Plump-Polarisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,686

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

83% 96% +$1

Sports

14% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	02-19 11:35
will ludwig moistcr1tikal win jynxzis rocket league tournament	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	02-16 04:52
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$75	50	25	+25	open	—	03-14 12:43
atp cerundo darderi 2026 02 15 first set winner Cerundolo vs Darderi	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-15 20:50
cs2 ence ef1 2026 02 27	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-27 15:58
nhl pit nyr 2026 02 28 spread away 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-28 22:15
lal ovi bil 2026 02 15 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-15 15:33
epl wes bou 2026 02 21 bou	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-21 19:42
cs2 ww omega1 2026 02 18 game2	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-18 10:49
col kps lep 2026 02 19 total 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-19 19:44
cs2 gz1 ug 2026 02 23 game2	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-23 10:12
por ton alv 2026 02 13 total 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-13 22:57
cbb gb wbd 2026 02 15	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-15 22:04
wwoh cze swe 2026 02 13	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-13 18:32
will dogecoin be the top performing crypto for the week of february 9	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-16 00:11
nba hou cha 2026 02 19 assists amen thompson 5pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-20 02:57
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 total 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-15 12:55
atp wu cobolli 2026 02 26	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-27 04:29
cbb marsh gas 2026 02 14 total 161pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-15 04:17
epl not liv 2026 02 22 not	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-22 18:42
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$50	25	25	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
cs2 ill brute 2026 02 17 total games 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-17 14:01
val ful1 evo2 2026 02 15 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-15 19:33
nba mil nop 2026 02 20 points cam thomas 14pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-21 04:27
arg tig ald 2026 02 12 tig	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-13 00:45
wta knutson akli 2026 02 16	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-16 15:25
lol sge use1 2026 02 12	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-13 02:41
atp sachko bruncli 2026 02 24	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-24 18:34
lol dnf drx 2026 02 19 game1 kill over 30pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-19 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3665ba…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1c6932…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0110d0…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x06e51d…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x570d1d…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x53dc99…
06-29 19:42:49	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc90c7f…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe6feec…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8464d3…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xac26a2…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3fb0bc…
06-28 17:22:32	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xba0275…
06-28 04:01:44	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa13edf…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcd4692…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcd3b4d…
06-27 22:56:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8ea706…
06-27 22:56:37	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf04952…
06-27 20:38:35	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x222240…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe01261…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x547557…
06-27 13:00:19	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xee4e2d…
06-26 21:05:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdcdf94…
06-26 20:12:50	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x23b857…
06-26 18:05:08	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59f064…
06-26 18:05:04	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe208b9…
06-26 13:11:03	kbo han ssg 2026 06 26	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x270278…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6f661b…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb51213…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe5ef97…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc3157e…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x42133b…
06-25 00:02:40	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc9a76a…
06-24 13:48:38	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x249793…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa8b485…
06-24 02:54:58	mlb chc nym 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Chicago Cubs	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b3d3f…
06-24 01:00:55	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9884ee…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe00352…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x311c55…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd15caa…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x714272…
06-23 12:38:41	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2b3628…
06-22 19:05:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa3023f…
06-22 17:40:34	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8912cd…
06-22 03:14:43	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 corners team away 4pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb0876e…
06-22 00:15:13	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x350a54…
06-21 18:14:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x35a3e1…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x818164…
06-21 04:54:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d6b32…
06-21 03:46:53	mlb pit col 2026 06 20 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1bcd7d…
06-20 22:09:05	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x69c6e4…
06-20 22:00:13	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf655bb…
06-20 20:06:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x768314…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbdb496…
06-20 02:39:16	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xba2eac…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbebfa0…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x72a89f…
06-18 22:59:29	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd1b7f0…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4452c5…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x65bc70…
06-18 13:53:22	atp shelton quinn 2026 06 18 set handicap home 1pt5	Quinn	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x95e136…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x531e38…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1ef9b5…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x48b528…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfefab4…
06-17 16:10:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe8f0df…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8bf0dd…
06-17 16:06:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xab083a…
06-17 03:06:07	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbb5212…
06-17 00:03:08	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6d2c3f…
06-16 21:09:17	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x057e65…
06-16 13:45:53	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc9cfc8…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5a87c0…
06-15 18:27:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf79a02…
06-15 12:41:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x48e373…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x52de34…
06-15 00:28:03	chi1 cuc cu1 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x00d1ca…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe2df3f…
06-14 19:23:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbe65c2…
06-14 19:21:48	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcd0e29…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2fcc92…
06-13 21:26:57	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x871d49…
06-13 21:25:34	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8325c…
06-13 21:21:10	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b198a…
06-13 11:10:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x139138…
06-13 09:50:54	cs2 mzp atp1 2026 06 13	Metizport	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x81ac26…
06-13 09:23:27	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x789ccf…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x978773…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1c1a3d…
06-12 20:27:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4af121…
06-12 20:18:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x008bae…
06-12 20:17:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x10cff7…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x363b5b…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdeac41…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x11734a…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x06e5af…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe7b26e…
06-10 20:05:10	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x13f90e…
06-10 02:10:27	mlb min det 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa2b0a4…
06-09 21:17:55	wwcquefa eng ukr 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b69bc…
06-09 18:31:54	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf46e80…