Torn-Synod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$214

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

515

Trades

897

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 09-28 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 51% -$56

Other

21% 54% +$46

Politics

11% 50% -$195

Sports

1% 44% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-1	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	08-23 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$89	117	0	+117	Yes	-$89	02-27 12:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$78	149	0	+149	Yes	-$78	02-25 12:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	07-30 18:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$51	46	46	+0	Yes	+$1	02-01 11:01
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$50	93	0	+93	Yes	-$50	02-27 12:20
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	4	$41	55	55	+0	70k	+$1	02-03 08:52
Rocket League: Manchester City Esports vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	2	$30	35	0	+35	Vitality	+$5	05-24 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	7	$30	33	33	+0	Down	+$10	08-27 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET	5	$28	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	09-07 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	6	$27	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	09-07 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10AM ET	6	$26	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	09-06 14:10
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	07-30 17:53
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10am et	1	$22	40	0	+40	Down	+$18	07-30 14:00
atp nakashi medvede 2026 08 18	1	$20	34	0	+34	Brandon Nakashima	-$20	08-18 18:51
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$20	43	0	+43	Argentina	+$23	07-15 09:41
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 1pm et	1	$20	44	0	+44	Up	-$20	07-17 17:01
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$20	31	0	+31	Yes	-$20	02-25 12:49
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	1	$20	32	0	+32	Yes	+$12	07-11 18:47
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 8am et	3	$20	41	0	+41	Down	+$21	07-27 12:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	2	$20	49	49	+0	No	$0	08-25 14:00
cs2 dripto justpl 2026 08 25	2	$19	17	17	+0	Just Players	-$1	08-25 18:58
atp hassan serna 2026 08 25	2	$18	15	15	+0	Juan Manuel La Serna	-$2	08-25 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2PM ET	3	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	09-06 18:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 21:15 UTC	4	$18	16	16	+0	Up	-$2	08-26 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1PM ET	3	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	09-07 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4AM ET	3	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	09-07 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8AM ET	3	$17	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	09-06 12:13
rl kc ssg 2026 09 17	1	$17	21	0	+21	Karmine Corp	+$4	09-17 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3AM ET	5	$17	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	09-07 07:23
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$4	08-20 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 11:17:42	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa8a92f…
09-28 11:06:00	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x703802…
09-28 10:01:06	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x08557b…
09-28 09:42:53	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x548329…
09-28 09:40:53	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc2fdcd…
09-23 13:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xfd52cc…
09-23 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x29e9a8…
09-23 10:46:52	bitcoin up or down september 23 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xdc3ea6…
09-23 10:21:02	bitcoin up or down september 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x53404c…
09-23 07:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x0020b4…
09-23 07:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2336e8…
09-23 03:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x3de836…
09-23 03:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf89fb6…
09-23 02:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x772f5f…
09-23 02:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x32212d…
09-22 22:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x13f013…
09-22 22:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf118b1…
09-22 19:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xef2118…
09-22 19:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb0a073…
09-21 18:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x17f672…
09-21 18:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7346b8…
09-21 17:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8c032d…
09-21 17:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x223a3c…
09-21 16:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x263be4…
09-21 16:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9e7fcc…
09-21 15:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf1099b…
09-21 15:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc17ff5…
09-21 14:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x58967b…
09-21 14:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x35b0b2…
09-21 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x068551…
09-21 13:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x093ae3…
09-21 12:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xc79495…
09-21 12:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbd77f9…
09-21 11:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xc13663…
09-21 11:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdf90ec…
09-21 10:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x70d454…
09-21 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x860aad…
09-21 06:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc4c1ca…
09-21 06:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4377a1…
09-21 05:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x4cb859…
09-21 05:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa41adc…
09-21 03:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1c4969…
09-21 03:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0f760…
09-21 01:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xfe9449…
09-21 01:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd10397…
09-20 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2dffed…
09-20 21:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf6335e…
09-20 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x64ee44…
09-20 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x043c36…
09-20 18:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xcc1815…
09-20 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d146d…
09-20 17:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xb045cf…
09-20 17:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xde995a…
09-20 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x97c598…
09-20 15:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9d37bd…
09-20 14:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x4535b3…
09-20 14:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1eed02…
09-20 13:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x253822…
09-20 13:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x57e870…
09-20 11:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x84c774…
09-20 11:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x14c8e3…
09-20 03:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1bcd83…
09-19 22:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x8b4d7a…
09-19 22:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x652dd1…
09-19 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x949afe…
09-19 20:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1a5216…
09-19 20:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x48aad1…
09-19 20:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x658bc3…
09-19 18:59:15	rl kc vp 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x0bf25e…
09-19 16:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x79416d…
09-19 16:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xab233d…
09-19 15:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xb96215…
09-19 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f91d0…
09-19 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xfc6025…
09-19 13:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8ce94d…
09-19 11:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4985de…
09-19 09:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x069add…
09-19 09:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2c32f1…
09-19 04:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x222bd4…
09-19 04:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53a066…
09-19 01:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f904b…
09-19 00:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x54f133…
09-19 00:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0f70a4…
09-18 23:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6c12a8…
09-18 23:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcbb5d8…
09-18 15:47:49	Rocket League: Shopify Rebellion vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS World Championship Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf64d3c…
09-18 08:09:24	bitcoin up or down september 18 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x42709f…
09-18 08:01:12	bitcoin up or down september 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe8ab33…
09-17 21:08:51	rl m8 vit 2026 09 17	Vitality	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3b2a2e…
09-17 20:12:36	rl kc flcn 2026 09 17	Karmine Corp	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa3e613…
09-17 20:12:24	rl kc flcn 2026 09 17	Karmine Corp	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x969759…
09-17 15:58:24	rl kc ssg 2026 09 17	Karmine Corp	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xe43633…
09-17 09:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x215f34…
09-17 09:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6f6d6b…
09-16 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6a63b5…
09-16 12:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe545fa…
09-16 12:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x626739…
09-16 07:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3e1e4b…
09-16 07:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x3a54c0…
09-16 01:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xba1ca0…