Quarterly-Curse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$369

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

1,402

Trades

4,525

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-17 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% -$254

Other

2% 47% -$111

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 548 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	254	$603	1,957	0	+1,957	Down	-$603	06-02 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$378	220	220	+0	Up	+$15	09-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	114	$313	1,096	0	+1,096	Down	+$783	06-02 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	30	$235	190	190	+0	Down	+$13	09-12 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	7	$183	118	118	+0	Up	+$43	09-23 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	13	$146	300	0	+300	Down	+$4	10-08 13:48
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	23	$144	120	80	+40	Down	+$2	09-05 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	9	$142	80	80	+0	Up	+$12	09-12 21:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	7	$134	204	0	+204	Down	-$114	09-21 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	5	$133	174	0	+174	Up	+$31	09-21 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	23	$132	112	56	+56	Up	-$20	10-01 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	12	$121	260	0	+260	Up	+$9	10-08 13:58
bitcoin up or down february 20 6pm et	12	$115	474	60	+415	Down	-$50	02-20 23:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:00 UTC	6	$113	177	0	+177	Up	+$37	09-21 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	33	$109	174	0	+174	Up	-$23	10-01 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	34	$106	173	0	+173	Down	-$19	10-01 12:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC	3	$105	172	0	+172	Down	-$95	09-22 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:30 UTC	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	02-22 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	12	$101	56	56	+0	Up	+$12	10-01 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:45 UTC	1	$100	960	0	+960	Up	-$100	02-20 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	33	$99	173	0	+173	Down	-$13	10-01 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	12	$96	56	56	+0	Up	+$14	10-01 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	27	$92	139	0	+139	Down	-$6	10-01 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$87	230	0	+230	Up	+$3	10-08 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	14	$83	107	107	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 12:19
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	36	$79	299	0	+299	Down	+$219	06-02 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	18	$78	80	80	+0	Down	-$2	10-11 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	9	$78	150	0	+150	Down	-$28	10-08 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	21	$76	117	0	+117	Up	-$20	10-01 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	22	$76	112	0	+112	Up	-$20	10-01 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 11:04:12	VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xecc0c7…
10-12 16:27:45	Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 1 FC CFR 1907 Cluj?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xd6d267…
10-11 12:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0x2305a5…
10-11 12:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5741a2…
10-11 12:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x27766b…
10-11 12:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x302666…
10-11 12:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x64605d…
10-11 12:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x042681…
10-11 12:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x6da65e…
10-11 12:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x152702…
10-11 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9abd3a…
10-11 12:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x609c34…
10-11 12:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xf51aea…
10-11 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbb77af…
10-11 12:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7d68bc…
10-11 12:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x6577ee…
10-11 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x82cdcb…
10-11 12:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x67ce5c…
10-11 12:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x496acf…
10-11 12:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x3fb1b6…
10-11 12:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x50c0d1…
10-11 12:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb8af67…
10-11 12:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5092de…
10-11 12:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x94b614…
10-11 12:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8534f9…
10-11 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2d6a7c…
10-11 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7e21f0…
10-11 12:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe093f1…
10-11 12:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2d39ed…
10-11 12:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xeb5136…
10-11 12:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc125a9…
10-11 12:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9ab064…
10-11 12:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x305a99…
10-11 12:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8786e9…
10-11 12:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6f6bb8…
10-11 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x02461e…
10-11 12:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeb5f4c…
10-11 12:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xca038e…
10-11 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x46887c…
10-11 12:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd52195…
10-11 12:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x90bc94…
10-11 12:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7fb3b4…
10-11 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdc6533…
10-11 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x37e3dd…
10-11 12:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x417e6f…
10-11 12:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x215068…
10-11 12:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xbe7b1c…
10-11 12:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x63414c…
10-11 12:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf95b0b…
10-11 12:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xec4c23…
10-11 12:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x32e7e3…
10-11 12:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xa761a1…
10-11 12:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd6169e…
10-11 12:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x601c76…
10-11 12:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x24cb8e…
10-11 12:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x991d1c…
10-11 12:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb12af7…
10-11 12:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdc0943…
10-11 12:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb6a281…
10-11 12:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf7c54a…
10-11 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x045b2e…
10-11 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7ad8e5…
10-11 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb051ca…
10-11 12:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x175c2c…
10-11 12:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb4dbc5…
10-11 12:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x135ad1…
10-11 12:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x665e79…
10-11 12:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd6d210…
10-11 12:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe751a6…
10-11 12:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x28eb5f…
10-11 12:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1c00ce…
10-11 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x533a06…
10-11 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x06d6d9…
10-11 12:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x567034…
10-11 12:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x725bbd…
10-11 12:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x655e05…
10-11 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x544f38…
10-11 12:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xd0618a…
10-11 12:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x3b7a29…
10-11 12:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbdd9dd…
10-11 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1f7414…
10-11 12:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0658bd…
10-11 12:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xffff5e…
10-11 12:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x253c4d…
10-11 12:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7b6526…
10-11 12:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7db51b…
10-11 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5348f3…
10-11 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9944be…
10-11 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x97e4f4…
10-11 12:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb3fa3e…
10-11 12:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2fb2f9…
10-11 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7a8064…
10-11 11:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc1715e…
10-11 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x70844d…
10-11 11:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x50e6ef…
10-11 11:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2d8a43…
10-11 11:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb5bbc2…
10-11 11:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xff5f3e…
10-11 11:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x673521…
10-11 11:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x579313…