Skinny-Payoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$142

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

117

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-13 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-142

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$1.1K	1,112	698	+413	Down	+$1	05-09 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$821	517	517	+0	Down	+$21	05-09 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$702	590	590	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$657	635	635	+0	Down	$-143	05-09 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	10	$634	709	709	+0	Up	+$34	05-09 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$628	647	250	+396	Down	+$124	05-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$522	603	210	+393	Up	+$115	05-09 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$480	581	182	+399	Down	$-320	05-09 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$388	515	135	+380	Up	+$67	05-09 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$377	462	114	+348	Up	+$25	05-07 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$350	866	0	+866	Down	+$516	05-09 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$350	756	0	+756	Down	$-350	05-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$350	457	0	+457	Down	+$107	05-07 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$333	681	680	+0	open	—	05-15 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$327	344	333	+11	Down	$-93	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$302	950	22	+928	Down	$-298	05-10 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$300	323	0	+323	Down	+$23	05-07 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$273	300	174	+126	Up	$-1	05-07 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$258	500	500	+0	Up	+$45	05-09 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$249	489	86	+403	Up	$-151	05-10 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$244	278	194	+85	Down	+$29	05-06 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$225	158	158	+0	open	—	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$200	274	0	+274	Up	$-18	05-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$188	215	77	+138	Down	+$27	05-07 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$165	230	139	+91	Down	$-35	05-06 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$163	279	161	+117	Up	+$80	05-09 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$163	250	78	+172	Down	$-37	05-10 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$160	121	121	+0	Down	+$60	05-09 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$151	208	139	+69	Up	+$20	05-07 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$150	418	0	+418	open	—	05-15 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 16:51:55	btc updown 5m 1781369400	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0c858e…
06-13 16:41:27	btc updown 5m 1781368800	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf3cc55…
06-13 16:37:40	btc updown 5m 1781368500	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x9de21f…
06-13 16:30:36	btc updown 5m 1781368200	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xe4006a…
06-13 16:06:16	btc updown 5m 1781366700	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x6cb373…
06-13 15:50:46	btc updown 5m 1781365800	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa1167e…
06-13 15:20:52	btc updown 5m 1781364000	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xdfdd62…
06-12 21:31:22	btc updown 5m 1781299800	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0c3806…
06-12 21:25:48	btc updown 5m 1781299500	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2b6f03…
06-12 21:01:33	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x464d6b…
05-16 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xb9c8f4…
05-16 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6d031d…
05-16 13:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6e380c…
05-16 13:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xc0f370…
05-16 13:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xbd540d…
05-16 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa4ccf0…
05-16 13:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x092151…
05-15 19:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x06609c…
05-15 19:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0xcafae6…
05-15 19:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0x844055…
05-15 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	65¢	$15	0x7f38b6…
05-15 18:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x01e056…
05-15 18:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x03b2c5…
05-15 18:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8c3ebb…
05-15 15:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xe5b1e1…
05-15 15:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8bd8b8…
05-15 15:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x191b54…
05-15 15:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0x921215…
05-15 15:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xaab241…
05-15 15:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x824846…
05-15 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	680	27¢	$183	0x197a3a…
05-15 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	561	18¢	$100	0xb11f5d…
05-15 15:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x883bba…
05-15 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	158	73¢	$115	0x6025f7…
05-15 14:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x3d0748…
05-15 14:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x644576…
05-15 14:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x5b5f31…
05-15 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf979c7…
05-15 14:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	59¢	$19	0x3eba63…
05-15 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xaf5809…
05-15 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd4fd93…
05-15 13:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc742b0…
05-15 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23	63¢	$15	0xac1091…
05-15 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x9ee818…
05-15 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x7ed9e3…
05-15 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x221898…
05-15 13:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xaba6ec…
05-15 13:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x222f73…
05-15 13:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x460d87…
05-15 13:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x1aa6fa…
05-15 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xc15c50…
05-15 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1054ee…
05-15 13:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x992032…
05-15 13:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x024f74…
05-15 13:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	54¢	$16	0x58d74b…
05-15 13:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7a6e8b…
05-15 13:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x389ae4…
05-15 13:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0ea4f6…
05-13 21:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x95c786…
05-13 21:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x05d994…
05-13 21:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2d980b…
05-13 20:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2d1a87…
05-13 20:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x1e8f51…
05-13 20:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcf677b…
05-13 20:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8e4bf8…
05-13 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x646030…
05-13 20:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0x80f881…
05-13 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7a3875…
05-13 20:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb07300…
05-13 20:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x2c61c2…
05-13 20:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2c7e5e…
05-13 20:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x48d425…
05-13 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc73637…
05-13 20:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x5fc1d6…
05-13 20:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3526da…
05-13 20:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xd01059…
05-13 20:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x1ff2a8…
05-13 20:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd48ae1…
05-13 20:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0xb36b22…
05-13 20:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xca60e6…
05-13 20:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x71ca1a…
05-13 20:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x66a22f…
05-13 20:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5e2524…
05-13 20:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd520df…
05-13 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x0382f8…
05-13 19:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xe69a2f…
05-13 19:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6fdf2b…
05-11 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xb34fa5…
05-11 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x73cea5…
05-11 19:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x54ee5c…
05-11 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5a6a0d…
05-11 19:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x70a28f…
05-11 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x37d1d2…
05-11 19:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc84c16…
05-11 19:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x113de6…
05-11 19:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x65b247…
05-11 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xbf3db8…
05-11 19:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x363840…
05-11 19:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfec146…
05-11 19:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xec403d…