Narrow-Reflection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

2,705

Trades

4,094

lifetime

Volume

$425.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-28 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 99% -$42

Other

33% 95% +$51

Sports

3% 100% +$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Over		+18	$18	99¢	$18	+$0	10-28 04:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mavericks vs. Pacers	16	$5.5K	2,868	2,868	+0	Mavericks	+$39	10-24 00:59
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?	7	$3.0K	1,992	996	+996	Yes	+$3	09-14 20:34
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	16	$2.9K	1,488	1,488	+0	Yes	+$15	06-24 23:33
Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	9	$2.9K	1,482	1,482	+0	Yes	-$43	09-28 20:15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	24	$2.3K	1,551	775	+776	Yes	+$8	10-21 18:37
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	11	$2.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	+$5	10-12 17:27
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	6	$2.0K	996	996	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 14:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	14	$1.9K	1,186	886	+300	Yes	+$12	10-14 20:50
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	7	$1.9K	973	973	+0	Guangzhou Loong Lions	+$9	10-20 13:09
Real Madrid vs. Manresa	7	$1.9K	968	944	+24	Real Madrid	+$4	10-11 11:19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	12	$1.9K	1,520	400	+1,120	Yes	+$10	09-19 20:51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	14	$1.8K	1,284	538	+746	Yes	+$6	10-17 18:18
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?	8	$1.8K	1,407	400	+1,007	Yes	+$2	10-15 18:25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	12	$1.8K	1,411	380	+1,031	Yes	+$10	10-18 20:31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09?	7	$1.5K	888	625	+263	Yes	+$7	09-09 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	10	$1.4K	695	695	+0	Down	+$2	10-24 15:50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-08?	2	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$0	08-08 21:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.3K	657	657	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 12:06
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 3pt5	4	$1.3K	649	649	+0	Norway	+$4	07-11 21:57
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?	3	$1.3K	1,108	151	+957	Yes	+$2	09-18 20:22
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	6	$1.2K	622	622	+0	Under	+$1	07-06 20:57
xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	2	$1.2K	621	621	+0	Up	+$6	07-21 19:18
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread away 1pt5	10	$1.2K	613	613	+0	Germany	+$4	06-20 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	11	$1.2K	954	212	+742	Down	+$3	10-24 15:51
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-10-12?	10	$1.2K	1,151	0	+1,151	Yes	+$1	10-12 14:06
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	2	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	Under	+$1	09-22 20:50
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	6	$1.1K	1,121	0	+1,121	No	+$2	10-28 03:44
CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	6	$1.1K	558	558	+0	CB Murcia	+$2	10-24 23:38
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	Yes	+$2	09-19 15:46
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4AM ET	4	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	Up	+$1	09-21 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:57:49	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x61d94d…
10-28 04:57:29	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5	Over	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x393c73…
10-28 04:56:14	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x287073…
10-28 04:53:22	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaa6eb6…
10-28 04:50:56	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf519b7…
10-28 04:46:14	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b882c…
10-28 04:46:01	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde98b1…
10-28 03:44:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x531963…
10-28 03:19:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0x338b3d…
10-28 03:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x4b0cd4…
10-28 03:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x59e1e7…
10-28 03:09:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xeda3bd…
10-28 03:04:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x34eda5…
10-27 21:37:32	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x28e1d4…
10-27 21:36:47	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x5b7459…
10-27 20:17:27	Skyliners Frankfurt vs. FC Universitatea Cluj	Skyliners Frankfurt	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xb88d9c…
10-27 19:59:32	Skyliners Frankfurt vs. FC Universitatea Cluj	Skyliners Frankfurt	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x44cca2…
10-27 15:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x42328c…
10-27 15:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x616965…
10-26 20:15:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xae6495…
10-26 20:04:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x8ed483…
10-26 19:38:26	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xb15b45…
10-26 19:29:42	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x5e044d…
10-26 19:10:42	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xafb046…
10-26 19:09:56	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xd6d06e…
10-26 19:09:47	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd6cfe8…
10-26 02:21:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$356	0x70de07…
10-26 02:20:12	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c920e…
10-26 02:19:50	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca7e6f…
10-26 02:19:42	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fa034…
10-26 02:19:35	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafd8de…
10-26 01:55:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x33128e…
10-26 01:52:47	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0x0c2b33…
10-26 01:51:23	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x2b02fc…
10-25 02:42:24	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	481	100¢	$481	0x475a67…
10-25 02:39:05	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x5f58c3…
10-25 02:30:32	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	612	100¢	$612	0x789ede…
10-25 01:49:54	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdba0ef…
10-25 01:49:12	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08f895…
10-25 01:48:59	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee47a3…
10-25 01:48:11	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdf25a9…
10-25 01:48:11	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x609b55…
10-25 01:48:11	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x35817b…
10-25 01:48:11	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x2e1812…
10-25 01:41:39	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	134	97¢	$131	0x680e17…
10-25 01:38:45	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x1ad78f…
10-25 01:27:12	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb18746…
10-25 01:25:41	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x41b203…
10-25 01:25:05	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xba63e4…
10-25 01:24:56	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xb9800c…
10-25 01:24:48	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x8c59fc…
10-25 00:19:23	Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9fb3f…
10-24 23:55:14	nba bkn cle 2026 10 24 1h total 106pt5	Over	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0a605a…
10-24 23:52:30	Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5	Over	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcf9d10…
10-24 23:38:50	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	CB Murcia	SELL	453	100¢	$452	0x475a69…
10-24 23:38:23	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	CB Murcia	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x954c10…
10-24 23:38:20	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	CB Murcia	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x067ddc…
10-24 21:26:48	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x081407…
10-24 21:24:20	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4a71b9…
10-24 19:33:14	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	CB Murcia	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0x7bbddd…
10-24 19:27:50	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	CB Murcia	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0xd00093…
10-24 19:27:41	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Coruna	CB Murcia	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xaba6a4…
10-24 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x28c85e…
10-24 17:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe86356…
10-24 17:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8a9bbf…
10-24 17:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x36747f…
10-24 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd290c9…
10-24 16:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x7c1159…
10-24 15:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	720	100¢	$719	0x872a6f…
10-24 15:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xaab69d…
10-24 15:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x372bca…
10-24 15:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0xaaaec4…
10-24 15:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	341	100¢	$340	0x2eb942…
10-24 15:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$100	0x562945…
10-24 15:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x391ccd…
10-24 15:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1affa3…
10-24 15:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2920a6…
10-24 15:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3b4e5b…
10-24 15:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa6b9ab…
10-24 15:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x81699f…
10-24 15:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x034659…
10-24 15:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x99ae7b…
10-24 15:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xa47fae…
10-24 15:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x19fc6e…
10-24 15:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8839a…
10-24 15:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0xcc3db0…
10-24 15:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x46a619…
10-24 15:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x55459a…
10-24 15:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x322040…
10-24 14:52:35	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x15d7c3…
10-24 14:49:15	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	545	100¢	$544	0x5947b1…
10-24 14:48:29	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x12502c…
10-24 14:46:53	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2a61a6…
10-24 14:46:02	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa0ebac…
10-24 14:45:20	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0xe17276…
10-24 14:43:48	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	996	99¢	$990	0x9487ca…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf018f…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe6e243…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x8a4b6d…
10-24 13:21:21	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x76e6d6…