Worthless-Foreigner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$685

Unrealized P&L

-$54

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

314

Trades

703

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-14 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 31% -$534

Other

16% 18% -$82

Sports

4% 29% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-100	-$10	5¢	$-5	+$5	05-04 17:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes		+500	$60	0¢	$1	-$59	10-04 23:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	8	$712	1,916	1,916	+0	Yes	+$310	08-20 10:37
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	8	$559	2,383	2,383	+0	No	+$25	07-21 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$528	591	548	+43	Down	+$258	07-21 14:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	2	$388	426	426	+0	No	-$12	08-23 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	5	$364	318	279	+38	Up	+$94	09-26 23:53
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$336	1,870	730	+1,140	No	+$175	06-16 14:35
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	7	$322	3,228	3,228	+0	No	-$196	05-16 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:05 UTC	4	$314	454	378	+76	Down	+$14	07-22 05:09
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	4	$309	317	317	+0	Yes	+$33	08-23 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:30 UTC	4	$286	229	226	+3	Down	+$92	02-10 22:44
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	7	$276	1,103	1,020	+83	No	+$132	07-18 22:46
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$266	306	306	+0	Yes	+$206	03-18 02:18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	3	$244	227	227	+0	Yes	+$166	07-15 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:35 UTC	4	$243	222	222	+0	Down	+$183	09-26 23:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$240	940	674	+266	No	-$40	07-19 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	7	$239	278	195	+83	Down	+$29	10-01 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	6	$234	183	183	+0	Down	+$104	09-30 00:43
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	3	$212	172	172	+0	Yes	+$132	01-25 02:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:30 UTC	4	$209	199	199	+0	Up	+$149	08-19 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:30 UTC	4	$207	310	208	+102	Up	+$57	07-22 04:34
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	7	$200	1,336	1,336	+0	No	-$43	09-25 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:25 UTC	4	$182	110	110	+0	Down	+$32	08-19 17:28
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	4	$170	201	156	+46	Over	+$90	07-18 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:30 UTC	5	$170	174	174	+0	Up	+$54	09-30 00:33
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	3	$170	1,856	615	+1,242	No	-$83	02-12 14:39
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	2	$167	474	474	+0	No	+$51	09-23 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	6	$150	139	100	+39	Up	+$24	09-26 23:32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$145	106	106	+0	Yes	+$45	07-07 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 10:00 UTC	5	$139	209	107	+102	Down	+$11	02-12 10:14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$137	2,663	2,386	+276	No	-$13	07-06 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:06:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	973	2¢	$20	0x8e6cd0…
10-14 20:10:22	will bitcoin dip to 70k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	973	10¢	$100	0x01d712…
10-04 23:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xdf3fe3…
10-04 23:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa871fe…
10-04 23:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcdd15d…
10-04 23:37:59	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x752697…
10-02 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	108	11¢	$12	0xac34f8…
10-02 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	882	10¢	$88	0xa18b7d…
10-02 20:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xc0fe10…
10-01 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x039dc2…
10-01 22:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x4bae05…
10-01 22:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x51917b…
10-01 22:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	117	94¢	$110	0x2dd22f…
10-01 22:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7995f3…
10-01 22:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x75472d…
10-01 22:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x1f9ffe…
10-01 22:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0x893779…
10-01 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xfec95f…
10-01 22:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb15ae8…
10-01 22:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa3f20c…
10-01 22:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x4d0ac5…
10-01 22:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xf2922e…
10-01 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xfcef30…
10-01 22:28:08	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	184	3¢	$6	0x6632c3…
09-30 00:51:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	184	27¢	$50	0xe2b4df…
09-30 00:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	183	92¢	$169	0x9eed44…
09-30 00:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xe66eb2…
09-30 00:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3a5f12…
09-30 00:40:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4a3bd7…
09-30 00:40:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x21e401…
09-30 00:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x1199a5…
09-30 00:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xeffc12…
09-30 00:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xea550b…
09-30 00:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	159	64¢	$102	0xcd179d…
09-30 00:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xa989fe…
09-30 00:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xf20f22…
09-30 00:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x6caaa6…
09-30 00:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xd101c4…
09-30 00:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x2223f7…
09-30 00:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xb088e1…
09-30 00:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	54	85¢	$46	0x4fc438…
09-30 00:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x496f8c…
09-30 00:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xc56308…
09-30 00:17:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf8f8d4…
09-26 23:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x51c0e9…
09-26 23:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x823f96…
09-26 23:58:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xef4e08…
09-26 23:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd524b2…
09-26 23:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Up	SELL	279	82¢	$229	0x4139fb…
09-26 23:51:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6ae51b…
09-26 23:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x78d456…
09-26 23:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0xad6669…
09-26 23:45:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc3d408…
09-26 23:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x7dd6b6…
09-26 23:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x4f5d27…
09-26 23:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xc23f17…
09-26 23:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	27	39¢	$10	0x0796b2…
09-26 23:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x431b5b…
09-26 23:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x3ba360…
09-26 23:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x8e24e0…
09-26 23:37:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0xca808a…
09-26 23:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x633b1b…
09-26 23:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x229b85…
09-26 23:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8768b2…
09-26 23:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcb1113…
09-26 23:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x35c2da…
09-26 23:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfdfc83…
09-26 23:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4b3948…
09-26 23:27:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	222	8¢	$18	0x01242c…
09-26 23:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3d1813…
09-26 23:20:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x399b1e…
09-25 20:12:30	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	746	4¢	$26	0x381ab1…
09-24 19:51:05	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	746	7¢	$50	0xd39d88…
09-24 19:50:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	187	9¢	$17	0x6f7c94…
09-23 14:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x3c1ebd…
09-23 14:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x29f89f…
09-23 14:23:15	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	187	16¢	$30	0x3eb8ca…
09-23 14:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	368	12¢	$45	0xab0216…
09-23 14:20:09	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	1,085	3¢	$38	0xc15d62…
09-23 14:19:58	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	474	23¢	$109	0xcd262e…
09-21 17:26:07	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,085	8¢	$87	0xd2f651…
09-21 08:47:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	148	14¢	$21	0x06cd1f…
09-21 08:46:05	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	220	14¢	$30	0xb47894…
09-21 08:45:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	211	2¢	$4	0x90ca4b…
09-21 08:45:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	285	1¢	$3	0xcf7cd6…
09-18 20:50:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	474	12¢	$58	0xaa32e7…
09-16 08:49:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	285	12¢	$34	0x7ea16f…
09-16 08:48:52	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	222	3¢	$7	0x69bad0…
09-02 07:35:19	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xdba9c3…
09-02 07:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0xea2308…
08-24 17:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4660b3…
08-24 17:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xc035b4…
08-24 17:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x605b58…
08-24 17:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd75237…
08-24 17:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x3c548a…
08-24 17:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x19d0d7…
08-24 17:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	73	79¢	$58	0xb64dab…
08-24 17:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd2ba39…
08-24 17:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xda8796…
08-24 17:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xcfc9dd…