:18
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-25 05:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-28 20:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 05:08
wti closes above 96 on september 9 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	09-09 08:47
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:32:51	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6c35aa…
11-07 15:13:28	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdb9897…
11-06 22:52:09	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x890301…
11-06 12:39:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8cda4d…
11-06 04:02:48	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x78791c…
11-05 18:30:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf0370…
11-05 10:27:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xee286b…
11-05 01:04:39	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2ed551…
11-04 11:27:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0c4ff1…
11-04 03:19:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdfc9f0…
11-03 19:08:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x91bf66…
11-03 11:07:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x592a1e…
11-03 03:07:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x898500…
11-02 19:05:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd30920…
11-02 10:43:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6a65fd…
11-02 10:43:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x636889…
11-02 02:43:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b98e9…
10-31 01:29:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x77d912…
10-28 20:01:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1901c1…
10-28 11:58:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc9cedd…
10-28 03:57:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xad0aec…
10-27 19:47:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbe9626…
10-27 11:45:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x49a888…
10-27 03:36:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x93797d…
10-25 05:28:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7dc37…
10-23 22:55:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x855024…
10-23 22:52:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x122500…
10-23 12:55:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe104f1…
10-23 04:51:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x45d5c8…
10-22 20:31:56	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc019d4…
10-22 20:21:08	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcc5e15…
10-22 12:09:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x09222c…
10-22 01:53:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9f3698…
10-21 04:11:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4264a4…
10-19 20:11:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xccbd93…
10-19 12:05:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf50961…
10-19 04:05:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x28d2c8…
10-18 20:04:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x33e35a…
10-18 11:56:03	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x450f5a…
10-18 01:06:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf5427e…
10-17 16:05:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x92901b…
10-16 13:03:52	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc2359…
10-16 05:02:15	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0a08d0…
10-15 20:59:30	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x64de34…
10-15 10:48:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5c10e2…
10-15 02:00:04	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x86c743…
10-14 17:59:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4fe27d…
10-14 09:50:22	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbd4526…
10-14 01:37:55	will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x853266…
10-11 15:50:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3dd147…
10-11 15:49:03	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x22fd4d…
10-10 19:34:54	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1f9987…
10-10 06:45:57	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb784a5…
10-09 09:47:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc29d04…
10-09 00:46:21	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcc139d…
10-08 04:17:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xea6002…
10-07 17:18:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbca55b…
10-07 09:14:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a0fd2…
10-06 12:36:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0837a5…
10-06 04:35:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb57ae2…
10-05 16:35:13	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4b365c…
10-05 00:33:55	will ewy dip to 185 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x764c47…
10-03 04:58:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9a1a0f…
10-02 15:26:00	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe9de4f…
10-02 06:02:38	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xee2466…
10-01 17:26:42	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf5d58e…
10-01 08:55:44	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc7fe8…
09-30 23:31:45	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x07b070…
09-30 07:39:24	will xagusd reach 62 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd40489…
09-29 23:37:05	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x727ce2…
09-29 15:02:15	will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xea9d43…
09-29 05:24:18	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x16f4f8…
09-28 21:23:57	will xagusd reach 64 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6535b8…
09-28 13:14:48	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa00ab5…
09-28 05:08:06	will coin dip to 177 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x59d4a7…
09-27 21:04:44	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe0d54a…
09-27 10:19:20	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfc9062…
09-27 01:40:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfd4661…
09-26 07:49:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8e9875…
09-25 04:21:48	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x42da81…
09-23 18:48:19	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf206ff…
09-23 10:41:46	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd5a389…
09-23 02:39:26	will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9ca202…
09-22 06:38:22	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa1d238…
09-21 21:58:21	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1a7ca7…
09-21 13:57:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa91203…
09-21 05:27:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xad38f5…
09-20 21:26:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb74037…
09-19 08:29:43	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2c85e2…
09-16 20:27:28	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7e379e…
09-16 10:32:06	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x164b89…
09-16 02:31:43	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbd6c74…
09-15 18:08:42	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71e344…
09-15 09:03:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcb5d9a…
09-14 23:35:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x61c2f7…
09-14 15:33:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 14?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x63a17b…
09-14 07:25:39	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4e2340…
09-13 23:24:42	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x64f87d…
09-12 15:12:58	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8ec7fd…
09-12 09:47:16	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0ec2d6…