Homely-Vernacular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-15 03:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$33

Other

0% 67% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$291	201	201	+0	open	—	01-20 08:38
btc updown 5m 1771857300	2	$223	123	123	+1	open	—	02-23 14:41
btc updown 5m 1771841400	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	02-23 10:16
btc updown 5m 1771846800	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	02-23 11:46
btc updown 5m 1771840800	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	02-23 10:06
btc updown 5m 1771843500	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	02-23 10:51
btc updown 5m 1771841100	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	02-23 10:10
bitcoin up or down february 22 6am et	4	$202	167	100	+67	open	—	02-22 12:00
btc updown 5m 1771905600	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	02-24 04:04
btc updown 5m 1771845300	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	02-23 11:22
btc updown 5m 1771842600	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-23 10:35
btc updown 5m 1771905900	3	$177	171	19	+152	open	—	02-24 04:08
btc updown 5m 1781080800	3	$165	90	90	+0	open	—	06-10 08:44
btc updown 5m 1771944300	1	$151	156	0	+156	open	—	02-24 14:48
btc updown 5m 1771815900	1	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	02-23 03:09
btc updown 5m 1772189100	3	$129	178	20	+158	open	—	02-27 10:51
btc updown 15m 1771138800	4	$111	106	104	+1	open	—	02-15 07:13
btc updown 5m 1771859100	1	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	02-23 15:09
btc updown 5m 1771863600	2	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	02-23 16:26
btc updown 5m 1772778000	3	$107	58	58	+0	open	—	03-06 06:24
btc updown 5m 1771984800	2	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	02-25 02:05
btc updown 5m 1771857600	2	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	02-23 14:45
btc updown 5m 1771984500	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	02-25 02:01
btc updown 5m 1771845000	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	02-23 11:15
btc updown 5m 1771844700	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	02-23 11:10
btc updown 5m 1771924500	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	02-24 09:22
btc updown 5m 1771896300	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	02-24 01:31
btc updown 5m 1771927200	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	02-24 10:06
btc updown 5m 1771844100	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	02-23 11:00
btc updown 5m 1771926600	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	02-24 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:38:39	btc updown 5m 1781494500	Up	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xce24f6…
06-13 14:03:33	btc updown 5m 1781359200	Up	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x1cac53…
06-13 13:55:15	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4a4e30…
06-13 03:33:34	btc updown 5m 1781321400	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xa6e75b…
06-12 04:22:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf54913…
06-12 04:08:27	btc updown 5m 1781237100	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf2c01b…
06-10 08:45:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf913f0…
06-10 08:44:46	btc updown 5m 1781080800	Down	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0xacd0e5…
06-10 08:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781080800	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xbb5442…
06-10 08:43:06	btc updown 5m 1781080800	Down	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x434c08…
06-09 00:59:30	btc updown 5m 1780966500	Up	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0x889e49…
06-09 00:59:06	btc updown 5m 1780966500	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x136a48…
06-08 05:59:00	btc updown 5m 1780898100	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x616e9e…
06-06 07:09:21	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb857a5…
06-05 06:54:13	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd2df86…
06-05 06:53:25	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf4cb8d…
06-04 04:28:21	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x069e53…
06-03 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc45e57…
06-02 01:41:56	spy closes above 740 on june 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45aa55…
06-01 05:21:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54b0ae…
06-01 05:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x536d94…
05-30 05:01:44	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c1b25…
05-30 04:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xcbaa5e…
05-29 05:07:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4da58…
05-28 07:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99b123…
05-28 07:04:17	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x65c9e4…
05-25 02:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x90e0c9…
05-21 02:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa63d81…
05-21 02:41:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb34a85…
05-20 01:55:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2bec8e…
05-20 01:54:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39137e…
05-20 01:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x034b1f…
05-18 11:20:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94cc39…
05-18 11:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x836834…
05-15 03:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xeaa71f…
05-14 02:17:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd8b788…
05-14 02:16:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x12fb9b…
05-14 02:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8c223e…
05-14 02:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x7d8b8a…
05-14 02:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x2166a6…
05-13 01:30:32	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe84ffe…
05-13 01:30:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8bdbc7…
05-13 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x7ec44b…
05-13 01:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x65cf16…
05-12 04:28:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6ba5b…
05-12 04:27:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe48653…
05-12 04:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0aaa52…
05-12 04:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc212e0…
05-11 02:56:24	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcdab19…
05-11 02:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaefc3f…
05-11 02:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xf90e87…
05-11 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xaf4157…
05-11 02:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc7e1f9…
05-10 07:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4125fd…
05-10 07:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x00446f…
05-10 07:15:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x385789…
05-05 03:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5e936f…
05-04 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6de782…
05-03 04:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xde2eab…
05-03 02:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ce97b…
04-30 02:23:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda6cdd…
04-24 03:30:04	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc98be6…
04-24 03:29:00	btc updown 5m 1777001100	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xcd629b…
04-24 03:27:14	btc updown 5m 1777001100	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xcb6839…
04-09 11:38:41	btc updown 5m 1775734500	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x498a7a…
04-09 05:33:27	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x40a64b…
04-02 12:39:13	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8212e3…
04-01 04:49:21	btc updown 5m 1775018700	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe3af59…
04-01 04:49:17	btc updown 5m 1775018700	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x566467…
04-01 04:43:33	btc updown 5m 1775018400	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x449435…
03-30 04:03:36	btc updown 5m 1774843200	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe9252a…
03-29 13:04:38	btc updown 5m 1774789200	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa1d472…
03-27 04:28:29	btc updown 5m 1774585500	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x774148…
03-23 09:03:57	btc updown 5m 1774256400	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdc7e36…
03-23 04:18:59	btc updown 5m 1774239300	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x0ef71e…
03-19 05:24:33	btc updown 5m 1773897600	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x3ed715…
03-19 01:54:23	btc updown 5m 1773885000	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x82e4f5…
03-19 01:49:37	btc updown 5m 1773884700	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3c276c…
03-18 06:54:47	btc updown 5m 1773816600	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x4cd8a7…
03-16 12:43:43	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Up	SELL	58	53¢	$31	0xfcefdc…
03-16 12:42:49	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x8bc8de…
03-16 12:34:45	btc updown 5m 1773664200	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9f00f5…
03-16 06:28:51	btc updown 5m 1773642300	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x3b30f2…
03-16 06:23:43	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd0e48d…
03-16 03:53:59	btc updown 5m 1773633000	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x68e24c…
03-16 03:04:33	btc updown 5m 1773630000	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x559754…
03-14 12:54:19	btc updown 5m 1773492600	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x9fa588…
03-14 03:24:33	btc updown 5m 1773458400	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe5e16f…
03-13 11:48:39	btc updown 5m 1773402300	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbf98ec…
03-13 11:39:55	btc updown 5m 1773401700	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x712c48…
03-13 11:39:17	btc updown 5m 1773401700	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2eb7c9…
03-13 11:33:45	btc updown 5m 1773401400	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe7380f…
03-13 11:23:37	btc updown 5m 1773400800	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5b1462…
03-13 11:18:29	btc updown 5m 1773400500	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xddf2b5…
03-13 11:14:53	btc updown 5m 1773400200	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xf99eb1…
03-13 11:14:15	btc updown 5m 1773400200	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe24fe1…
03-13 11:08:45	btc updown 5m 1773399900	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x01255e…
03-13 11:04:23	btc updown 5m 1773399600	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xadf2a8…
03-13 10:44:01	btc updown 5m 1773398400	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa8e237…
03-13 10:39:43	btc updown 5m 1773398100	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe4e656…