Agonizing-Exam 0x80f1f6…f73ccd
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.52K
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
76
Trades
1,605
lifetime
Volume
$536.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$334
Open exposure
$112.5K
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 10-25 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
62% 75% +$792
Other
35% 52% +$6,449
Sports
3% 38% -$8,510
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +51,407 $42,320 72¢ $36.8K -$5,564 10-25 13:44
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +27,385 $20,345 98¢ $26.8K +$6,493 10-25 14:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +14,575 $11,356 84¢ $12.3K +$960 10-13 10:30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +10,278 $9,000 86¢ $8.9K -$109 10-05 07:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +9,807 $8,961 90¢ $8.8K -$135 10-10 16:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,572 $6,080 70¢ $7.3K +$1,267 10-22 18:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,700 $2,701 82¢ $3.1K +$352 10-23 21:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +12,781 $3,673 24¢ $3.0K -$670 09-29 19:45
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,000 $2,640 42¢ $2.5K -$150 10-14 00:47
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +4,741 $996 29¢ $1.4K +$356 09-28 12:52
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +900 $356 97¢ $871 +$515 10-10 18:07
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +4,404 $1,384 18¢ $771 -$613 10-10 04:36
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $22 72¢ $22 $0 09-25 22:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$134 98¢ $-10 +$124 07-07 07:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 06-26 05:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +0 $300 0¢ $0 -$300 09-22 21:35