Soft-Mangrove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$331

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

9,987

Trades

14,069

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 18% -$286

Other

1% 29% -$50

Tech

0% 33% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	18	$48	2,001	627	+1,374	No	-$25	03-22 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	7	$37	140	0	+140	Up	-$7	09-04 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	10	$30	120	0	+120	Up	+$10	08-23 21:28
will jurassic world rebirth be the top us netflix movie this week	6	$20	200	200	+0	No	-$8	03-09 15:46
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$20	600	0	+600	No	-$20	03-09 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:00 UTC	2	$20	60	0	+60	Up	+$10	08-31 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-18 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-18 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-18 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-11 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-11 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-18 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:55 UTC	2	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-25 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-11 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC	2	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-25 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-11 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-25 02:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 09:05 UTC	2	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-18 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-18 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-18 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:25 UTC	4	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-25 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	7	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-18 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-18 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$32	09-18 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-18 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	7	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-18 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	8	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$32	09-11 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$18	90	0	+90	Up	+$22	09-11 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	8	$18	90	0	+90	Down	+$22	09-25 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x30942d…
10-25 23:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7e749f…
10-25 23:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb11c87…
10-25 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4f0324…
10-25 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xff134c…
10-25 19:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5a0e8d…
10-25 19:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1eab4c…
10-25 17:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd41562…
10-25 16:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x47dc67…
10-25 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x83b6da…
10-25 15:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7a5b61…
10-25 15:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x900d44…
10-25 15:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x648c0e…
10-25 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2ff5f6…
10-25 15:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7a36ae…
10-25 13:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3f0825…
10-25 12:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x736999…
10-25 11:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x27f60e…
10-25 10:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe5f393…
10-25 10:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc8e89e…
10-25 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbd76df…
10-25 07:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x96fba7…
10-25 07:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa6491e…
10-25 06:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa60a78…
10-25 06:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8a67ec…
10-25 06:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2033a9…
10-25 05:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2ff4d4…
10-25 05:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe612c8…
10-25 05:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x08989d…
10-25 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x80dd18…
10-25 05:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7a0440…
10-25 05:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x950292…
10-25 04:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc26098…
10-25 04:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeceb4b…
10-25 02:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x835541…
10-25 02:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc3feb4…
10-25 02:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1a9161…
10-12 22:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xda3dbe…
10-12 22:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x39730f…
10-12 22:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6619c…
10-12 22:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x2f5955…
10-12 21:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xc64bec…
10-12 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xca3ef1…
10-12 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa28b75…
10-12 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6ab846…
10-12 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x138c0a…
10-12 21:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xdf6384…
10-12 21:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xd00713…
10-12 21:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe7a782…
10-12 21:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x2e7499…
10-12 21:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x170c45…
10-12 21:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf4eee1…
10-12 21:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x99e832…
10-12 21:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8905b2…
10-12 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xcfb28a…
10-12 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x2eb79b…
10-12 21:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xcebc1a…
10-12 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x134dc8…
10-12 20:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7498d4…
10-12 20:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x34d4ba…
10-12 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xc3327c…
10-12 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x248953…
10-12 20:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x5a7d40…
10-12 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x80057b…
10-12 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x52618c…
10-12 19:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xc0c891…
10-12 19:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xbdf4ee…
10-12 19:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x77f3e1…
10-12 19:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x99d475…
10-12 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x4752cc…
10-12 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3c7c0c…
10-12 19:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe4ef53…
10-12 19:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc3ab43…
10-12 19:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8601b4…
10-12 19:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x637db4…
10-12 19:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x3fb8e0…
10-12 19:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x18848e…
10-12 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x7d604b…
10-12 18:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x684fee…
10-12 17:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1e62fc…
10-12 17:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xa06042…
10-12 17:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x384a9a…
10-12 17:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xd871b5…
10-12 17:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb980c2…
10-12 17:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x94d45f…
10-12 17:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x46f4bd…
10-12 17:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x138887…
10-12 17:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5250aa…
10-12 16:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x3f574e…
10-12 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x26006e…
10-12 16:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xb1f257…
10-12 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xce451c…
10-12 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x1c7c07…
10-12 16:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x293027…
10-12 14:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe3689f…
10-12 14:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x99ee10…
10-12 14:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x41261c…
10-12 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x81a646…
10-12 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x2b9d7e…
10-12 13:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xad6fe4…