Plump-Polarisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

3,383

Trades

3,624

lifetime

Volume

$97.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-30 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Other

83% 99% +$52

Sports

14% 100% -$36

Crypto

2% 98% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes		+13	$13	100¢	$13	+$0	10-30 16:14
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes		+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	10-30 16:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$100	50	50	+0	FUSION X	$0	02-19 11:35
will ludwig moistcr1tikal win jynxzis rocket league tournament	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-16 04:52
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$75	50	25	+25	WHITEBIRD	+$0	03-14 12:43
col kps lep 2026 02 19 total 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	02-19 19:44
ufc ant12 ser2 2026 02 21 win by ko tko	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-22 04:33
will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-24 15:41
tur tra kar 2026 02 27 total 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	02-27 17:51
cdr ath rso 2026 02 11 rso	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-11 22:05
nba lac hou 2026 02 11 spread home 9pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Clippers	+$0	02-12 05:06
arg boc gye 2026 02 28 total 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	02-28 23:58
wta ostapen mboko 2026 02 13 first set winner Ostapenko vs Mboko	1	$50	50	0	+50	Mboko	+$0	02-13 16:07
mls col por 2026 02 28 btts	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-28 23:50
cbb akron ballst 2026 02 20 total 145pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	02-21 02:25
bra mir cru 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	02-12 00:10
nba mil nop 2026 02 20 points cam thomas 14pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-21 04:27
col noa az 2026 02 19 total 4pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	02-19 19:46
atp michels fokina 2026 02 11	1	$50	50	0	+50	Fokina	+$0	02-11 22:50
spl fay nsr 2026 02 28 total 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	02-28 22:02
atp mrva piros 2026 02 27	1	$50	50	0	+50	Zsombor Piros	+$0	02-27 14:12
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28 assists luka doncic 7pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-01 07:35
cs2 prime pge 2026 02 12 game1	1	$50	50	0	+50	PRIME	+$0	02-12 11:08
euroleague bologna barcelon 2026 02 25	1	$50	50	0	+50	Virtus Bologna	+$0	02-25 22:02
lol c9 ly 2026 03 01 game3 kill over 23pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	03-02 07:30
cs2 hs2 m1x 2026 02 24	1	$50	50	0	+50	HyperSpirit	+$0	02-24 18:05
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 total 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	02-22 19:36
arg tal gye 2026 02 14 tal	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-15 01:47
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-16 06:22
cbb miaoh wmich 2026 02 27 total 162pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	02-28 07:15
cbb wichst mphs 2026 02 26	1	$50	50	0	+50	Wichita State Shockers	+$0	02-27 06:46
cbb tulsa wichst 2026 02 14 total 152pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	02-15 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:39:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0265d…
10-30 16:14:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xae57fd…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc260e5…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d739d…
10-29 16:56:22	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6788a0…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc1663…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x49b6b6…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x40bad7…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe12480…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f0c19…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x01dcb6…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdfde49…
10-24 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec21a4…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0fb320…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7751eb…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf42914…
10-24 12:40:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb5405e…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe40085…
10-23 19:53:41	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce608a…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ace1f…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd04928…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x551bb9…
10-22 20:12:47	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x10672a…
10-22 03:02:53	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x970183…
10-21 21:00:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3f4e24…
10-21 17:04:06	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x949d8e…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b5b43…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2423a0…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x963e9e…
10-20 16:59:05	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5934c8…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa809a6…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3edc0d…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581ed6…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4547b…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca7d12…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9168e6…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe8dab4…
10-17 13:14:08	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x75e2d1…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf63db4…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4ff238…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfe5bef…
10-14 13:12:36	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x276c7c…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x720227…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3834c0…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3785b0…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3a6d54…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6d80b7…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeb912e…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x25dcc0…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa8757a…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x50df9c…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a09d0…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc0b28e…
10-10 23:41:27	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x865674…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf31a8f…
10-09 14:48:54	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x67d1ec…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x68626b…
10-08 05:27:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0e6e40…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0aeb6c…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf599a9…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xcfe846…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc3310…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x016b97…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd1c6eb…
10-06 20:36:56	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55b746…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa99c6c…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa220cf…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x441a00…
10-05 06:24:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfe407…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x050480…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa9261c…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x53d4c5…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb401ae…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d2146…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x404511…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc955e3…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c7c12…
10-02 18:11:15	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x15986b…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07e8e2…
10-02 14:15:39	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x722843…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x273c1f…
10-02 14:12:32	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf19a31…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x028997…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x12090a…
10-01 21:00:36	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5cc60e…
10-01 20:56:32	Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe96f95…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x875029…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x646e79…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x599246…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xebf391…
10-01 17:38:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb0e629…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1b277d…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5a8767…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf0806d…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x935dce…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd9b1e2…
10-01 04:00:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d717f…
10-01 04:00:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1ff18e…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x192ddd…
09-30 21:19:29	euroleague aviv1 besiktas 2026 09 30	Besiktas	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2dcd65…