Firm-Plant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$247

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

373

Trades

3,573

lifetime

Volume

$7.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-06 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 41% $-201

Other

17% 38% $-29

Sports

3% 10% $-14

Politics

3% 50% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 574 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	35	$164	155	155	+0	Yes	$-2	04-23 15:24
bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	5	$59	49	47	+2	open	—	04-24 15:14
btc updown 15m 1777051800	28	$55	176	0	+176	open	—	04-24 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	9	$52	40	39	+1	open	—	04-26 16:44
btc updown 15m 1777054500	8	$41	64	0	+64	open	—	04-24 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	2	$40	38	37	+2	open	—	04-28 07:10
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 16c	3	$39	34	33	+1	open	—	04-23 16:11
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$39	34	34	+0	open	—	04-23 17:49
btc updown 15m 1777043700	11	$35	35	19	+16	open	—	04-24 15:29
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	7	$32	27	27	+0	open	—	04-24 15:40
btc updown 15m 1777045500	4	$32	12	48	-36	open	—	04-24 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?	3	$30	18	35	-17	open	—	04-23 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 27?	2	$30	0	30	-30	open	—	04-27 12:37
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 17:33
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1pm et	8	$28	56	0	+56	open	—	04-24 17:56
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	3	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	04-23 16:02
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals	2	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	04-23 17:49
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	6	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 15:27
highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 22c	4	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 16:11
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	11	$27	80	0	+80	Up	$-10	05-06 16:59
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 11am et	10	$26	34	32	+2	open	—	04-24 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	3	$25	16	15	+0	open	—	04-27 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	7	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	04-25 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	4	$24	17	19	-2	open	—	04-27 15:07
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	8	$23	52	6	+46	open	—	05-03 17:12
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	7	$22	31	25	+7	open	—	04-24 16:04
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	8	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 15:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	8	$22	75	0	+75	Down	$-3	05-06 20:27
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	9	$21	55	0	+55	Down	+$2	05-06 18:56
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	7	$21	50	0	+50	Down	$-0	05-06 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 05:51:37	solana above 60 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbcd501…
06-03 03:36:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x90e988…
06-03 03:35:11	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xb58465…
06-03 01:46:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0e45a5…
06-03 01:46:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x463f12…
06-03 00:09:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa2ca08…
06-03 00:09:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x872626…
06-03 00:09:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5032b5…
06-03 00:02:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb06bb1…
06-03 00:01:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd40181…
06-02 22:06:33	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xb1920f…
06-02 02:37:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7969f1…
05-24 18:31:26	doge updown 15m 1779647400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x14b292…
05-21 12:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3b56e2…
05-21 12:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x11bd5d…
05-21 12:21:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7da119…
05-21 12:10:49	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1bbd80…
05-21 12:10:02	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x459881…
05-21 08:57:11	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xfdf112…
05-21 08:57:06	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xaacd48…
05-21 07:01:37	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x469f54…
05-21 07:01:37	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x05e003…
05-21 07:00:13	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x25725f…
05-21 07:00:10	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xac9d56…
05-21 02:40:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb82907…
05-21 02:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf85953…
05-21 02:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe7acb2…
05-21 00:02:12	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x709ec5…
05-20 23:28:59	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x73e0dd…
05-20 23:27:32	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x855960…
05-20 23:27:12	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xf91af4…
05-20 23:27:09	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x782554…
05-20 19:41:36	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x039533…
05-20 19:39:42	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x4133ca…
05-20 19:39:35	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3a8acb…
05-20 15:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x64f523…
05-20 15:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x38aa3e…
05-20 15:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x16232c…
05-20 15:15:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xb2494b…
05-20 14:52:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3af1bc…
05-20 13:01:58	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x90a360…
05-20 13:00:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9a4666…
05-20 13:00:13	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbd2146…
05-20 12:30:14	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x514a42…
05-20 12:30:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5c924f…
05-20 09:22:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca7854…
05-20 09:20:12	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x104511…
05-20 09:20:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xabee55…
05-20 06:55:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9fc508…
05-20 06:53:35	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x06e9fa…
05-20 06:53:33	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd84202…
05-20 01:00:44	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x728c10…
05-20 01:00:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x0630f9…
05-20 01:00:16	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c89c5…
05-20 00:33:26	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb19901…
05-20 00:31:07	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xabbb55…
05-19 20:03:22	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x39080e…
05-19 20:02:14	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb58e45…
05-19 20:00:15	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x4c8420…
05-19 12:53:10	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc739d2…
05-19 12:53:06	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd9f35e…
05-19 12:52:40	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe950e6…
05-19 12:52:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x389870…
05-19 06:30:14	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x945891…
05-19 06:30:12	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc7147f…
05-19 02:33:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbcb315…
05-19 02:30:47	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x55fb6b…
05-19 02:30:22	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x14d17e…
05-19 00:15:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0350e7…
05-18 23:40:00	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x64a628…
05-18 23:31:22	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x61fde1…
05-16 19:19:41	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xfedbf5…
05-16 19:19:40	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xd84be5…
05-16 19:19:40	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x1ea4d5…
05-16 19:04:30	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x66d5c2…
05-16 19:04:09	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe8f887…
05-16 18:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x41fa56…
05-16 18:49:32	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x25254b…
05-16 18:49:23	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x21b1f7…
05-16 18:49:21	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa093d9…
05-16 18:43:37	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x20cfb1…
05-16 18:42:49	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x427510…
05-16 18:42:44	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7da818…
05-16 18:42:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7acfd0…
05-16 18:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5e0d63…
05-16 18:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xbda910…
05-16 18:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9d457d…
05-16 17:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7e8e5f…
05-16 17:59:31	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0xea23ea…
05-16 17:59:24	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x335bcc…
05-16 17:39:00	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4fd83e…
05-16 17:38:45	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe18360…
05-16 17:38:38	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc29197…
05-16 17:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb90119…
05-16 17:33:54	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdd2f22…
05-16 17:33:54	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x8902c6…
05-16 17:33:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x90a396…
05-16 17:20:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb7d4e6…
05-16 17:16:00	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x01ce18…
05-16 17:15:58	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x60e2da…